Nomar Velasquez

SS DSL CLE Mendoza
Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 158 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1923ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKDSL Guardians…133.310/.414/.37202147—.193/.278/.235
202419ROKDSL CLE Mendo…81.268/.350/.2960527—.178/.250/.192
202520ROKDSL CLE Mendo…138.295/.415/.3481951—.203/.304/.246
2027PROJMLE22MLBPIT248.216/.285/.28026620.0
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBPIT23.220/.289/.29301670.0
2029PROJ48% MLB24MLBPIT72.223/.292/.30512710.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Z-Con%96
Whiff%93
K%81
wOBA70
wRC+59
Speed57
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .283 / .277
PA43
HR0
K%24
BB%8
ISO64
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL CLE Blue — 159132 32111 19215 194 242359288647 45277 1312 303 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Guardians Red — 133113 35510 19241 213 310414372785 62393 1814 363 47 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 8171 19200 8101 54 268350296646 28306 1210 300 27 — — — — — —
202520 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 138112 33301 19214 91 295415348763 54348 1514 351 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL CLE Blue — 159138 23110 13265 194 167263188451 22188 168 209 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 133119 23310 13301 213 193278235513 42258 2310 237 47 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 8173 13100 6121 54 178250192442 14212 157 208 27 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 138118 24201 13264 91 203304246549 42235 199 243 51 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL CLE Blue — 159138 23110 13265 194 167263188451 22202 168 209 28 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL CLE Blue — 159132 32111 19215 194 242359288647 45277 1312 303 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 133119 23310 13301 213 193278235513 42258 2310 237 47 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Red — 133113 35510 19241 213 310414372785 62393 1814 363 47 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 8173 13100 6121 54 178250192442 14210 157 208 27 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 8171 19200 8101 54 268350296646 28306 1210 300 27 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 138118 24201 13264 91 203304246549 42247 199 243 51 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 138112 33301 19214 91 295415348763 54348 1514 351 51 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL CLE Blue — 159140 23110 13265 194 164263186449 21188 168 209 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 133118 23310 13301 213 195278237515 42258 2310 237 47 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 8174 13100 6121 54 176250189439 14212 157 208 27 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 138120 24201 13264 91 200304242545 42235 199 243 51 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 8174 13100 6121 54 176250189439 14212 157 208 27 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 138120 24201 13264 91 200304242545 42235 199 243 51 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEPIT 0% 248224 49712 19603 61 216285280565 64284 248 260 62 -11 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEPIT 34% 6963 14201 5171 20 220289294584 74286 257 267 67 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202924 MLB MLEPIT 48% 150135 30412 12362 41 223293307600 83287 248 274 71 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
203025 MLB MLEPIT 56% 217196 44613 17522 51 226295317612 91288 248 279 75 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203126 MLB MLEPIT 60% 276249 56814 22653 71 227297325622 98288 248 282 77 -7 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.3
203227 MLB MLEPIT 62% 314283 64925 25753 81 227297327624 99288 248 283 78 -8 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203328 MLB MLEPIT 63% 333300 681025 26804 82 226295322618 97287 248 281 76 -10 +1 -1 +4 +7 0.1
203429 MLB MLEPIT 64% 336303 681025 26824 82 223293317609 93286 248 277 74 -11 +1 -1 +4 +7 -0.0
202823 MLB CTXPIT 34% 2321 5100 260 10 220289293582 73286 269 267 67 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
202924 MLB CTXPIT 48% 7265 14201 6171 20 223292305597 82287 248 273 71 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
203025 MLB CTXPIT 56% 120109 26412 9291 31 225295314609 89288 248 277 75 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
203126 MLB CTXPIT 60% 165149 33512 13392 41 227296322618 95288 248 281 77 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
203227 MLB CTXPIT 62% 194175 40613 15462 51 227297323620 97288 248 281 78 -5 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.2
203328 MLB CTXPIT 63% 210190 42613 16502 51 225295319614 94287 248 279 76 -6 +1 -0 +2 +5 0.1
203429 MLB CTXPIT 64% 214193 43613 17522 51 223292313605 91286 248 276 74 -7 +1 -1 +2 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 998902 20330514 7823910 255 225294316610 91289 248 278 67 -29 +3 -1 +11 +22 0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 1322039 511567 163 225295315610 90289 248 278 67 -19 +2 -1 +7 +14 0.3
Career— MLE — 22492017 435571126 18151130 9720 216290294583 78274 238 267 67 -52 +5 -2 +19 +38 0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 1261638 521489 286 216290295585 79274 238 267 67 -19 +2 -1 +7 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 138 PAwOBA .347 → .243 (−104)K% 15.2% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.22%÷0.981×1.220——18.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.77%÷0.977×0.700—×0.9859.72%
HBP% /PA2.90%—×0.700—×0.9852.00%
Singles /BIP31.87%÷1.003×0.680×1.023×0.98521.77%
Doubles /BIP3.30%÷0.970×0.600×1.023×0.9852.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.991×0.600×1.023×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP1.10%÷0.940×0.470—×0.9850.54%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 98, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .347 → .243; ISO .054 → .031; BABIP .348 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 81 PAwOBA .296 → .208 (−89)K% 12.3% → 15.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.35%÷0.987×1.220——15.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.88%÷0.986×0.700—×0.9956.98%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.700—×0.9950.86%
Singles /BIP27.87%÷0.995×0.680×1.036×0.99519.63%
Doubles /BIP3.28%÷1.091×0.600×1.036×0.9951.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.045×0.600×1.036×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .296 → .208; ISO .028 → .016; BABIP .306 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Red · 133 PAwOBA .354 → .237 (−117)K% 18.0% → 22.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.05%÷0.984×1.220——22.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.015×0.700—×1.0089.93%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.700—×1.0080.53%
Singles /BIP32.58%÷1.060×0.680×1.023×1.00821.54%
Doubles /BIP5.62%÷0.987×0.600×1.023×1.0083.52%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷0.900×0.600×1.023×1.0080.77%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷2.400×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 380, 1B 112, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .354 → .237; ISO .062 → .040; BABIP .393 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL CLE Blue · 159 PAwOBA .300 → .209 (−91)K% 13.2% → 16.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.21%÷0.971×1.220——16.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.95%÷1.016×0.700—×1.0228.42%
HBP% /PA3.14%—×0.700—×1.0222.25%
Singles /BIP26.13%÷0.987×0.680×0.974×1.02217.93%
Doubles /BIP0.90%÷0.921×0.600×0.974×1.0220.58%
Triples /BIP0.90%÷0.959×0.600×0.974×1.0220.56%
Home runs /BIP0.90%÷1.128×0.470—×1.0220.38%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 84, 3B 92, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .300 → .209; ISO .045 → .025; BABIP .277 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).