Andrew Fernandez

Andrew FernandezC Beloit Sky Carp

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 196 lbs A+ HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .268 / .313

PA76

HR1

K%32

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-0.7M		$-8M	-$7M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A	2 teams	108	98	13	1	0	1	6	41	1	0	0	.133	.190	.173	.364	.041	.203	38	6	.167	-14	-14	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.9
2024	25	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	36	32	3	1	0	1	4	24	0	0	0	.094	.194	.219	.413	.125	.286	67	11	.153	-25	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	MIA	76	70	14	3	0	1	5	24	1	1	0	.200	.263	.286	.549	.086	.289	32	7	.265	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 8%	MIA	116	105	22	4	1	2	9	36	1	2	0	.210	.278	.324	.602	.114	.289	31	8	.270	64	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
2028	29	MLB 18%	MIA	198	179	38	7	1	4	15	60	2	3	1	.212	.281	.330	.610	.117	.289	30	8	.272	66	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.0
2029	30	MLB 28%	MIA	256	233	48	9	1	5	19	78	2	3	1	.206	.272	.318	.589	.112	.288	30	7	.271	66	-10	+0	-2	+5	+7	-0.0
2030	31	MLB 39%	MIA	267	243	50	9	1	5	20	82	2	2	0	.206	.272	.313	.584	.107	.286	31	7	.269	64	-11	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
2031	32	MLB 49%	MIA	261	237	48	9	1	5	20	81	2	1	0	.203	.270	.312	.583	.110	.285	31	8	.264	60	-12	+0	-4	+5	+7	-0.3
2032	33	MLB 63%	MIA	239	217	43	8	1	4	18	76	2	0	0	.198	.266	.300	.565	.101	.283	32	8	.259	56	-12	+0	-4	+4	+7	-0.5
2033	34	MLB 80%	MIA	202	183	35	6	1	3	15	66	2	0	0	.191	.260	.284	.544	.093	.282	33	7	.252	51	-11	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			1759	1597	314	57	7	31	131	568	15	12	2	.197	.264	.299	.563	.103	.281	32	7	.257	55	-90	+2	-20	+31	+50	-2.7
/ 162G	—			650	590	116	21	3	11	48	210	6	4	1	.197	.264	.298	.562	.102	.282	32	7	.257	55	-33	+0	-7	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	17	16	2	0	1	1	6	0	.125	.176	.312	.489	.188	.111	35	6	.217	24	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	91	80	14	1	0	7	24	1	.175	.250	.188	.438	.013	.237	26	8	.205	15	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	25	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	36	31	4	1	1	5	19	0	.129	.250	.258	.508	.129	.273	53	14	.241	42	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Fernandez (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	.204/.268/.313	.109	.289	1	1	32%	7%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	41	44→45	44→40	43	.205/.269/.321	.117	.279	11	5	30%	7%	63	-0.9	.216/.284/.361	.145	.260	15	5	23%	8%	80	+0.4	.203/.270/.374	.171	.212	20	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	44→45	47→30	44	.195/.260/.302	.108	.268	12	4	31%	8%	54	-1.4	.216/.284/.346	.130	.306	15	4	32%	9%	76	+0.0	.206/.279/.334	.128	.290	16	1	33%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	40→38	43→50	47→30	40	.197/.265/.308	.111	.291	11	5	34%	7%	58	-1.2	.199/.260/.292	.093	.305	9	6	35%	7%	51	-1.7	.163/.224/.224	.061	.249	8	0	36%	7%	16	-1.3
✕Brady Policelli 2021 · A	26	41→39	43→45	51→50	43	.201/.264/.316	.115	.271	10	14	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.192/.253/.311	.119	.273	12	13	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.161/.217/.278	.117	.224	13	18	34%	6%	27	-1.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	51→50	44	.199/.282/.323	.124	.278	13	13	32%	8%	70	-0.3	.204/.293/.301	.097	.284	9	11	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.289/.271	.075	.275	6	10	28%	9%	57	-0.6
✕Jason Delay 2021 · AA	26	41	44→45	49→40	38	.208/.261/.320	.112	.286	13	6	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.252/.302	.097	.293	8	5	31%	5%	50	-1.8	.226/.285/.301	.075	.297	3	2	23%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Renae Martinez 2021 · AA	27	42→32	43→50	44→40	43	.208/.271/.314	.106	.276	10	3	28%	7%	62	-0.9	.195/.264/.310	.115	.308	11	8	37%	8%	58	-1.2	.139/.221/.264	.125	.227	13	6	43%	8%	26	-0.9
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	42	43→50	49→40	48	.208/.284/.316	.108	.260	11	7	24%	8%	69	-0.4	.206/.292/.328	.122	.270	13	5	27%	9%	76	+0.0	.190/.289/.313	.123	.250	14	1	28%	10%	69	-0.1
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→30	47→45	50→45	43	.183/.260/.318	.135	.266	15	9	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.252/.301	.120	.260	14	10	34%	8%	51	-1.7	.130/.207/.227	.097	.172	15	8	34%	8%	11	-2.0
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	47→50	39	.184/.244/.304	.120	.244	14	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	.203/.249/.336	.133	.277	16	10	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.254/.334	.129	.270	15	10	29%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	47→50	50	44	.181/.258/.318	.137	.259	15	13	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.189/.267/.321	.132	.273	16	12	35%	9%	63	-0.9	.160/.249/.296	.136	.218	19	12	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	43→45	48→30	43	.183/.252/.292	.109	.264	10	5	33%	8%	48	-1.9	.194/.265/.297	.103	.312	9	6	37%	9%	55	-1.4	.125/.205/.184	.059	.260	4	0	49%	9%	0	-1.2
✕Colin Simpson 2023 · A	27	40	46→45	52→40	39	.203/.255/.330	.127	.280	14	7	32%	6%	59	-1.1	.202/.260/.327	.125	.298	12	6	34%	7%	60	-1.0	.171/.238/.296	.125	.261	12	0	38%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	43→45	44→45	39	.198/.255/.304	.106	.297	11	5	36%	7%	52	-1.6	.193/.251/.287	.094	.336	9	7	42%	7%	46	-2.0	.147/.210/.229	.082	.244	10	4	42%	7%	11	-0.9
✕Dave Wallace 2007 · AA	27	38	46→45	45→40	42	.193/.269/.319	.126	.271	14	7	33%	7%	63	-0.8	.194/.267/.317	.123	.267	15	5	31%	8%	61	-1.0	.165/.243/.276	.112	.219	16	0	32%	8%	39	-0.7
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	46	.191/.291/.300	.109	.275	9	9	31%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.285/.288	.092	.287	7	7	32%	8%	63	-0.9	.183/.273/.260	.077	.276	6	4	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Brent Diaz 2022 · AA	26	41	43→45	45	39	.196/.275/.304	.108	.304	11	8	37%	7%	62	-0.9	.218/.283/.353	.135	.305	16	9	32%	6%	78	+0.2	.202/.265/.336	.134	.270	18	9	31%	5%	61	-0.3
✕Andrés Alvarez 2022 · A	25	44→31	42→45	51→50	42	.214/.274/.320	.106	.298	10	14	30%	7%	64	-0.8	.198/.268/.326	.128	.287	15	15	34%	8%	64	-0.8	.185/.257/.304	.120	.263	14	13	34%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→43	44→45	48→50	36	.203/.250/.319	.116	.288	12	9	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.216/.261/.332	.116	.297	11	10	30%	5%	62	-0.9	.216/.262/.331	.115	.289	11	10	28%	5%	58	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)