Joan Gutierrez — OGILVIE

Joan GutierrezSS DSL Brewers Blue

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK BB +10%HR +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.6 · 2033

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .294 / .317

PA120

HR2

K%28

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

38↗43

PWR

28↗33

SPD

55↗60

EYE

61↗66

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.6peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.5	$24M	+$23M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.6	$26M	+$25M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.5	$25M	+$24M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.3	$24M	+$19M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.0	$22M	+$15M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.7	$19M	+$10M
Totals		$23M		$139M	+$117M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	156	137	13	4	1	0	17	64	2	7	3	.095	.205	.139	.344	.044	.178	41	11	.170	-12	-20	+0	+0	+2	+4	-1.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	134	117	12	2	1	0	11	44	4	8	2	.103	.205	.137	.341	.034	.160	33	8	.159	-20	-18	+1	+0	+1	+4	-1.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	144	118	20	3	0	0	21	33	5	12	4	.169	.319	.195	.514	.025	.235	23	15	.246	46	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	MIL	120	106	23	4	1	2	11	34	2	2	1	.217	.303	.330	.633	.113	.286	28	9	.281	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	MIL	204	178	39	7	1	4	21	54	3	5	1	.219	.312	.337	.649	.118	.288	26	10	.298	86	-3	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	MIL	329	288	65	12	2	8	34	85	4	8	2	.226	.316	.365	.681	.139	.289	26	10	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2029	23	MLB 48%	MIL	414	362	84	16	2	11	44	104	5	11	2	.232	.324	.378	.702	.146	.290	25	11	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.7
2030	24	MLB 62%	MIL	471	411	96	18	3	13	51	116	6	12	3	.234	.327	.387	.714	.153	.290	25	11	.318	101	+1	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.1
2031	25	MLB 80%	MIL	504	436	103	19	3	14	56	124	7	13	3	.236	.333	.390	.723	.154	.291	25	11	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.4
2032	26	MLB 94%	MIL	522	451	107	20	3	15	59	128	7	13	3	.237	.335	.395	.729	.157	.291	25	11	.323	105	+3	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.5
2033	27	MLB	MIL	529	457	108	20	3	15	60	130	7	13	3	.236	.334	.392	.726	.155	.291	25	11	.323	105	+3	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.6
2034	28	MLB	MIL	529	457	107	20	3	15	60	131	7	13	2	.234	.332	.389	.722	.155	.291	25	11	.322	104	+3	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.5
2035	29	MLB	MIL	522	450	104	19	3	14	60	131	7	12	2	.231	.331	.380	.711	.149	.290	25	11	.320	103	+2	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.3
2036	30	MLB	MIL	513	442	102	19	3	14	59	130	7	11	2	.231	.331	.382	.713	.152	.288	25	12	.316	100	+0	+1	-2	+5	+15	2.0
2037	31	MLB	MIL	500	433	97	18	2	13	57	129	6	10	1	.224	.323	.365	.687	.141	.287	26	11	.313	97	-1	+2	-3	+5	+14	1.7
2038	32	MLB	MIL	483	419	92	17	2	12	55	127	6	9	0	.220	.319	.356	.674	.136	.285	26	11	.308	94	-3	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.4
2039	33	MLB	MIL	454	393	85	15	2	11	52	123	6	9	0	.216	.317	.349	.666	.132	.284	27	11	.302	90	-5	+2	-4	+5	+13	1.0
2040	34	MLB	MIL	408	354	75	13	2	9	46	114	5	8	0	.212	.311	.336	.647	.124	.282	28	11	.296	85	-7	+2	-5	+4	+12	0.6
2041	35	MLB	MIL	354	307	63	11	2	7	40	102	4	7	0	.205	.305	.322	.627	.117	.280	29	11	.288	79	-8	+1	-6	+4	+10	0.1
2042	36	MLB	MIL	295	257	51	9	1	6	33	88	3	6	0	.198	.297	.311	.608	.113	.277	30	11	.280	72	-9	+1	-6	+3	+8	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	MIL	232	202	39	7	1	4	25	72	3	5	0	.193	.291	.297	.588	.104	.273	31	11	.270	65	-9	+1	-7	+2	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7817	6775	1485	273	41	187	872	2063	106	194	34	.219	.318	.354	.672	.135	.284	26	11	.303	90	-88	+25	-38	+84	+221	20.8
