Franyer Noria — OGILVIE

Franyer NoriaSS FCL Red Sox

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 135 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.1 · 2032

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .287 / .318

PA64

HR1

K%25

BB%8

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.0	$20M	+$19M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.6	$17M	+$14M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.3	$14M	+$9M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.0	$11M	+$6M
Totals		$16M		$101M	+$85M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	114	103	19	3	1	0	9	37	1	9	0	.184	.257	.233	.490	.049	.288	32	8	.232	36	-8	+2	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	153	137	25	6	1	0	8	22	7	6	4	.182	.263	.241	.504	.058	.216	14	5	.218	25	-13	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.8
2024	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	112	90	19	1	1	0	14	31	7	11	3	.211	.360	.244	.605	.033	.317	28	12	.272	66	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	65	55	7	2	0	0	6	8	3	5	1	.127	.250	.164	.414	.036	.146	12	9	.185	0	-7	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	BOS	64	58	12	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	.207	.281	.293	.574	.086	.285	25	8	.277	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	BOS	149	134	31	6	1	3	12	36	2	3	1	.231	.304	.358	.662	.127	.288	24	8	.295	84	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	23	MLB 28%	BOS	275	246	59	11	2	7	23	65	4	5	1	.240	.315	.386	.701	.146	.289	24	8	.306	92	-2	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.9
2029	24	MLB 45%	BOS	365	325	77	14	2	10	32	85	5	7	2	.237	.315	.385	.700	.148	.290	23	9	.313	97	-1	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.4
2030	25	MLB 60%	BOS	420	373	90	16	3	12	38	98	6	8	2	.241	.321	.397	.718	.155	.291	23	9	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.8
2031	26	MLB 77%	BOS	453	402	96	17	3	13	42	105	6	9	2	.239	.320	.393	.713	.154	.292	23	9	.320	103	+1	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.0
2032	27	MLB 92%	BOS	469	416	100	18	3	13	44	109	6	9	2	.240	.322	.392	.714	.151	.292	23	9	.320	103	+1	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.1
2033	28	MLB	BOS	474	420	100	18	3	13	45	111	6	8	1	.238	.321	.388	.709	.150	.291	23	9	.319	102	+1	+1	-1	+5	+13	2.0
2034	29	MLB	BOS	471	418	99	18	3	13	44	112	6	7	1	.237	.318	.388	.706	.151	.290	24	9	.316	100	+0	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.9
2035	30	MLB	BOS	464	411	97	17	3	13	44	112	6	6	1	.236	.319	.387	.706	.151	.289	24	9	.313	98	-1	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.6
2036	31	MLB	BOS	453	401	93	17	2	12	43	111	6	4	0	.232	.316	.374	.690	.142	.288	25	9	.310	95	-3	+1	-3	+5	+13	1.3
2037	32	MLB	BOS	436	386	88	16	2	11	41	109	6	2	0	.228	.312	.365	.677	.137	.286	25	9	.305	91	-4	+0	-4	+5	+12	1.0
2038	33	MLB	BOS	408	362	81	14	2	10	38	105	5	0	0	.224	.306	.356	.663	.133	.285	26	9	.299	87	-6	+0	-4	+4	+12	0.6
2039	34	MLB	BOS	364	323	70	12	2	8	34	97	4	0	0	.217	.299	.341	.640	.124	.283	27	9	.293	82	-7	+0	-5	+4	+10	0.2
2040	35	MLB	BOS	310	274	59	10	2	7	29	86	4	0	0	.215	.300	.343	.643	.128	.281	28	9	.285	76	-8	+0	-6	+3	+9	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	BOS	253	225	46	8	1	5	23	73	3	0	0	.204	.287	.316	.602	.111	.278	29	9	.276	70	-9	+0	-6	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6272	5559	1268	226	37	151	574	1528	94	100	21	.228	.311	.364	.674	.135	.286	24	9	.302	89	-75	+12	-31	+67	+178	15.3
