Nomar Velasquez — OGILVIE

Nomar VelasquezSS DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 21 L/R 5'9" / 158 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 115 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .287 / .301

PA9

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	159	132	32	1	1	1	19	21	5	19	4	242	359	288	647	45	277	13	12	303	91	-2	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	—	133	113	35	5	1	0	19	24	1	21	3	310	414	372	785	62	393	18	14	363	132	+5	+3	—	—	+3	1.1
2024	19	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	81	71	19	2	0	0	8	10	1	5	4	268	350	296	646	28	306	12	10	300	89	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	20	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	138	112	33	3	0	1	19	21	4	9	1	295	415	348	763	54	348	15	14	351	123	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	159	139	27	1	1	1	12	31	5	19	4	194	282	237	519	43	222	19	8	224	38	-12	+2	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	—	133	120	27	4	1	0	12	35	1	21	3	225	301	275	576	50	309	26	9	253	57	-7	+3	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	81	74	15	1	0	0	5	15	1	5	4	203	263	216	479	14	256	19	6	230	42	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	138	119	28	2	0	1	12	31	4	9	1	235	326	277	603	42	288	22	9	269	68	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	159	139	27	1	1	1	12	31	5	19	4	194	282	237	519	43	239	19	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	—	159	132	32	1	1	1	19	21	5	19	4	242	359	288	647	45	277	13	12	303	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	—	133	120	27	4	1	0	12	35	1	21	3	225	301	275	576	50	318	26	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Red	—	133	113	35	5	1	0	19	24	1	21	3	310	414	372	785	62	393	18	14	363	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	81	74	15	1	0	0	5	15	1	5	4	203	263	216	479	14	250	19	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	81	71	19	2	0	0	8	10	1	5	4	268	350	296	646	28	306	12	10	300	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	138	119	28	2	0	1	12	31	4	9	1	235	326	277	603	42	303	22	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	138	112	33	3	0	1	19	21	4	9	1	295	415	348	763	54	348	15	14	351	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	159	141	27	1	1	1	12	31	5	19	4	191	282	234	516	43	222	19	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	—	133	119	27	4	1	0	12	35	1	21	3	227	301	277	578	50	309	26	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	81	75	15	1	0	0	5	15	1	5	4	200	263	213	476	13	256	19	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	138	121	28	2	0	1	12	31	4	9	1	231	326	273	599	41	288	22	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	—	133	119	27	4	1	0	12	35	1	21	3	227	301	277	578	50	309	26	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	81	75	15	1	0	0	5	15	1	5	4	200	263	213	476	13	256	19	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	138	121	28	2	0	1	12	31	4	9	1	231	326	273	599	41	288	22	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		292	22	11	271	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	195	176	40	6	1	3	15	48	2	5	1	227	295	324	619	97	293	25	8	280	76	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	310	280	64	10	2	5	24	76	3	7	1	229	296	332	629	104	294	25	8	287	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	391	353	81	13	2	7	31	94	4	9	2	229	299	337	636	108	295	24	8	291	83	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	438	395	92	15	3	8	35	105	5	10	2	233	303	347	650	114	295	24	8	293	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	467	421	99	16	3	9	38	112	5	11	2	235	306	352	658	116	295	24	8	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	479	432	100	16	3	9	39	115	5	12	2	231	303	345	647	113	295	24	8	294	85	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	483	435	101	16	3	9	40	117	5	11	2	232	304	345	649	113	294	24	8	293	85	-9	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	478	430	100	16	3	9	40	117	5	11	2	233	305	347	652	114	294	24	8	291	83	-9	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.6
2035	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	471	424	96	16	2	8	39	116	5	10	2	226	299	330	629	104	293	25	8	289	82	-10	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.4
2036	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	459	413	93	15	2	8	38	115	5	10	2	225	298	329	628	104	291	25	8	285	79	-11	+1	-3	+5	+10	0.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	442	397	88	14	2	7	37	112	5	9	2	222	296	320	616	98	288	25	8	280	76	-13	+1	-4	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	67	61	13	2	0	1	5	17	1	2	0	213	284	295	579	82	291	25	7	269	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	150	135	31	5	1	2	12	37	2	4	1	230	302	326	628	96	292	25	8	276	80	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	206	186	42	7	1	3	16	50	2	5	1	226	294	323	617	97	293	24	8	279	83	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	240	216	49	8	1	4	19	58	3	6	1	227	298	329	627	102	293	24	8	281	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	260	234	54	9	1	5	21	62	3	6	1	231	302	342	644	111	292	24	8	282	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	263	237	54	9	1	5	21	63	3	6	1	228	299	338	636	110	292	24	8	282	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	264	237	55	9	1	5	22	64	3	6	1	