Dalton Davis1B
ACL Mariners
Age 25
R/R
6'0" / 210 lbs
ROK
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .281 / .324
PA114
HR2
K%28
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2037 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $3M | $-24M | -$27M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$27M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$27M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | ROK | 2 teams | 156 | 140 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .307 | .370 | .436 | .806 | .129 | .347 | 14 | 6 | .343 | 120 | +4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +4 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 114 | 103 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .223 | .292 | .340 | .632 | .117 | .290 | 28 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | SEA | 188 | 169 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .225 | .296 | .349 | .645 | .124 | .292 | 28 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | SEA | 262 | 236 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 71 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .225 | .296 | .356 | .652 | .131 | .292 | 27 | 8 | .289 | 80 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 36% | SEA | 312 | 281 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 85 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .224 | .294 | .352 | .647 | .128 | .291 | 27 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 46% | SEA | 337 | 304 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 92 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .290 | .342 | .633 | .122 | .291 | 27 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | SEA | 353 | 317 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 98 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .218 | .291 | .334 | .626 | .117 | .289 | 28 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | SEA | 350 | 315 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 98 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .216 | .288 | .333 | .622 | .117 | .288 | 28 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -10 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 83% | SEA | 338 | 305 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .213 | .284 | .331 | .615 | .118 | .286 | 29 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 313 | 282 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 92 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .281 | .323 | .603 | .113 | .285 | 29 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -12 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 272 | 246 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 82 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .281 | .325 | .607 | .114 | .283 | 30 | 8 | .266 | 61 | -12 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2995 | 2698 | 600 | 105 | 20 | 60 | 238 | 821 | 32 | 29 | 6 | .222 | .293 | .343 | .636 | .120 | .294 | 27 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -81 | +3 | -20 | -53 | +85 | -6.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 586 | 130 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 52 | 178 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .222 | .293 | .341 | .635 | .119 | .293 | 27 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -18 | +1 | -4 | -12 | +18 | -1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | A | Modesto Nuts | 28 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .391 | .481 | .565 | 1.047 | .174 | .421 | 14 | 14 | .446 | 199 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 128 | 113 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .372 | .441 | .531 | .972 | .159 | .406 | 9 | 7 | .428 | 185 | +12 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Dalton Davis (OGILVIE) | 25 | — | — | — | — | .214/.281/.324 | .110 | .290 | 2 | 2 | 28% | 8% | 69 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A |
25 | 42 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 40 | .205/.274/.313 | .109 | .276 | 8 | 7 | 28% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .200/.257/.281 | .081 | .286 | 4 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .174/.223/.233 | .060 | .252 | 0 | 2 | 29% | 3% | 17 | -1.0 |
|
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA |
25 | 40 | 43→50 | 51→50 | 47 | .197/.273/.309 | .112 | .261 | 11 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .211/.298/.361 | .150 | .289 | 18 | 7 | 32% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .205/.302/.363 | .158 | .282 | 20 | 3 | 32% | 10% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A |
25 | 44→43 | 41→45 | 45 | 42 | .213/.276/.310 | .097 | .280 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .240/.299/.386 | .146 | .295 | 15 | 8 | 23% | 5% | 92 | +1.2 | .247/.308/.403 | .156 | .299 | 17 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA |
25 | 44→43 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 42 | .213/.278/.333 | .119 | .289 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.300/.381 | .157 | .295 | 17 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .220/.305/.384 | .164 | .292 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Zander Wiel 2018 · A |
