Ryan Boyer
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.19
FIP4.19
K%22.1%
BB%6.4%
K-BB%15.7%
ROS IP61
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 30 | 124 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.0% | 4.8% | 26.2% | 3.8% | 3.60 | 3.20 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 30 | 124 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.3% | 5.6% | 30.6% | 3.2% | 3.60 | 2.53 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 34 | 137 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 1.83 | 1.92 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 34 | 137 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 32.1% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 0.7% | 1.83 | 2.05 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 45 | 8 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 3.6% | 20.5% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 2.79 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 45 | 8 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.6% | 5.3% | 24.3% | 3.9% | 3.96 | 3.43 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 64 | 17 | 12 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.2% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 4.4% | 5.01 | 4.65 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 64 | 17 | 12 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.6% | 6.8% | 18.8% | 4.8% | 5.01 | 4.43 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | DET | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 64 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 6.4% | 15.7% | 3.2% | 4.19 | 4.19 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | DET | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 60 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 7.0% | 14.9% | 3.4% | 4.31 | 4.38 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | DET | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 55 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 3.6% | 4.47 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | DET | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 7.0% | 14.9% | 3.4% | 4.31 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | DET | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 3.6% | 4.47 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 47 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 3.5% | 4.41 | 4.12 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 63 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 3.5% | 4.41 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 122 | 0 | 160 | 663 | 163 | 41 | 19 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 3.83 | 3.39 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 0 | 200 | 829 | 204 | 51 | 24 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 3.83 | 3.39 | +4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Boyer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.19 | 22.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | — | 4.47 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 125 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 88 |
| Joakim Soria R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 88 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 86 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 86 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 18.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | .295 | 3.16 | 21.2% | 15.9% | 172 | -0.46 | 2.82 | 316 | 86 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.27 | 24.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.34 | 13.0% | -0.4% | 31 | +2.07 | 3.27 | 150 | 85 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.02 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | .272 | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 62 | -0.45 | 3.57 | 224 | 85 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 84 |
| Carlos Torres R 2029 · 3.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.19 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.74 | 20.8% | 12.4% | 206 | +0.55 | 2.78 | 326 | 84 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.10 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.9% | .332 | 2.91 | 26.6% | 18.0% | 165 | -0.19 | 1.51 | 544 | 84 |
| Tony Barnette R 2029 · 3.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.06 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.22 | 2.63 | 144 | 84 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 84 |
| Alex Colomé R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.23 | 25.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .283 | 3.66 | 20.5% | 12.4% | 148 | +0.43 | 2.72 | 530 | 83 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 82 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 82 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.53 | 23.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .304 | 3.99 | 23.0% | 15.2% | 114 | -0.54 | 2.90 | 484 | 82 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 81 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.35 | 21.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 3.85 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 181 | +0.50 | 1.74 | 468 | 81 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2028 · 3.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.20 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.68 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 284 | 80 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 21.9% | 6.9% | 1.31 | 4.32 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |