Manuel German — OGILVIE

Manuel German1B ACL Royals

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION123 act + 82 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .256 / .351

PA82

HR2

K%30

BB%4

BABIP280

ISO143

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	151	133	17	5	0	3	10	53	5	1	0	128	216	233	449	105	175	35	7	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	151	126	24	9	0	3	17	37	5	1	0	190	311	333	644	143	236	25	11	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	114	103	17	1	0	2	3	42	4	0	0	165	218	233	451	68	238	37	3	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	114	101	23	2	0	2	5	28	4	0	0	228	291	307	598	79	280	25	4	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	100	89	20	6	0	1	6	30	5	3	0	225	310	326	636	101	328	30	6	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	100	85	27	8	0	2	10	21	5	3	0	318	420	482	902	165	403	21	10	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	166	156	26	4	2	4	5	71	4	1	2	167	212	295	507	128	268	43	3	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	166	154	38	6	3	5	7	48	4	1	2	247	297	422	719	175	324	29	4	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	ROK	KC	—	123	115	26	6	2	3	4	47	4	1	1	226	276	391	668	165	354	38	3	286	77	-3	-0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
YTD	21	ROK	KC	—	123	112	37	9	3	5	7	33	4	1	1	330	390	598	988	268	432	27	6	429	186	+12	-0	+0	-2	+3	1.3
ROS	21	ROK	KC	0%	82	77	16	3	1	2	3	25	2	1	0	208	256	351	607	143	284	30	4	260	57	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	243	44	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	ROK	KC	—	123	116	26	6	2	3	4	47	4	1	1	224	276	388	664	164	348	38	3	286	77	-3	-0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
TOT	21	ROK	KC	—	205	192	42	9	3	5	7	72	6	2	1	219	268	375	643	156	322	35	3	275	69	-7	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	237	220	47	9	2	5	11	71	4	3	1	214	264	341	605	127	284	30	5	267	63	-10	+0	+0	-4	+7	-0.7
2028	23	MLB	KC	48%	341	316	68	13	3	8	17	99	5	4	2	215	266	351	618	136	285	29	5	274	68	-12	+0	+0	-6	+10	-0.9
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	81	76	16	3	1	2	4	24	1	1	0	211	259	355	615	145	280	30	5	252	51	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	KC	48%	165	153	32	6	1	4	8	48	3	2	1	209	262	340	602	131	282	29	5	259	56	-8	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	246	230	48	9	2	6	12	72	4	3	1	209	261	343	605	135	275	29	5	257	55	-13	+0	+0	-4	+7	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	127	24	5	16	32	190	11	8	3	209	263	344	607	135	274	29	5	257	55	-33	+0	+0	-12	+18	-2.7
Career	—			—	1191	1094	211	41	8	25	55	391	29	13	5	193	250	314	564	121	270	33	5	246	46	-72	+1	+0	-21	+34	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	115	22	4	14	30	213	16	7	3	193	250	313	564	121	269	33	5	246	46	-39	+0	+0	-12	+18	-3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	151	126	24	9	0	3	17	37	5	1	0	190	311	333	644	143	236	25	11	293	82	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	114	101	23	2	0	2	5	28	4	0	0	228	291	307	598	79	280	25	4	266	62	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	100	85	27	8	0	2	10	21	5	3	0	318	420	482	902	165	403	21	10	405	168	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	166	154	38	6	3	5	7	48	4	1	2	247	297	422	719	175	324	29	4	316	100	+0	-1	—	—	+5	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	400	8	5	210	257	332	-7	-3	-1.4	-0.7
