Ryan Boyer
P
Erie SeaWolves
+0.3
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.7%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%14.8%
IP43
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5555
CMD5555
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 24 | 0 | 30 | 124 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 31.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.60 | 3.11 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 25 | 0 | 34 | 137 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 1.83 | 1.92 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 36 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 45 | 8 | 6 | 24.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.96 | 2.92 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 37 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 64 | 17 | 12 | 21.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.01 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | DET | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 41 | 13 | 6 | 22.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 4.28 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | DET | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 40 | 13 | 6 | 22.6% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 4.32 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | DET | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 22.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | DET | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 22.2% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 4.45 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | DET | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 34 | 13 | 5 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 4.53 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | DET | 35 | — | 35 | 148 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.63 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | DET | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 4.74 | 4.82 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | DET | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 4.87 | 4.95 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 122 | 0 | 160 | 663 | 163 | 41 | 20 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 3.83 | 3.44 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 0 | 200 | 829 | 204 | 51 | 25 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 3.83 | 3.44 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Boyer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 22.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | — | 4.42 | 22.4% | 14.6% | 121 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 89 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 86 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 85 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 85 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 84 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 84 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 83 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 83 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.10 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 253 | 83 |
| Joakim Soria R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.48 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .258 | 2.91 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.57 | 2.00 | 380 | 82 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.25 | 24.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.48 | 13.0% | -0.4% | 31 | +2.23 | 3.25 | 150 | 82 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.95 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.92 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.03 | 3.51 | 134 | 82 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 82 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 81 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 81 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.92 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | .272 | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 62 | -0.30 | 3.62 | 224 | 80 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 80 |
| Matt Albers R 2029 · 3.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.13 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .252 | 4.47 | 20.4% | 13.3% | 147 | +1.34 | 3.13 | 244 | 79 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 79 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.60 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .328 | 4.66 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.06 | 2.39 | 676 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.