Michael Sansone

P Worcester Red Sox

Age 27 LHP 5'9" / 195 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	ASalem Red Sox	20	3	72	3.11	2.31	23.6%	3.1%	—	K 17.5% · BB 3.7% · FIP 3.15
2025	25	MIX3 levels	27	7	88	3.46	3.37	20.6%	3.9%	—	K 15.7% · BB 4.6% · FIP 4.22
2026	26	MIX2 levels	25	17	111	5.74	5.30	20.0%	9.4%	—	K 16.7% · BB 9.3% · FIP 5.94
2027PROJ	27	MLBBOS	67	0	70	5.48	5.48	14.8%	7.7%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBBOS	28	0	29	5.41	5.45	15.5%	8.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBBOS	36	0	38	5.42	5.49	15.9%	8.3%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control60Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAaron Rozek (age 27) · Dan Meyer (age 27) · Brian Holmes (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 137

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%14.8%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6060

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	4	0	5	19	6	1	0	0%	1.3	31.6%	5.3%	26.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	4	0	5	19	6	1	0	0%	1.3	31.6%	5.3%	26.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.41	—
2023	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	15	0	28	113	37	5	3	0%	1.9	24.2%	5.2%	19.0%	3.2%	3.49	3.48	—
2023	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	15	0	28	113	37	5	3	0%	1.9	32.7%	4.4%	28.3%	2.7%	3.49	2.39	—
2024	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	3	72	288	68	9	4	15%	3.6	17.5%	3.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.11	3.15	—
2024	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	3	72	288	68	9	4	15%	3.6	17.5%	3.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.11	3.15	—
2024	24	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	20	3	72	288	68	9	4	15%	3.6	23.6%	3.1%	20.5%	1.4%	3.11	2.31	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	7	88	360	74	14	10	26%	3.3	15.7%	4.6%	11.0%	3.4%	3.46	4.22	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	7	88	360	74	14	10	26%	3.3	15.7%	4.6%	11.0%	3.4%	3.46	4.22	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	7	88	360	74	14	10	26%	3.3	20.6%	3.9%	16.7%	2.8%	3.46	3.37	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	17	111	466	93	44	23	68%	4.5	16.7%	9.3%	7.4%	5.6%	5.74	5.94	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	17	111	466	93	44	23	68%	4.5	16.7%	9.3%	7.4%	5.6%	5.74	5.94	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	17	111	466	93	44	23	68%	4.5	20.0%	9.4%	10.5%	4.9%	5.74	5.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	BOS	67	0	70	296	44	23	12	0%	1.0	14.8%	7.7%	7.1%	4.1%	5.48	5.48	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	65	0	68	287	44	23	12	0%	1.0	15.5%	8.0%	7.5%	4.1%	5.41	5.45	-0.7
2029	29	MLB MLE	BOS	62	0	65	274	43	23	11	0%	1.0	15.9%	8.3%	7.5%	4.2%	5.42	5.49	-0.7
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	28	0	29	122	19	10	5	0%	1.0	15.5%	8.0%	7.5%	4.1%	5.41	5.45	-0.3
2029	29	MLB CTX	BOS	36	0	38	160	25	13	7	0%	1.1	15.9%	8.3%	7.5%	4.2%	5.42	5.49	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	0	67	283	45	23	12	0%	1.0	15.7%	8.2%	7.5%	4.2%	5.42	5.09	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	134	69	36	0%	1.1	15.7%	8.2%	7.5%	4.2%	5.42	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		91	27	306	1246	218	77	48	30%	3.4	17.5%	6.2%	11.3%	3.8%	4.15	4.50	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	18	200	815	142	51	31	30%	3.4	17.5%	6.2%	11.3%	3.8%	4.15	4.50	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Sansone (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	14.8%	7.7%	4.1%	—	5.47	15.7%	7.5%	133	-0.01	—	—	—
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.34	16.7%	9.5%	356	-0.53	3.68	579	80
Dan Meyer L 2008 · 5.66 FIP	27	SW	5.66	15.2%	10.6%	4.5%	.315	3.73	23.1%	15.2%	58	-1.93	3.73	112	76
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	76
Ryan Kellogg L 2021 · 4.33 FIP	27	SW	4.33	12.3%	5.2%	2.9%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	446	75
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	74
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	74
Jordan Carr L 2024 · 4.42 FIP	27	SW	4.42	13.1%	8.8%	2.4%	.295	6.61	11.8%	-1.7%	47	+2.19	3.49	269	74
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	72
Pat Misch L 2009 · 5.15 FIP	27	SW	5.15	8.5%	7.4%	3.3%	.271	3.50	14.5%	12.6%	38	-1.65	3.50	265	72
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	427	70
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	69
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	69
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	69
Chris Michalak L 2001 · 4.92 FIP	30	SP-	4.92	11.0%	8.2%	3.1%	.291	4.71	7.0%	-4.3%	14	-0.21	4.71	186	68
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	68
Kirk McCarty L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	26	SW	5.75	17.2%	8.1%	5.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	429	68
Jason Wheeler L 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	16.1%	5.8%	3.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	401	67
Frank Garces L 2016 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.317	4.84	15.0%	7.1%	132	+0.52	4.32	306	67
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	67
Phil Dumatrait L 2008 · 4.39 FIP	27	SP-	4.39	14.8%	11.4%	2.0%	.298	5.73	13.9%	2.0%	54	+1.34	4.39	151	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	15.4%	8.0%	1.60	5.44
Ricky Stone ('07)	1.3	64	15.2%	8.0%	1.55	4.68
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Ken MacKenzie ('60-'65, -3 WAR*)	1.0	69	20.1%*	7.3%*	1.83*	5.50*
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*