Railin Tea2B
DSL Rays
Age 20
S/R
5'9" / 162 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.3 · 2033
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .282 / .315
PA80
HR1
K%27
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.3peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.2 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.3 | $23M | +$22M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.2 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.0 | $21M | +$17M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.7 | $18M | +$13M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +1.4 | $16M | +$9M |
| Totals | $20M | $121M | +$101M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 173 | 161 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 49 | 3 | 18 | 5 | .193 | .244 | .280 | .524 | .087 | .268 | 28 | 5 | .224 | 30 | -14 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays | 176 | 146 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 12 | 19 | 3 | .158 | .289 | .233 | .522 | .075 | .214 | 25 | 9 | .226 | 31 | -14 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | TB | 80 | 73 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .287 | .329 | .616 | .110 | .286 | 26 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | TB | 123 | 110 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .236 | .311 | .382 | .693 | .145 | .289 | 25 | 8 | .294 | 84 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | TB | 269 | 239 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .234 | .315 | .381 | .695 | .146 | .290 | 25 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | TB | 374 | 332 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 90 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .235 | .315 | .380 | .695 | .145 | .291 | 24 | 9 | .315 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | TB | 444 | 394 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 105 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .239 | .320 | .396 | .716 | .157 | .291 | 24 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | TB | 487 | 431 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 46 | 115 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .241 | .324 | .404 | .728 | .162 | .292 | 24 | 9 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 2.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | TB | 512 | 450 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 121 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .242 | .327 | .407 | .734 | .164 | .292 | 24 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TB | 524 | 461 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 124 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .326 | .401 | .727 | .161 | .292 | 24 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 2.3 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TB | 527 | 463 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 126 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .240 | .326 | .400 | .725 | .160 | .292 | 24 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | TB | 522 | 458 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 126 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .240 | .327 | .402 | .729 | .162 | .291 | 24 | 10 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | TB | 514 | 451 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 126 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .235 | .322 | .390 | .712 | .155 | .290 | 25 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | TB | 502 | 440 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 125 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .232 | .320 | .382 | .702 | .150 | .288 | 25 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | TB | 485 | 428 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 123 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .227 | .313 | .371 | .685 | .145 | .287 | 25 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | TB | 456 | 402 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 119 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .224 | .311 | .363 | .674 | .139 | .285 | 26 | 10 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | TB | 411 | 363 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 111 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .218 | .304 | .350 | .654 | .132 | .284 | 27 | 10 | .298 | 87 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | TB | 356 | 314 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .213 | .300 | .338 | .638 | .124 | .281 | 28 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | TB | 298 | 263 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .205 | .294 | .323 | .617 | .118 | .278 | 29 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7233 | 6379 | 1464 | 259 | 47 | 193 | 687 | 1807 | 107 | 144 | 24 | .230 | .315 | .376 | .690 | .146 | .288 | 25 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -44 | +19 | -31 | +26 | +205 | 17.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 131 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 62 | 162 | 10 | 13 | 2 | .229 | .315 | .372 | .686 | .143 | .287 | 25 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -4 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 1.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 173 | 156 | 40 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 3 | 18 | 5 | .256 | .326 | .404 | .729 | .147 | .314 | 20 | 8 | .324 | 106 | +1 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays | 176 | 138 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 3 | .196 | .358 | .290 | .648 | .094 | .241 | 18 | 13 | .308 | 94 | -1 | +3 | — | — | +5 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Railin Tea (OGILVIE) | 20 | — | — | — | — | .213/.282/.315 | .102 | .286 | 1 | 1 | 27% | 7% | 67 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Dylan Carlson 2019 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 43→55 | 45→50 | 45 | .206/.277/.315 | .109 | .279 | 10 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .228/.297/.383 | .155 | .293 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .242/.327/.396 | .154 | .296 | 14 | 4 | 22% | 9% | 105 | +1.6 |
