Wen-Hui Pan

P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #674

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	33	1	64	3.96	2.03	33.8%	8.8%	—	K 26.8% · BB 9.5% · FIP 2.68
2024	21	MIX3 levels	18	5	29	2.15	1.63	29.2%	7.5%	—	K 20.7% · BB 9.8% · FIP 2.60
2026	23	MIX3 levels	38	0	41	3.10	2.73	27.0%	7.9%	—	K 16.0% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.79
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	86	0	90	4.86	4.86	19.1%	10.6%	-0.3
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBPHI	38	0	40	4.73	4.68	20.5%	10.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBPHI	58	0	61	4.62	4.58	21.3%	9.9%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control45Command40FB velo62

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsBobby Parnell (age 24) · James McDonald (age 24) · Austin Ross (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%19.1%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4555

CTRL—45

CMD3040

K†4555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	64	260	88	23	3	3%	1.9	26.8%	9.5%	17.3%	1.2%	3.96	2.68	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	1	64	260	88	23	3	3%	1.9	33.8%	8.8%	25.0%	1.2%	3.96	2.03	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	5	29	120	35	9	0	28%	1.6	20.7%	9.8%	10.8%	0.0%	2.15	2.60	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	5	29	120	35	9	0	28%	1.6	20.7%	9.8%	10.8%	0.0%	2.15	2.60	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	5	29	120	35	9	0	28%	1.6	29.2%	7.5%	21.7%	0.0%	2.15	1.63	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	41	178	48	14	3	0%	1.1	16.0%	9.3%	6.7%	3.4%	3.10	4.79	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	41	178	48	14	3	0%	1.1	16.0%	9.3%	6.7%	3.4%	3.10	4.79	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	41	178	48	14	3	0%	1.1	27.0%	7.9%	19.1%	1.7%	3.10	2.73	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	86	0	90	380	73	40	11	0%	1.0	19.1%	10.6%	8.5%	3.0%	4.86	4.86	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	87	0	91	385	79	39	12	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.1%	10.4%	3.0%	4.73	4.68	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	87	0	91	385	82	38	12	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.62	4.58	-0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	85	0	90	379	81	37	12	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.9%	11.5%	3.0%	4.60	4.60	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	PHI	83	0	87	367	78	37	12	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.0%	11.3%	3.1%	4.64	4.68	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	PHI	79	0	83	351	74	36	12	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	3.3%	4.74	4.81	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	PHI	74	0	78	330	75	32	12	0%	1.1	22.7%	9.7%	13.0%	3.5%	4.73	4.72	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	38	0	40	169	35	17	5	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.1%	10.4%	3.0%	4.73	4.68	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	58	0	61	258	55	25	8	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.0%	4.62	4.58	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	67	0	70	296	63	29	9	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.9%	11.5%	3.0%	4.60	4.60	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	PHI	70	0	73	308	65	31	10	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.0%	11.3%	3.1%	4.64	4.68	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	PHI	70	0	73	308	65	31	10	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	3.3%	4.74	4.81	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	PHI	67	0	70	296	67	29	10	0%	1.0	22.7%	9.7%	13.0%	3.5%	4.73	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		368	0	387	1634	350	162	52	0%	1.1	21.4%	9.9%	11.5%	3.2%	4.67	4.30	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	84	27	0%	1.1	21.4%	9.9%	11.5%	3.2%	4.67	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		89	6	134	558	123	53	9	7%	1.5	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	1.6%	3.30	3.34	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	9	200	835	184	79	14	7%	1.5	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	1.6%	3.30	3.34	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wen-Hui Pan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	19.1%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.62	21.1%	11.1%	272	-0.24	—	—	—
Bobby Parnell R 2009 · 4.00 FIP	24	SU	4.00	17.9%	10.7%	1.9%	.324	2.75	22.4%	15.8%	163	-1.25	2.08	403	89
James McDonald R 2009 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.3%	10.4%	2.1%	.283	4.16	20.4%	11.3%	414	+0.20	2.99	506	89
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	88
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	87
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	87
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	86
Matt Lollis R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	4.95	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.39	4.56	120	86
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	86
Daniel Webb R 2014 · 4.12 FIP	24	SU	4.12	19.6%	12.5%	2.0%	.272	4.56	15.7%	2.3%	58	+0.44	4.12	126	86
Andrew Cashner R 2010 · 4.51 FIP	23	SU	4.51	20.2%	10.1%	3.4%	.285	3.30	19.9%	13.0%	221	-1.21	2.94	1,185	86
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	86
Todd Van Steensel R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.48	2.87	223	86
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	86
Rhiner Cruz R 2012 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	18.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.335	4.81	10.2%	-1.0%	21	+0.01	3.21	127	85
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Matt Carasiti R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	24	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.8%	1.8%	.309	3.26	24.8%	15.5%	104	-0.59	2.80	312	85
Kyle McClellan R 2008 · 3.68 FIP	24	SU	3.68	18.0%	7.3%	2.1%	.304	4.41	15.6%	8.0%	284	+0.73	3.68	378	85
Kaleb Fontenot R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	20.7%	8.6%	3.7%	.264	3.71	14.7%	5.2%	69	-0.77	3.71	155	84
Mick VanVossen R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	24	SU	4.25	18.6%	8.9%	2.9%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	141	84
Stephen Villines R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.8%	8.5%	2.2%	.280	3.15	20.6%	14.7%	40	-0.81	2.14	156	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	87	21.0%	10.1%	1.21	4.70
Mickey Mahler ('77-'86, 0 WAR*)	2.0	81	20.4%*	10.3%*	1.20*	4.87*
Cy Moore ('29-'34, 1 WAR*)	2.3	93	21.3%*	9.8%*	1.25*	4.95*
Bill Fleming ('40-'46, 1 WAR*)	2.2	74	19.1%*	9.6%*	1.22*	4.54*
Zack Godley ('21)	2.8	95	22.1%	9.6%	1.16	4.92
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Scott Sanders ('99)	3.4	97	21.2%	9.3%	1.23	4.86