	/162	664	14	8	210	257	332	-11.9	-5.0	-2.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel German (OGILVIE)	21	30	40	40	20	219/268/375	156	322	5	2	35%	3%	69	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Renzo Tello 2008 · A	21	40	45	42→40	37	205/244/327	122	262	12	5	27%	4%	53	-1.5	209/249/312	103	291	8	6	30%	4%	51	-1.7	196/228/286	91	284	6	5	32%	3%	34	-0.7
✕Roberto Perez 2009 · A	20	33	38→45	43→30	39	167/229/240	73	245	7	3	34%	6%	25	-3.5	200/268/307	107	263	11	4	27%	7%	59	-1.1	189/266/312	123	228	15	1	24%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Sundrendy Windster 2010 · A	21	35	42→45	43→30	36	179/238/282	103	280	10	4	38%	6%	40	-2.4	198/261/320	122	311	11	6	37%	7%	59	-1.1	210/285/395	185	291	17	6	32%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Pena 2014 · A	21	38→35	46→50	44→40	39	198/244/330	132	259	13	5	29%	5%	54	-1.4	190/227/289	99	266	9	3	31%	4%	36	-2.7	175/207/262	87	246	8	1	32%	3%	17	-2.4
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	32	38→40	38→45	37	162/223/241	78	240	6	4	34%	6%	23	-3.6	184/278/257	73	287	5	6	34%	10%	51	-1.7	159/289/213	54	249	4	5	32%	12%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jose Tello 2019 · A	21	41	40	41→40	39	204/248/290	86	264	8	5	26%	4%	45	-2.1	206/246/317	111	267	12	4	27%	4%	51	-1.7	182/213/300	118	225	15	0	27%	3%	29	-0.8
✕Cristopher Cespedes 2019 · A	21	41→36	40→45	46→40	39	201/249/297	96	273	7	6	28%	5%	47	-1.9	206/255/322	116	309	10	6	35%	6%	56	-1.3	194/249/316	122	286	13	4	35%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Ariel Baez 2012 · A	21	39	41→40	43→45	43	194/265/291	97	265	8	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	199/257/281	82	285	5	6	30%	6%	46	-2.0	173/227/238	65	246	2	6	29%	5%	20	-1.1
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	38→44	42→50	45	39	189/240/301	111	260	9	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	211/260/341	130	280	14	6	29%	6%	64	-0.8	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Domingo Soriano 2011 · A	21	36	38→45	43→50	32	179/218/255	75	276	5	7	36%	4%	23	-3.6	194/234/273	79	322	5	10	39%	4%	34	-2.8	179/206/255	77	297	5	17	41%	2%	15	-1.1
✕Connor Goedert 2016 · A	22	40	40→45	44→30	38	196/243/288	92	271	7	3	30%	5%	43	-2.2	186/228/280	94	282	8	3	35%	5%	33	-2.9	139/173/224	85	213	9	0	39%	4%	-5	-2.6
✕Carlos Tatis 2018 · A	21	43	42→45	47→45	42	211/264/314	102	270	9	6	25%	6%	58	-1.2	199/251/276	77	276	6	5	29%	6%	43	-2.2	161/210/194	33	231	2	1	30%	5%	1	-1.8
✕Jose Paniagua 2014 · A	20	34	37→50	42→55	38	168/222/238	70	249	4	6	33%	6%	20	-3.8	194/249/295	101	279	8	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	195/250/314	119	272	10	13	31%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Enger Jimenez 2015 · A	20	39	40	48→50	38	191/241/288	97	267	7	9	30%	5%	42	-2.3	214/267/304	90	282	5	10	24%	6%	56	-1.3	223/275/315	92	285	5	14	22%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Ramon Novas 2009 · A	21	41	40	48→50	38	204/244/290	86	279	8	7	29%	5%	43	-2.2	195/238/271	76	279	4	6	30%	5%	35	-2.8	152/182/212	59	218	0	4	29%	2%	-8	-1.3
✕Raynay Guerrero 2014 · A	21	37	39→40	41→40	35	187/226/270	83	244	7	4	27%	3%	30	-3.1	196/248/268	72	272	4	6	28%	5%	39	-2.5	164/222/198	35	235	0	4	28%	5%	11	-1.1
✕Juan Montes 2016 · A	21	39	39→30	43→55	43	190/267/276	86	260	7	5	28%	7%	51	-1.7	195/275/265	70	254	5	16	24%	6%	52	-1.6	185/271/239	53	243	4	21	23%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Quincy Latimore 2010 · A	21	41	43→50	49→50	36	206/244/323	117	277	10	5	29%	4%	52	-1.6	200/249/329	129	286	13	7	34%	4%	56	-1.3	208/258/343	135	271	15	10	29%	5%	61	-0.6