Dalton Davis — OGILVIE

Dalton Davis1B ACL Mariners

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .284 / .332

PA76

HR1

K%27

BB%6

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 62 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT62

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE38

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	28	23	9	1	0	1	4	4	0	1	1	391	481	565	1.047	174	421	14	14	446	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	128	113	42	11	2	1	9	12	5	7	1	372	441	531	972	159	406	9	7	428	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	113	99	32	15	0	2	10	15	4	4	0	323	407	535	942	212	366	13	9	415	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	28	24	9	1	0	1	3	5	0	1	1	375	444	542	986	167	374	18	11	404	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	128	117	31	7	1	1	5	17	5	7	1	265	323	368	690	103	298	13	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	113	103	22	10	0	1	6	22	4	4	0	214	283	340	623	126	250	19	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	156	141	40	8	1	2	8	22	5	8	2	284	344	397	741	113	319	14	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	156	136	51	12	2	2	13	16	5	8	2	375	448	537	985	162	408	10	8	431	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	113	103	22	10	0	1	6	22	4	4	0	214	283	340	623	126	263	19	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	113	99	32	15	0	2	10	15	4	4	0	323	407	535	942	212	366	13	9	415	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	156	142	40	8	1	2	8	22	5	8	2	282	344	394	739	113	312	14	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	113	102	22	10	0	1	6	22	4	4	0	216	283	343	626	127	250	19	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	24	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	156	142	40	8	1	2	8	22	5	8	2	282	344	394	739	113	312	14	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	113	102	22	10	0	1	6	22	4	4	0	216	283	343	626	127	250	19	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	200	182	41	9	1	3	13	53	3	4	1	226	286	335	621	109	300	26	6	279	75	-6	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	26%	117	106	25	5	1	2	8	31	2	2	1	226	287	336	622	110	299	26	7	280	76	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	26%	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	224	285	331	616	108	296	27	7	278	76	-1	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	179	233	214	448	36	250	27	7	278	82	-1	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	109	22	0	0	43	173	0	22	0	180	234	216	450	36	251	27	7	278	82	-19	+4	+0	-12	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	462	420	103	26	3	6	27	95	12	15	3	245	309	364	674	119	301	21	6	290	82	-6	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	145	37	4	8	38	134	17	21	4	245	310	362	672	117	302	21	6	290	82	-19	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dalton Davis (OGILVIE)	26	62	34	51	38	224/284/332	108	300	1	1	27%	6%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steve Kleen 2009 · A	26	47→51	39→40	46→40	45	224/286/307	83	293	6	4	24%	7%	70	-0.9	231/294/345	114	282	12	4	22%	7%	82	-0.0	231/296/345	114	276	13	2	21%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Barrett Barnes 2017 · AA	26	49→53	44→45	49→50	44	236/297/359	123	307	10	12	26%	7%	86	+0.3	226/298/346	120	313	10	9	29%	7%	84	+0.1	195/289/316	121	269	13	5	30%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Carter Howell 2024 · A	25	47→51	42→40	50	44	226/283/334	108	303	8	9	27%	7%	74	-0.5	217/277/311	94	289	6	11	25%	7%	67	-1.1	211/273/299	88	280	4	11	25%	6%	60	-1.2
