Andrew Fernandez

Andrew FernandezC Beloit Sky Carp

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 196 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .259 / .290

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	17	16	2	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	125	176	312	489	188	111	35	6	217	33	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	91	80	14	1	0	0	7	24	1	0	0	175	250	188	438	13	237	26	8	205	25	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	25	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	36	31	4	1	0	1	5	19	0	0	0	129	250	258	508	129	273	53	14	241	49	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	17	16	2	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	125	176	312	489	188	102	47	6	166	-1	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	91	82	12	1	0	0	5	33	1	0	0	146	205	159	363	12	210	36	5	168	0	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	36	32	3	1	0	1	4	25	0	0	0	94	194	219	413	125	236	69	11	141	-18	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	108	98	13	1	0	1	6	41	1	0	0	133	190	173	364	41	203	38	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	108	96	16	1	0	1	8	30	1	0	0	167	238	208	446	42	221	28	7	207	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	36	32	3	1	0	1	4	25	0	0	0	94	194	219	413	125	333	69	11	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	36	31	4	1	0	1	5	19	0	0	0	129	250	258	508	129	273	53	14	241	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	108	100	13	1	0	1	6	41	1	0	0	130	190	170	360	40	193	38	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	36	32	3	1	0	1	4	25	0	0	0	94	194	219	413	125	236	69	11	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	108	100	13	1	0	1	6	41	1	0	0	130	190	170	360	40	193	38	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	36	32	3	1	0	1	4	25	0	0	0	94	194	219	413	125	236	69	11	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		288	33	0	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIA	26%	116	106	22	4	1	2	8	37	1	1	0	208	270	321	590	113	288	32	7	258	61	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIA	26%	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	179	233	214	448	36	281	33	7	245	61	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	179	233	214	448	36	278	33	7	245	25	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	109	22	0	0	43	217	0	0	0	180	234	216	450	36	279	33	7	245	25	-30	+0	-4	+12	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	266	242	39	6	1	4	18	105	2	1	0	161	225	244	469	83	255	39	7	205	25	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	95	15	2	10	44	257	5	2	0	161	225	244	469	83	254	40	7	205	25	-31	+1	-4	+12	+14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Fernandez (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	196/259/290	93	288	1	1	33%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Mesa 2015 · A	27	36	42→45	43→40	25	176/206/275	99	318	10	5	47%	3%	32	-3.7	199/249/320	121	334	13	7	42%	5%	59	-1.6	155/203/280	125	256	17	2	45%	4%	31	-1.1
✕Dean Espy 2015 · A	25	37	44→45	47→45	35	193/222/303	110	252	12	6	29%	3%	45	-2.7	197/241/299	102	256	10	8	27%	4%	51	-2.2	172/218/250	78	215	9	8	24%	4%	30	-1.5
✕Isaac Galloway 2015 · AA	25	39→42	40→45	52→55	31	192/220/285	93	288	7	16	35%	3%	38	-3.2	208/242/306	98	287	9	21	30%	4%	53	-2.1	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕K.C. Hobson 2017 · AA	26	37→45	41→45	47→40	42	190/235/284	94	236	10	3	24%	5%	45	-2.7	209/258/352	143	286	18	6	33%	6%	70	-0.8	202/244/365	163	253	26	2	32%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Alfredo Silverio 2015 · AAA	28	39→49	38→55	42→50	35	192/222/267	75	257	7	6	28%	3%	35	-3.4	223/261/346	123	281	14	10	25%	5%	69	-0.9	243/279/399	156	285	19	13	22%	5%	87	+0.1
✕Drew Hedman 2011 · A	25	39	37→40	47→45	34	188/231/259	71	300	5	6	38%	5%	37	-3.3	197/262/300	103	288	9	9	33%	7%	60	-1.6	186/261/298	112	263	11	10	32%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Cody Wilson 2022 · AAA	26	32	37→30	52→55	39	161/228/227	66	258	4	19	37%	7%	30	-3.8	174/236/243	69	315	5	27	43%	6%	36	-3.3	154/219/208	54	296	4	33	46%	5%	21	-1.6
✕Ryan Ripken 2018 · A	25	41→43	38→45	47→40	36	198/230/274	76	271	5	5	29%	4%	40	-3.1	213/241/299	86	288	9	3	28%	3%	50	-2.3	198/226/272	74	274	8	1	30%	3%	35	-1.7
✕Jordan Steranka 2015 · A	25	43	39→40	38→40	32	210/234/291	81	305	6	3	33%	3%	45	-2.7	211/235/294	83	300	7	6	31%	3%	46	-2.6	196/198/254	58	277	7	4	32%	0%	20	-1.6
✕Matt Davidson 2016 · MLB	25	32→42	44→60	45→30	38	171/235/279	108	257	13	2	37%	7%	45	-2.7	206/268/365	159	290	20	2	35%	7%	77	-0.3	216/288/412	197	287	27	0	34%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Victor Mesa 2021 · AA	25	43→41	34→30	53→55	42	199/237/244	45	242	2	13	18%	4%	35	-3.4	208/258/277	69	261	5	24	21%	5%	52	-2.2	204/255/264	60	256	5	31	21%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Nick Thurman 2019 · A	25	40	37→30	46→40	32	184/234/252	68	325	5	4	43%	5%	37	-3.3	172/224/256	84	348	8	7	49%	6%	35	-3.4	102/155/171	69	225	9	6	57%	5%	-12	-2.8
✕Keenyn Walker 2016 · AA	25	40→49	35→30	56→60	38	184/243/237	53	301	3	31	38%	7%	37	-3.3	209/269/290	81	324	5	23	34%	7%	59	-1.6	208/273/292	83	329	4	25	35%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Yuniel Ramirez 2016 · A	27	41	36→30	49→45	35	196/224/271	75	272	3	8	29%	3%	36	-3.3	199/237/289	90	264	7	9	26%	4%	47	-2.6	160/183/249	89	192	9	7	23%	3%	15	-0.9
✕Wigberto Nevarez 2016 · A	25	35	38→30	43→45	36	178/225/252	75	255	6	5	32%	5%	34	-3.5	178/227/258	80	291	6	6	39%	5%	36	-3.4	120/165/173	53	201	3	0	40%	5%	-10	-1.6
✕Rico Noel 2017 · AAA	28	42→52	36→30	59→65	41	201/257/263	62	282	4	37	29%	6%	49	-2.4	204/250/298	94	297	9	23	33%	5%	54	-2.0	188/223/273	86	272	9	29	33%	3%	35	-0.9