Kevin Stevens

P Somerset Patriots

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	AANYY	31	0	39	2.54	2.13	34.8%	9.9%	—	K 28.2% · BB 10.9% · FIP 2.90
2025	27	MIX2 levels	2	1	2	0.00	1.60	42.9%	14.3%	—	K 42.9% · BB 14.3% · FIP 1.29
2026	28	MIX4 levels	22	0	22	4.50	2.65	33.3%	5.2%	—	K 30.8% · BB 4.4% · FIP 3.69
2027PROJ	29	MLBNYY	9	0	9	3.83	3.83	27.2%	7.6%	0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBNYY	6	0	6	3.99	4.06	26.4%	8.1%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCody Hall (age 29) · Scott Atchison (age 28) · Ryan Brasier (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10698vR 90

ERA3.83

FIP3.83

K%27.2%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%19.5%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	5	28	3	3	0	0%	0.9	10.7%	10.7%	0.0%	0.0%	7.71	3.55	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	5	28	3	3	0	0%	0.9	10.7%	10.7%	0.0%	0.0%	7.71	3.74	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	31	0	39	161	56	16	2	0%	1.3	28.2%	10.9%	17.2%	1.5%	2.54	2.90	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	31	0	39	161	56	16	2	0%	1.3	28.2%	10.9%	17.2%	1.5%	2.54	2.90	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	31	0	39	161	56	16	2	0%	1.3	34.8%	9.9%	24.8%	1.2%	2.54	2.13	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	1	2	7	3	1	0	50%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	1	2	7	3	1	0	50%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	1	2	7	3	1	0	50%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	0	22	96	32	5	3	0%	1.0	30.8%	4.4%	26.4%	4.8%	4.50	3.69	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	0	22	96	32	5	3	0%	1.0	30.8%	4.4%	26.4%	4.8%	4.50	3.69	—
2026	28	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	0	22	96	32	5	3	0%	1.0	33.3%	5.2%	28.1%	3.1%	4.50	2.65	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	NYY	9	0	9	38	10	3	1	0%	1.0	27.2%	7.6%	19.5%	3.1%	3.83	3.83	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	22	7	3	0%	1.1	26.4%	8.1%	18.3%	3.3%	3.99	4.06	+0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	NYY	6	0	6	25	7	2	1	0%	1.0	26.4%	8.1%	18.3%	3.3%	3.99	4.06	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	7	2	1	0%	1.0	26.4%	8.1%	18.3%	3.3%	3.99	3.68	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	224	64	32	0%	1.1	26.4%	8.1%	18.3%	3.3%	3.99	3.68	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		60	1	68	292	81	26	7	2%	1.1	27.7%	8.8%	18.9%	2.4%	3.46	3.19	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		177	3	200	863	239	76	21	2%	1.1	27.7%	8.8%	18.9%	2.4%	3.46	3.19	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Stevens (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.83	27.2%	7.6%	3.1%	—	4.06	26.4%	18.3%	20	+0.23	—	—	—
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	83
Scott Atchison R 2004 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	27.1%	9.0%	3.0%	.309	4.55	19.1%	11.5%	31	+0.94	2.52	340	83
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	81
Jumbo Diaz R 2014 · 2.87 FIP	30	SU	2.87	26.1%	7.0%	2.0%	.283	3.64	23.0%	15.0%	186	+0.77	2.80	319	81
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	79
Michael Flynn R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	27	SU	3.99	27.6%	8.3%	3.9%	.277	4.68	16.2%	3.7%	50	+0.69	3.89	168	79
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	78
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	77
Jason Stoffel R 2016 · 3.49 FIP	27	SU	3.49	27.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	103	77
Kaleb Fleck R 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.6%	5.9%	3.1%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	2.68	177	77
Kiko Calero R 2004 · 3.05 FIP	29	SU	3.05	28.0%	5.4%	3.0%	.206	3.33	23.1%	14.6%	154	+0.28	2.27	298	76
Erik Davis R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	29	SU	3.05	24.4%	9.5%	1.5%	.329	3.88	19.8%	9.8%	129	+0.83	3.05	227	76
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	76
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	76
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2000 · 3.93 FIP	32	SU	3.93	29.4%	9.8%	3.8%	.212	2.88	24.9%	19.3%	161	-1.05	2.76	223	76
Manny Acosta R 2010 · 3.61 FIP	29	SU	3.61	26.8%	10.8%	2.5%	.277	4.12	21.9%	12.6%	94	+0.51	3.08	350	75
Jaye Chapman R 2016 · 3.25 FIP	29	SU	3.25	24.6%	6.4%	2.6%	.274	5.51	13.0%	-0.4%	31	+2.26	3.10	162	75
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	75
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	75
Jake Sanchez R 2019 · 2.83 FIP	29	SU	2.83	23.8%	4.7%	2.1%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	361	74