Zach Veen prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Zach Veen P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%21.1%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%10.5%

ROS IP41

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	3	0	3	11	4	0	1	0%	1.0	36.4%	0.0%	36.4%	9.1%	3.00	5.02	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	3	0	3	11	4	0	1	0%	1.0	36.4%	0.0%	36.4%	9.1%	3.00	4.77	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	41	0	58	252	48	26	6	0%	1.4	14.1%	12.2%	1.9%	3.2%	4.32	5.19	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	41	0	58	252	48	26	6	0%	1.4	14.1%	12.2%	1.9%	3.2%	4.32	5.19	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	41	0	58	252	48	26	6	0%	1.4	19.0%	10.3%	8.7%	2.4%	4.32	4.13	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.1%	10.6%	10.5%	3.0%	4.69	4.69	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	39	0	41	172	37	18	5	0%	1.0	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	3.0%	4.64	4.63	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	16	0	17	72	15	7	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	3.0%	4.64	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	17	74	16	8	2	0%	1.0	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	3.0%	4.64	4.25	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	92	23	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	3.0%	4.64	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		44	0	61	263	40	31	9	0%	1.4	15.0%	11.7%	3.4%	3.4%	4.26	5.19	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	0	200	858	129	100	29	0%	1.4	15.0%	11.7%	3.4%	3.4%	4.26	5.19	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Veen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	21.1%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.63	21.5%	11.1%	41	-0.06	—	—	—
Aaron Fultz L 2000 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.7%	9.4%	2.7%	.294	3.88	19.4%	12.5%	180	-0.12	3.46	480	89
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	88
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	88
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	87
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	87
Wayne Franklin L 2000 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	20.4%	10.7%	1.9%	.319	5.53	13.7%	2.4%	231	+1.73	3.80	315	87
Elvis Araujo L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	21.0%	9.8%	2.8%	.308	5.18	22.9%	11.1%	38	+1.09	2.46	120	86
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	86
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	85
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	85
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	84
Bailey Horn L 2023 · 3.91 FIP	25	SU	3.91	21.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.322	4.56	22.4%	11.6%	110	+0.65	3.90	265	84
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	84
Jerry Vasto L 2017 · 4.16 FIP	25	SU	4.16	22.2%	10.2%	3.0%	.382	3.52	24.0%	12.5%	38	-0.64	2.89	206	84
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	84
Williams Jerez L 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	17.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.294	3.81	24.0%	15.1%	127	-0.24	3.58	364	84
Jared Tobey L 2021 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	23.6%	11.8%	2.8%	.341	8.03	20.1%	1.1%	25	+3.92	3.99	158	83
B.J. Ryan L 2001 · 3.96 FIP	25	SU	3.96	22.8%	11.0%	2.5%	.272	2.67	29.1%	19.3%	195	-1.29	1.77	532	83
Michael Johnson L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	25	SU	4.67	18.2%	10.4%	3.3%	.352	4.72	17.4%	7.6%	129	+0.05	3.92	256	83
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	41	21.3%	10.5%	1.16	4.67
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16