Nick Trabacchi

P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 28 RHP 5'10" / 200 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	26	A+MIN	20	28	3.81	2.96	22.6%	10.5%	—	K 17.4% · BB 12.1% · FIP 3.73
2026	27	A+MIN	31	55	8.18	5.32	23.2%	11.0%	—	K 17.9% · BB 12.7% · FIP 6.44
2027PROJ	28	MLBMIN	30	32	5.29	5.29	19.0%	12.1%	-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	29	MLBMIN	9	9	5.27	5.32	19.2%	12.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Thad Weber (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%19.0%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%6.8%

Proj IP32

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	26	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	20	0	28	124	28	13	1	0%	1.4	17.4%	12.1%	5.3%	1.0%	3.81	3.73	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	20	0	28	124	28	13	1	0%	1.4	17.4%	12.1%	5.3%	1.0%	3.81	3.73	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	20	0	28	124	28	13	1	0%	1.4	22.6%	10.5%	12.1%	0.8%	3.81	2.96	—
2026	27	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	31	0	55	254	59	28	12	0%	1.8	17.9%	12.7%	5.2%	5.9%	8.18	6.44	—
2026	27	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	31	0	55	254	59	28	12	0%	1.8	17.9%	12.7%	5.2%	5.9%	8.18	6.44	—
2026	27	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	31	0	55	254	59	28	12	0%	1.8	23.2%	11.0%	12.2%	4.7%	8.18	5.32	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	MIN	30	0	32	135	26	16	5	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.1%	6.8%	3.4%	5.29	5.29	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	29	0	31	129	25	16	5	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.0%	7.1%	3.5%	5.27	5.32	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	9	0	9	38	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.0%	7.1%	3.5%	5.27	5.32	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	39	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.0%	7.1%	3.5%	5.27	4.94	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	108	22	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.0%	7.1%	3.5%	5.27	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		51	0	83	378	67	47	16	0%	1.6	17.7%	12.5%	5.2%	4.3%	6.70	5.55	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	0	200	907	161	113	39	0%	1.6	17.7%	12.5%	5.2%	4.3%	6.70	5.55	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Trabacchi (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	19.0%	12.1%	3.4%	—	5.32	19.2%	7.1%	31	+0.03	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	91
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	87
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	86
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	85
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	84
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	83
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	83
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	83
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	82
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	81
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	81
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	81
Chris Hatcher R 2012 · 5.60 FIP	27	SU	5.60	15.2%	9.1%	4.8%	.298	2.68	26.4%	20.9%	95	-2.92	2.51	246	81
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	81
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	80
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	19.1%	12.1%	1.34	5.28
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68