✕Juan Carlos Perez 2013 · AA	26	49→54	42→45	49→55	39	239/271/347	109	298	8	16	23%	4%	72	-0.7	232/269/350	118	288	10	17	22%	4%	72	-0.7	225/269/337	112	284	9	19	23%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Diosbel Arias 2022 · AA	26	48→52	38→40	44→40	43	231/276/307	76	298	5	5	24%	6%	65	-1.2	232/288/335	103	320	9	5	28%	7%	77	-0.3	228/290/336	108	326	9	3	31%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Marty Herum 2018 · AA	26	52→54	41→45	46→45	40	250/281/349	100	303	7	5	20%	4%	77	-0.3	239/277/338	99	309	8	5	24%	5%	73	-0.6	240/278/330	90	312	8	1	25%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Ryan Bear 2007 · AA	26	49→56	38→40	46→45	47	234/290/315	81	287	5	9	20%	7%	72	-0.7	223/279/326	103	283	10	7	24%	6%	72	-0.7	215/269/320	106	272	12	3	25%	6%	63	-0.9
✕Rawley Bishop 2012 · AA	26	48→49	43→45	51→50	43	230/292/338	108	308	10	12	28%	7%	79	-0.2	217/275/310	93	297	8	13	28%	6%	66	-1.1	201/259/280	79	278	6	14	28%	6%	52	-1.8
✕Jeff McVaney 2015 · A	25	45→52	42→45	48→50	43	219/277/329	110	274	8	10	23%	6%	72	-0.7	227/294/324	97	281	6	13	20%	7%	77	-0.3	227/298/317	91	280	5	13	19%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Allen Córdoba 2022 · AA	26	52→51	42→45	47→55	45	248/312/362	114	302	9	14	20%	6%	93	+0.8	217/287/326	109	273	10	17	23%	6%	75	-0.5	125/208/188	63	153	9	40	24%	5%	14	-0.9
✕Blaise Salter 2018 · A	25	49→51	41→45	49→30	39	236/278/345	109	302	7	3	24%	4%	75	-0.5	228/267/336	108	305	9	5	27%	4%	69	-0.9	222/238/326	104	299	9	0	29%	0%	54	-0.6
✕Matt Oberste 2018 · AA	26	53→57	39→45	44→30	45	249/300/338	89	318	6	3	23%	6%	82	-0.0	216/265/312	96	285	9	5	26%	5%	63	-1.4	155/193/233	77	197	11	0	28%	3%	15	-1.9
✕Chris Rahl 2010 · AA	26	47→56	40→45	52→55	38	224/259/327	103	302	6	17	28%	4%	63	-1.3	239/278/353	114	324	9	20	28%	4%	77	-0.3	246/284/366	120	330	10	24	28%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Kyle Shelton 2011 · A	25	50	41→45	50→40	39	238/281/339	100	324	9	5	28%	5%	74	-0.5	223/276/332	109	292	10	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	207/262/296	89	263	8	5	23%	6%	56	-0.9
●David Hensley 2022 · AA	26	50→60	42→45	49→55	42	238/289/345	106	333	8	11	30%	7%	79	-0.2	238/321/363	125	340	10	16	30%	11%	96	+1.0	226/319/349	123	323	10	19	30%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Chuckie Caufield 2009 · A	26	46→51	38→45	49→50	42	219/270/302	83	270	5	10	21%	5%	62	-1.4	224/277/315	91	289	7	7	24%	5%	68	-1.0	227/282/325	99	295	7	7	25%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Tyler Hill 2022 · A	26	47→48	44→40	43→55	43	233/286/346	113	286	12	10	22%	6%	78	-0.3	210/269/314	104	292	10	21	30%	7%	65	-1.2	178/237/269	91	239	12	38	30%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Noochie Varner 2007 · AA	26	52→55	41→45	48→45	43	249/295/359	110	308	7	9	21%	5%	84	+0.2	241/287/351	110	294	9	7	20%	5%	80	-0.2	246/290/348	102	293	7	3	18%	5%	79	-0.1
✕José Azocar 2021 · AA	25	51→56	39→45	50→65	34	241/268/324	83	335	6	9	30%	3%	65	-1.2	241/282/352	111	321	8	23	26%	5%	78	-0.3	243/284/353	111	319	8	29	25%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Shawn Pleffner 2015 · A	25	51→56	38→40	51→45	46	239/292/322	82	308	4	9	23%	7%	74	-0.5	241/289/317	76	304	4	5	21%	6%	72	-0.7	247/295/316	69	307	3	2	19%	6%	72	-0.5