|
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A |
20 | 42→48 | 40→50 | 49→50 | 44 | .205/.261/.303 | .099 | .264 | 7 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .223/.284/.349 | .126 | .283 | 12 | 10 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .227/.291/.359 | .132 | .280 | 13 | 10 | 23% | 7% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 40→45 | 55 | 44 | .197/.264/.289 | .093 | .275 | 8 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .236/.299/.340 | .104 | .314 | 7 | 24 | 25% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .253/.315/.362 | .109 | .325 | 7 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
●Adael Amador 2022 · A |
19 | 45→54 | 41→50 | 45→55 | 47 | .219/.281/.317 | .098 | .274 | 8 | 11 | 23% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .241/.317/.373 | .132 | .280 | 15 | 17 | 19% | 9% | 97 | +1.5 | .233/.312/.369 | .136 | .267 | 17 | 23 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A |
21 | 42→52 | 40→50 | 51→55 | 43 | .206/.261/.296 | .090 | .274 | 8 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .202/.269/.286 | .084 | .291 | 7 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .228/.311/.359 | .130 | .302 | 13 | 25 | 27% | 10% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
✕Abraham Almonte 2009 · A |
20 | 39→49 | 42→55 | 52→55 | 45 | .194/.252/.299 | .105 | .252 | 9 | 19 | 26% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .220/.264/.315 | .095 | .289 | 6 | 20 | 25% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .232/.330/.424 | .192 | .279 | 22 | 11 | 24% | 12% | 111 | +1.5 |
|
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→50 | 51→55 | 44 | .214/.271/.302 | .088 | .272 | 7 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .265/.329/.388 | .123 | .318 | 11 | 15 | 19% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .283/.348/.417 | .134 | .334 | 12 | 17 | 18% | 7% | 116 | +2.4 |
|
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .212/.263/.298 | .086 | .291 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .258/.304/.406 | .148 | .329 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 5% | 99 | +1.7 | .278/.321/.456 | .177 | .328 | 21 | 21 | 21% | 5% | 116 | +2.7 |
|
✕Thairo Estrada 2016 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→50 | 48→55 | 41 | .211/.264/.302 | .090 | .275 | 5 | 8 | 24% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .255/.297/.344 | .089 | .303 | 8 | 9 | 18% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .270/.326/.420 | .150 | .314 | 17 | 21 | 19% | 5% | 108 | +1.8 |
|
✕Miguel Gómez 2013 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 38→50 | 49→40 | 41 | .201/.259/.282 | .081 | .276 | 4 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .220/.266/.316 | .096 | .291 | 7 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .271/.288/.403 | .133 | .305 | 14 | 1 | 16% | 2% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
●Anthony Santander 2015 · A |
20 | 39→49 | 40→65 | 47→45 | 40 | .192/.246/.287 | .095 | .263 | 8 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .220/.272/.355 | .135 | .289 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .242/.317/.473 | .231 | .257 | 31 | 2 | 20% | 9% | 120 | +3.4 |
|
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 45→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .213/.264/.339 | .126 | .281 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .248/.297/.383 | .135 | .313 | 14 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .257/.307/.397 | .140 | .313 | 15 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
✕Niko Goodrum 2013 · A |
21 | 40→50 | 39→55 | 51→55 | 41 | .191/.252/.280 | .089 | .282 | 5 | 8 | 33% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .212/.279/.299 | .087 | .310 | 5 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .231/.306/.406 | .174 | .310 | 18 | 16 | 30% | 9% | 97 | +1.0 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2009 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 40→60 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.249/.300 | .098 | .290 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .240/.291/.399 | .159 | .335 | 16 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A |
20 | 41→50 | 42→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .202/.253/.302 | .099 | .256 | 10 | 14 | 25% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .228/.267/.382 | .154 | .289 | 16 | 19 | 26% | 4% | 77 | +0.1 | .244/.283/.399 | .155 | .300 | 17 | 24 | 24% | 4% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A |
20 | 41→50 | 41→45 | 47→55 | 46 | .198/.271/.297 | .099 | .267 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.270/.283 | .085 | .271 | 5 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .229/.318/.327 | .099 | .300 | 9 | 17 | 24% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A |
20 | 43→49 | 39→45 | 48→50 | 50 | .204/.281/.297 | .094 | .268 | 5 | 9 | 25% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .218/.305/.288 | .070 | .282 | 4 | 10 | 21% | 11% | 69 | -0.4 | .247/.316/.352 | .105 | .295 | 9 | 16 | 18% | 9% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Edmundo Sosa 2016 · A |
20 | 45→50 | 41→55 | 49→50 | 44 | .217/.269/.316 | .099 | .260 | 8 | 8 | 20% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .228/.265/.309 | .081 | .295 | 6 | 6 | 24% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .254/.298/.423 | .169 | .308 | 18 | 9 | 23% | 4% | 99 | +0.8 |
|
●Yonathan Perlaza 2019 · A |
20 | 44→52 | 37→60 | 48→50 | 38 | .209/.246/.281 | .072 | .297 | 3 | 12 | 30% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .218/.268/.312 | .094 | .317 | 8 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .235/.307/.417 | .182 | .303 | 19 | 12 | 28% | 9% | 100 | +1.6 |
|
●Oneil Cruz 2019 · A |
20 | 43→51 | 43→60 | 47→55 | 36 | .212/.251/.327 | .115 | .305 | 11 | 8 | 34% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .228/.271/.373 | .145 | .324 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .241/.304/.442 | .201 | .317 | 25 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.7 |