/ 162G	—			650	576	132	23	4	16	59	158	10	10	2	.229	.312	.366	.678	.137	.286	24	9	.302	89	-8	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	114	97	29	5	2	15	24	1	9	0	.299	.398	.392	.790	.093	.397	21	13	.358	132	+4	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	153	131	29	7	1	14	15	7	6	4	.221	.329	.290	.619	.069	.248	10	9	.291	81	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	112	83	23	1	1	21	22	7	11	3	.277	.459	.313	.773	.036	.371	20	19	.372	143	+5	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	65	52	9	3	0	9	5	3	5	1	.173	.328	.231	.559	.058	.188	8	14	.273	67	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Franyer Noria (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.217/.287/.318	.101	.285	1	1	25%	8%	70	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→47	42→65	50→40	43	.220/.291/.330	.111	.304	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.215/.268/.415	.200	.284	26	4	34%	6%	88	+0.9	.221/.275/.455	.234	.259	32	2	29%	6%	99	+1.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	40→45	48→45	51	.222/.330/.318	.096	.290	7	9	24%	9%	90	+1.0	.229/.317/.341	.112	.289	10	7	23%	7%	89	+1.0	.230/.322/.343	.112	.289	11	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→56	44→50	51→50	47	.232/.297/.363	.132	.298	10	16	25%	8%	85	+0.7	.253/.307/.400	.147	.331	13	14	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.259/.313/.416	.157	.335	15	16	26%	7%	102	+1.2
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→51	42→45	48→50	42	.220/.290/.336	.116	.325	8	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0	.228/.308/.351	.123	.315	11	9	29%	9%	88	+0.9	.221/.304/.343	.122	.294	13	10	27%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→45	43→45	48→70	45	.232/.292/.346	.114	.280	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	.220/.293/.329	.109	.282	9	25	24%	7%	76	+0.0	.229/.321/.344	.115	.305	10	63	26%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	49	38→45	49→50	54	.230/.313/.315	.085	.291	5	8	21%	10%	79	+0.3	.213/.274/.290	.077	.279	3	7	23%	7%	56	-1.3	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Roberto Pérez 2010 · A	21	50→41	40→55	46→30	42	.233/.302/.324	.092	.334	7	7	30%	7%	77	+0.1	.204/.291/.288	.084	.287	5	3	27%	10%	64	-0.8	.206/.291/.377	.171	.260	23	1	30%	10%	84	+0.3
●Tyler Flowers 2007 · A	21	44→54	44→55	48→40	43	.217/.282/.334	.118	.294	12	4	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.238/.308/.388	.150	.308	15	4	26%	8%	96	+1.5	.261/.361/.419	.158	.334	18	0	25%	10%	124	+1.9
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→46	40→45	48→50	52	.208/.300/.315	.107	.258	6	10	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.202/.283/.334	.132	.263	13	9	27%	8%	73	-0.1	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
●Iván Herrera 2021 · A	21	48→57	42→50	46→50	45	.231/.294/.328	.097	.300	10	4	25%	7%	75	-0.0	.220/.302/.349	.129	.288	15	6	27%	9%	85	+0.7	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	42	.228/.277/.347	.120	.291	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.283/.368	.141	.281	17	7	25%	6%	81	+0.4	.224/.287/.379	.156	.259	20	5	22%	7%	83	+0.3
●Lou Marson 2008 · A	22	49→54	40	49→50	46	.232/.296/.330	.098	.307	7	4	26%	8%	76	+0.0	.247/.319/.339	.092	.321	6	6	23%	9%	88	+0.9	.237/.316/.324	.088	.299	6	8	21%	10%	80	+0.2
●Josmil Pinto 2010 · A	21	44→54	47→55	47→40	45	.221/.275/.359	.138	.264	14	4	22%	6%	75	-0.0	.217/.264/.351	.134	.265	14	3	23%	5%	68	-0.5	.254/.321/.415	.161	.304	18	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Gabriel Moreno 2021 · A	21	47	47→45	52→45	44	.234/.278/.373	.139	.262	13	7	17%	4%	79	+0.3	.273/.326/.410	.137	.323	14	8	19%	6%	109	+2.4	.295/.351/.419	.124	.354	12	9	19%	7%	118	+1.4
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	48	40→50	46→40	47	.230/.309/.322	.093	.293	7	7	23%	7%	81	+0.4	.202/.276/.321	.119	.275	13	4	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.179/.260/.330	.151	.234	22	0	33%	7%	67	-0.2
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	49	42→45	49→50	48	.238/.307/.349	.111	.292	9	12	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.225/.272/.314	.089	.289	5	7	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.225/.269/.312	.087	.288	4	6	22%	5%	55	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)