Angel Diaz — OGILVIE

Angel DiazC Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 187 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .264 / .291

PA187

HR3

K%30

BB%7

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	117	103	24	10	1	1	7	30	6	1	3	233	319	379	698	146	315	26	6	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	117	100	31	13	1	1	10	22	6	1	3	310	405	490	895	180	385	19	9	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	164	143	35	7	0	3	13	32	5	2	2	245	329	357	686	112	288	20	8	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	164	133	47	10	0	7	23	21	5	2	2	353	466	586	1.052	233	370	13	14	453	205	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	116	98	20	3	0	0	4	37	12	0	1	204	316	235	550	31	323	32	3	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	116	95	27	5	0	0	7	25	12	0	1	284	404	337	740	53	380	22	6	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	200	177	30	4	0	3	17	75	4	0	0	169	258	243	501	73	267	38	8	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	200	170	41	7	0	5	24	54	4	0	0	241	348	371	719	129	319	27	12	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	LAA	—	187	169	33	6	1	3	13	55	3	3	1	195	265	296	561	101	268	29	7	256	54	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	LAA	34%	252	227	46	8	1	5	19	72	4	4	1	203	276	313	589	110	272	29	8	266	62	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2028	24	MLB	LAA	46%	346	312	65	12	2	7	26	97	5	6	2	208	280	327	607	119	274	28	8	272	67	-13	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2029	25	MLB	LAA	52%	400	360	76	14	2	8	31	111	6	7	2	211	285	328	612	117	276	28	8	276	70	-14	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2030	26	MLB	LAA	54%	435	393	82	15	2	9	33	120	6	7	2	209	280	326	606	117	276	28	8	278	71	-14	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.6
2031	27	MLB	LAA	54%	450	405	86	16	2	10	35	125	7	8	2	212	286	336	622	123	276	28	8	278	71	-15	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.7
2032	28	MLB	LAA	54%	455	409	86	16	2	10	36	127	7	8	2	210	285	333	618	122	275	28	8	277	70	-15	+1	-1	+8	+13	0.6
2027	23	MLB	LAA	34%	87	80	16	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	200	264	312	577	112	271	29	7	253	52	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	LAA	46%	160	145	29	5	1	3	12	45	2	3	1	200	270	310	581	110	273	28	8	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	LAA	52%	207	186	39	7	1	4	16	57	3	3	1	210	283	323	606	113	274	28	8	264	60	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
2030	26	MLB	LAA	54%	236	213	44	8	1	5	18	65	3	4	1	207	278	324	602	117	275	28	8	265	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2031	27	MLB	LAA	54%	244	219	45	8	1	5	19	68	4	4	1	205	281	320	601	114	275	28	8	266	61	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2032	28	MLB	LAA	54%	247	222	46	8	1	5	19	69	4	4	1	207	282	320	601	113	274	28	8	265	61	-11	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1181	1065	219	39	5	24	90	329	17	19	5	206	278	319	597	114	272	28	8	263	60	-54	+2	-0	+21	+33	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	120	21	3	13	50	181	9	10	3	205	278	317	595	113	271	28	8	263	60	-30	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	3122	2796	583	111	13	59	234	881	65	46	18	209	285	321	606	112	279	28	7	273	67	-116	+2	-1	+56	+88	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	121	23	3	12	49	183	14	10	4	208	286	320	605	112	279	28	8	273	67	-24	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	117	100	31	13	1	1	10	22	6	1	3	310	405	490	895	180	385	19	9	395	161	+8	-1	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	164	133	47	10	0	7	23	21	5	2	2	353	466	586	1.052	233	370	13	14	453	205	+19	-0	—	—	+5	2.4
2024	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	116	95	27	5	0	0	7	25	12	0	1	284	404	337	740	53	380	22	6	345	122	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	147	129	30	5	0	4	15	41	1	0	0	233	317	364	682	132	302	28	10	306	92	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	53	41	11	2	0	1	9	13	3	0	0	268	434	390	824	122	370	25	17	384	152	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,367	27	22	208	278	324	+24	+16	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	13	11	208	278	324	+11.9	+7.8	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Diaz (OGILVIE)	22	23→28	35→40	42→47	49	194/264/291	97	268	3	3	30%	7%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	36	40	42→45	46	181/257/264	83	246	8	7	29%	8%	43	-2.2	200/260/286	86	282	7	8	29%	7%	50	-1.8	185/240/258	73	257	4	7	28%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2008 · A	22	38	39→45	42→50	40	189/237/273	83	260	8	4	30%	6%	36	-2.7	198/258/276	78	271	5	5	27%	7%	46	-2.0	226/262/325	99	269	14	12	22%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Luis De La Cruz 2011 · A	22	39	40	47→30	38	193/229/294	101	252	6	6	26%	4%	37	-2.6	234/265/316	82	286	5	6	19%	4%	58	-1.2	263/286/335	71	310	4	4	16%	3%	67	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Shane Zeile 2015 · A	22	41	41→50	46→40	39	205/254/304	99	281	9	5	30%	5%	51	-1.7	199/249/295	96	273	7	4	28%	5%	46	-2.0	187/237/299	112	249	8	2	27%	5%	41	-0.7
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Wynston Sawyer 2014 · A	22	41	43→45	47→45	45	203/262/312	109	249	11	3	23%	6%	57	-1.2	213/278/311	98	269	8	5	23%	7%	63	-0.8	220/307/327	107	283	10	2	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Antoni Lugo 2010 · A	22	38	43→45	42→45	44	194/252/299	105	229	12	5	22%	6%	50	-1.8	217/278/338	121	266	13	5	23%	6%	71	-0.3	218/282/344	126	255	16	3	21%	6%	70	-0.1