25 | 40→49 | 45→50 | 51→45 | 43 | .202/.261/.331 | .129 | .269 | 12 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .217/.268/.364 | .147 | .293 | 15 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .216/.265/.378 | .161 | .290 | 18 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A |
25 | 40→45 | 41→45 | 48→55 | 48 | .195/.269/.289 | .094 | .249 | 8 | 13 | 24% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .211/.288/.332 | .121 | .271 | 12 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .218/.294/.351 | .132 | .264 | 15 | 24 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jerad Head 2008 · A |
25 | 41→45 | 45→55 | 50 | 41 | .206/.271/.331 | .125 | .260 | 12 | 9 | 25% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .221/.279/.362 | .141 | .277 | 14 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .229/.280/.395 | .166 | .277 | 20 | 7 | 25% | 4% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A |
25 | 43→41 | 44→45 | 49→45 | 45 | .213/.284/.325 | .113 | .293 | 11 | 10 | 30% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.276/.365 | .146 | .301 | 17 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .215/.264/.384 | .170 | .287 | 22 | 3 | 33% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A |
25 | 43→41 | 47→45 | 51→50 | 46 | .218/.288/.352 | .134 | .277 | 14 | 14 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .203/.259/.334 | .131 | .274 | 15 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .157/.206/.270 | .114 | .211 | 13 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 20 | -1.6 |
|
✕Jeremy Cruz 2012 · A |
25 | 46→44 | 42→45 | 45 | 41 | .224/.269/.329 | .105 | .290 | 9 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.269/.338 | .114 | .301 | 11 | 7 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .225/.256/.365 | .140 | .310 | 15 | 0 | 32% | 2% | 63 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A |
25 | 46→50 | 42→50 | 54→50 | 38 | .222/.266/.327 | .105 | .309 | 9 | 12 | 30% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .232/.290/.346 | .114 | .331 | 11 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .235/.299/.349 | .114 | .340 | 11 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jesse Wierzbicki 2013 · A |
24 | 44→45 | 44→45 | 52→45 | 42 | .214/.278/.335 | .120 | .298 | 11 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .220/.290/.326 | .106 | .267 | 9 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .217/.292/.321 | .103 | .257 | 9 | 6 | 18% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Trey Vavra 2017 · A |
25 | 45→38 | 41→40 | 43→45 | 43 | .220/.284/.318 | .098 | .283 | 9 | 5 | 25% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .195/.268/.281 | .086 | .273 | 8 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .096/.196/.130 | .034 | .153 | 4 | 0 | 37% | 6% | -15 | -1.3 |
|
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A |
24 | 44→43 | 47→50 | 50 | 45 | .220/.295/.356 | .136 | .284 | 15 | 9 | 27% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .214/.280/.343 | .129 | .299 | 14 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .199/.264/.325 | .126 | .287 | 14 | 4 | 34% | 5% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕Preston Scott 2018 · A |
24 | 44 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .218/.283/.342 | .125 | .295 | 11 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .200/.255/.302 | .102 | .301 | 9 | 9 | 35% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .173/.222/.260 | .086 | .274 | 7 | 8 | 38% | 4% | 24 | -2.2 |
|
✕Tristin English 2022 · A |
25 | 38→48 | 44→50 | 45→40 | 38 | .193/.258/.304 | .111 | .279 | 13 | 9 | 34% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .213/.276/.337 | .124 | .283 | 15 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .227/.282/.364 | .137 | .284 | 16 | 2 | 26% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Mike McGee 2013 · A |
24 | 45→42 | 44→45 | 48→45 | 45 | .223/.279/.341 | .118 | .272 | 11 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .204/.267/.308 | .104 | .287 | 10 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .106/.190/.154 | .049 | .182 | 8 | 7 | 43% | 9% | -14 | -1.1 |
|
●Sean Bouchard 2021 · A |
25 | 39→44 | 44→55 | 47→50 | 38 | .197/.250/.316 | .119 | .289 | 12 | 11 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .221/.294/.396 | .175 | .305 | 19 | 12 | 32% | 9% | 93 | +1.3 | .223/.323/.415 | .191 | .292 | 21 | 16 | 29% | 11% | 106 | +1.0 |
|
✕Ned Yost IV 2007 · A |
25 | 44→43 | 41→45 | 49→45 | 40 | .214/.268/.319 | .105 | .302 | 8 | 6 | 31% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .211/.273/.295 | .084 | .344 | 6 | 6 | 37% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .190/.272/.217 | .027 | .381 | 0 | 2 | 45% | 10% | 33 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jeff McVaney 2015 · A |
25 | 45→52 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 43 | .219/.276/.328 | .109 | .273 | 8 | 10 | 23% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .226/.292/.323 | .097 | .283 | 6 | 13 | 21% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .225/.296/.318 | .093 | .280 | 5 | 13 | 20% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |