Trevor Kuncl

P Louisville Bats

Age 28 RHP 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	26	AACIN	47	50	2.34	2.86	25.6%	8.5%	—	K 20.8% · BB 9.4% · FIP 3.51
2026	27	AAACIN	40	38	5.40	4.20	23.6%	16.3%	—	K 20.3% · BB 14.7% · FIP 4.26
2027PROJ	28	MLBCIN	56	59	4.67	4.67	21.7%	12.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBCIN	20	21	4.72	4.77	21.6%	12.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	30	MLBCIN	28	29	4.82	4.91	21.4%	12.5%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff58Control45Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsCody Satterwhite (age 28) · Tyler Yates (age 28) · Dustin Molleken (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%21.7%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%9.1%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5060

CTRL5045

CMD5050

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	47	0	50	199	51	17	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.4%	11.4%	1.8%	2.34	3.51	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	47	0	50	199	51	17	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.4%	11.4%	1.8%	2.34	3.51	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	47	0	50	199	51	17	3	0%	1.1	25.6%	8.5%	17.1%	1.5%	2.34	2.86	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	40	0	38	178	42	29	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	14.7%	5.6%	1.9%	5.40	4.26	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	40	0	38	178	42	29	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	14.7%	5.6%	1.9%	5.40	4.26	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	40	0	38	178	42	29	3	0%	1.0	23.6%	16.3%	7.3%	1.7%	5.40	4.20	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CIN	56	0	59	249	54	31	7	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.5%	9.1%	2.6%	4.67	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	54	0	56	237	51	29	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.4%	9.2%	2.8%	4.72	4.77	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	CIN	50	0	53	223	48	28	7	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.5%	8.9%	3.0%	4.82	4.91	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	20	0	21	89	19	11	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.4%	9.2%	2.8%	4.72	4.77	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	CIN	28	0	29	122	26	15	4	0%	1.0	21.4%	12.5%	8.9%	3.0%	4.82	4.91	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		47	0	50	210	45	26	6	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.5%	9.0%	2.9%	4.78	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	104	24	0%	1.0	21.5%	12.5%	9.0%	2.9%	4.78	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		87	0	88	377	77	45	7	0%	1.0	20.5%	11.9%	8.7%	1.8%	3.67	3.86	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		197	0	200	854	175	101	15	0%	1.0	20.5%	11.9%	8.7%	1.8%	3.67	3.86	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trevor Kuncl (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	21.7%	12.5%	2.6%	—	4.84	21.5%	9.1%	109	+0.17	—	—	—
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	87
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	86
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	86
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	84
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	84
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	84
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	84
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	83
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	82
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	81
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	81
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	81
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	80
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	80
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	21.6%	12.5%	1.09	4.73
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57