/ 162G	—			650	563	124	23	3	16	73	172	9	16	3	.220	.319	.357	.676	.137	.286	26	11	.303	90	-7	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	156	126	20	6	2	27	44	2	7	3	.159	.314	.238	.552	.079	.244	28	17	.270	65	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	134	111	17	3	2	17	30	4	8	2	.153	.288	.216	.504	.063	.205	22	13	.244	45	-8	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	19	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	144	106	24	4	0	33	25	5	12	4	.226	.431	.264	.695	.038	.296	17	23	.347	124	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joan Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	20	38→43	28→33	55→60	66	.209/.294/.317	.108	.286	2	2	28%	9%	73	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	45→55	42→45	57→70	45	.220/.273/.329	.110	.277	8	17	23%	7%	66	-0.6	.218/.270/.313	.095	.291	8	18	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→52	43→50	52→55	54	.219/.321/.336	.117	.295	9	17	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.230/.314/.374	.144	.298	13	20	25%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.316/.381	.152	.296	15	21	26%	10%	95	+0.9
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A	20	46→56	39→50	53→50	46	.218/.277/.306	.088	.285	6	12	25%	7%	61	-1.0	.245/.301/.388	.143	.311	15	11	25%	7%	93	+1.3	.260/.330/.404	.144	.327	14	8	23%	9%	106	+1.8
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	51	40→45	50	56	.242/.330/.341	.100	.294	6	9	19%	11%	93	+1.3	.219/.290/.298	.079	.284	3	7	22%	8%	65	-0.7	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→53	42→55	54→60	45	.242/.287/.364	.122	.283	8	14	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.247/.293/.363	.116	.305	9	25	21%	5%	83	+0.6	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A	21	48→53	42→50	51→55	42	.228/.286/.337	.109	.309	8	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.293/.326	.100	.295	6	15	24%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
●Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	42→52	40→45	52→55	45	.200/.258/.300	.100	.254	5	12	23%	6%	52	-1.6	.245/.295/.353	.108	.319	5	15	23%	6%	81	+0.4	.255/.310/.365	.110	.340	6	19	25%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	45	37→40	47→40	49	.211/.278/.287	.076	.265	3	4	21%	8%	57	-1.2	.229/.290/.332	.103	.270	9	4	18%	7%	74	-0.1	.264/.310/.326	.062	.295	2	0	11%	6%	75	+0.0
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	49	39→45	59→60	51	.227/.311/.328	.101	.310	4	15	26%	10%	82	+0.5	.205/.273/.294	.089	.326	6	25	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.220/.298/.337	.116	.314	13	41	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	50	38→40	52→50	45	.230/.302/.320	.090	.314	3	12	26%	7%	76	+0.0	.214/.283/.288	.074	.342	3	11	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.171/.249/.199	.028	.339	0	12	45%	7%	20	-0.7
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→50	41→45	52→50	47	.214/.293/.319	.105	.323	8	13	34%	10%	72	-0.2	.209/.310/.338	.129	.295	15	12	31%	12%	85	+0.7	.208/.302/.326	.118	.280	14	14	29%	11%	76	+0.1
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50→49	45	49→50	47	.245/.300/.368	.123	.296	13	11	22%	7%	87	+0.8	.232/.316/.354	.122	.279	10	13	20%	9%	91	+1.1	.227/.316/.346	.119	.270	10	12	19%	10%	86	+0.7
●Brice Turang 2021 · A	21	45→55	36→45	54→60	50	.211/.287/.276	.065	.284	3	16	25%	9%	58	-1.2	.230/.292/.324	.094	.293	8	22	23%	8%	72	-0.2	.273/.346/.393	.120	.333	12	35	20%	10%	107	+1.7
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→47	41→45	46→55	51	.216/.301/.314	.097	.294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	.227/.294/.343	.116	.313	11	10	29%	8%	79	+0.3	.228/.299/.352	.124	.336	11	21	33%	9%	80	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)