232	305	342	647	110	292	24	8	281	85	-5	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	255	229	52	9	1	4	21	62	3	6	1	227	300	328	628	100	292	24	8	280	83	-5	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	248	222	50	8	1	4	21	61	3	5	1	225	301	324	625	99	291	25	8	277	82	-5	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	239	214	48	8	1	4	20	60	3	5	1	224	300	327	627	103	289	25	8	274	79	-6	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	229	206	45	7	1	3	19	58	2	5	1	218	291	306	597	87	286	25	8	269	76	-7	+1	-2	+2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2421	2177	493	81	10	40	197	592	28	56	10	226	299	328	627	102	291	24	8	278	79	-51	+7	-6	+26	+52	3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	133	22	3	11	53	159	8	15	3	228	301	332	633	104	293	24	8	278	79	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5133	4616	1052	161	28	84	418	1241	60	159	32	228	300	330	630	102	292	24	8	285	79	-99	+13	-10	+50	+100	5.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	134	20	4	11	53	157	8	20	4	229	302	333	636	104	293	24	8	285	79	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Darwin Barneylast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,729 PA	4.1	2,729	29	29	246	294	339	+10	+46	6.5	6.5
/162	664	7	7	+2.5	+11.2	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,536	44	58	231	299	339	+27	+21	4.9	4.4
/162	664	12	15	+7.1	+5.5	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nomar Velasquez (OGILVIE)	21	53→58	31→36	54→59	54	219/287/301	82	292	1	3	25%	8%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	48	228/294/313	86	300	4	17	24%	8%	74	-0.5	270/314/320	50	311	1	59	13%	6%	82	-0.0	303/337/348	46	336	0	63	10%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	50	38→40	52→50	45	231/304/321	90	315	3	12	26%	7%	80	-0.2	213/282/287	74	343	3	10	36%	7%	64	-1.3	171/249/199	28	339	0	12	45%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/300/322	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	78	-0.3	225/271/287	62	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/324/338	67	344	3	10	21%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	50→58	39→40	57→55	43	237/288/323	86	296	6	21	22%	5%	74	-0.6	250/297/316	66	309	4	22	19%	5%	75	-0.5	272/327/339	67	324	4	22	16%	5%	89	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Logan Watkins 2012 · A	22	50→53	37→40	55	44	231/289/314	83	312	3	14	26%	7%	72	-0.7	227/290/323	96	300	6	17	25%	7%	74	-0.5	222/279/293	70	285	3	17	22%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	51→61	38→45	56→50	44	244/287/329	85	299	5	15	20%	6%	74	-0.5	259/304/360	101	314	5	15	18%	5%	88	+0.4	261/307/362	101	315	5	15	18%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Hernan Iribarren 2006 · A	22	52→62	38→40	54→55	43	246/295/326	79	322	4	20	24%	6%	76	-0.4	263/306/341	78	338	3	17	22%	6%	84	+0.1	270/312/344	74	344	2	18	21%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	50→58	38→45	58→60	49	232/294/325	93	280	3	14	18%	7%	76	-0.4	234/293/308	74	292	3	19	19%	6%	72	-0.7	260/317/349	89	329	5	34	21%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Adrian Cardenas 2009 · AA	21	53→59	40	53→50	45	252/297/344	92	304	7	13	19%	6%	82	-0.0	263/311/355	92	310	5	9	16%	6%	89	+0.5	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Drew Cumberland 2010 · A	21	52	37→45	56→55	50	245/306/328	83	287	4	17	15%	7%	82	-0.0	264/308/386	122	315	10	18	19%	5%	95	+1.0	307/338/450	143	360	14	25	18%	3%	118	+1.5
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2016 · A	21	49→59	40→45	51→55	41	231/270/336	105	288	5	10	21%	4%	70	-0.9	240/294/349	109	333	7	19	28%	6%	82	-0.0	231/288/344	113	330	8	23	30%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	53→57	36→40	54→55	45	246/295/312	67	314	2	17	22%	6%	73	-0.6	248/301/338	90	321	4	24	22%	7%	81	-0.1	233/289/317	84	304	4	25	23%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Kevin Kramer 2016 · A	22	46→54	40→45	54→50	44	220/276/315	95	281	6	12	24%	6%	68	-1.0	244/300/352	108	310	7	8	22%	6%	85	+0.2	251/305/365	114	325	8	8	24%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→55	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	70	-0.9	240/345/309	69	306	3	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	242/332/330	88	296	7	18	19%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Cory Harrilchak 2010 · A	22	52→55	38→45	57→50	50	246/300/333	87	283	4	15	15%	7%	80	-0.2	238/289/335	97	292	5	13	19%	6%	76	-0.4	233/286/333	100	287	5	13	19%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2021 · A	22	50→52	37→45	54→60	45	229/289/313	84	314	2	20	26%	7%	72	-0.7	238/295/341	103	316	7	26	25%	7%	80	-0.1	247/309/346	99	324	6	33	24%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Nick Shaw 2011 · A	22	50→57	36→40	57→45	51	230/312/313	83	310	2	13	24%	9%	81	-0.1	223/297/291	68	287	2	7	21%	9%	70	-0.8	227/306/274	46	298	0	7	21%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Charlie Tilson 2014 · A	21	53→60	38→40	52→55	42	254/290/334	80	313	6	11	21%	5%	76	-0.4	256/294/343	87	320	5	18	21%	5%	80	-0.2	261/301/350	89	322	5	22	20%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Andy Sugilio 2018 · A	21	49→51	38→40	56→50	42	231/270/313	82	293	4	15	22%	5%	63	-1.3	235/264/306	71	310	4	14	24%	4%	59	-1.6	237/265/296	59	316	4	15	26%	3%	55	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps