Nomar VelasquezSS DSL CLE Mendoza
Age 21 L/R 5'9" / 158 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 115 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .285 / .299
PA115
HR1
K%26
BB%8
ISO82
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.81.60.20.50.70.91.01.11.00.80.60.40.0+$52M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT57
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED59
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$5M+$4M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.6$1M+$0.7M
2036Arb-2$1M+0.4$0.7M+$0.3M
2037Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $5M $14M +$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL CLE Blue 159140 27111 11325 194 193276236511 43239 207 223 29
202217 ROKDSL CLE Blue 159132 32111 19215 194 242359288647 45277 1312 303 90
202318 ROKDSL Guardians Red 133121 26410 11361 213 215286264550 50306 278 245 46
202318 ROKDSL Guardians Red 133113 35510 19241 213 310414372785 62393 1814 363 136
202419 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza 8174 15100 5151 54 203263216479 14250 196 229 33
202419 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza 8171 19200 8101 54 268350296646 28306 1210 300 87
202520 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza 138119 27201 12314 91 227319269587 42292 229 270 65
202520 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza 138112 33301 19214 91 295415348763 54348 1514 351 126
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBPIT 115104 23411 9301 31 221289308597 87291 268 269 64 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBPIT 34% 195176 39613 15492 51 222290318608 97293 258 279 71 -6 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.2
202823 MLBPIT 48% 310280 641025 24773 71 229296332629 104293 258 285 77 -8 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.5
202924 MLBPIT 53% 391353 811327 31964 92 229299337636 108294 258 290 80 -9 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.7
203025 MLBPIT 55% 438395 921538 351075 102 233303347650 114294 248 292 81 -9 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.9
203126 MLBPIT 56% 467422 981639 371145 112 232302348650 116294 248 292 82 -10 +1 +0 +5 +13 1.0
203227 MLBPIT 55% 479432 1001639 391185 122 231303345647 113294 258 292 82 -10 +2 +0 +5 +14 1.1
203328 MLBPIT 55% 483435 1001639 401195 112 230302343645 113294 258 292 81 -10 +1 -1 +5 +14 1.0
203429 MLBPIT 53% 478430 991639 401195 112 230303344647 114293 258 290 80 -11 +1 -1 +5 +14 0.8
203530 MLBPIT 53% 471424 961628 391185 102 226299330629 104293 258 287 78 -12 +1 -2 +5 +13 0.6
203631 MLBPIT 56% 459413 931528 381175 102 225298329628 104291 258 284 75 -13 +1 -3 +5 +13 0.4
203732 MLBPIT 59% 442397 881427 371145 92 222296320616 98288 268 278 71 -14 +1 -4 +5 +13 0.0
202722 MLBPIT 34% 6761 13201 5171 20 213284295579 82291 257 270 65 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202823 MLBPIT 48% 150135 30512 12372 41 222295319614 96292 258 276 70 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
202924 MLBPIT 53% 206186 43714 16512 51 231299344643 113293 258 281 73 -6 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.2
203025 MLBPIT 55% 240216 49814 19593 61 227298329627 102293 258 283 74 -7 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203126 MLBPIT 56% 260234 55925 21643 61 235306355661 120293 258 283 75 -7 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.4
203227 MLBPIT 55% 263237 54915 21653 61 228299338636 110293 258 283 75 -7 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.4
203328 MLBPIT 55% 264237 54915 22653 61 228302338639 110292 258 282 74 -8 +1 -0 +3 +7 0.3
203429 MLBPIT 53% 255229 52815 21633 61 227300336637 109292 258 281 73 -8 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.2
203530 MLBPIT 53% 248222 50814 21623 51 225301324625 99291 258 278 71 -8 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.1
203631 MLBPIT 56% 259233 51814 21663 51 219292313605 94289 258 275 68 -9 +1 -2 +3 +7 -0.0
203732 MLBPIT 59% 261234 51814 22673 51 218293312605 94287 268 270 65 -10 +1 -2 +3 +7 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 24732224 502811143 20161629 5610 226298330628 104291 258 279 72 -79 +7 -6 +26 +70 1.9
/ 162G 650585 13121311 531628 153 224298326624 103289 258 279 72 -21 +2 -2 +7 +18 0.5
Career 52394715 10681652985 423129261 16233 227299328626 101292 258 283 75 -149 +19 -10 +56 +148 6.6
/ 162G 650585 13320411 521608 204 227299332631 104293 258 283 75 -18 +2 -1 +7 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL CLE Blue 159132 32111 19215 194 242359288647 45277 1312 303 90 -2 +2 +5 0.5
202318 ROKDSL Guardians Red 133113 35510 19241 213 310414372785 62393 1814 363 136 +5 +3 +4 1.2
202419 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza 8171 19200 8101 54 268350296646 28306 1210 300 87 -1 -1 +2 0.1
202520 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza 138112 33301 19214 91 295415348763 54348 1514 351 126 +4 +1 +4 1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
72,5894559229297337+28+214.13.7
/1626641215+7.1+5.41.0pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nomar Velasquez (OGILVIE) 21 52→57 31→36 54→59 54 217/285/299 82291 13 26% 8% 64 -0.1
Hoy Park
2017 · A
21 41→49 39→45 60→55 46 193/267/285 92274 517 29% 8% 53 -1.5 216/290/303 87291 617 26% 9% 67 -0.5 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Logan Watkins
2012 · A
22 50→52 37→40 55 44 232/287/313 82309 314 25% 6% 67 -0.5 224/286/318 94297 617 25% 7% 68 -0.5 224/279/2997528631722%6%58-0.6
Davis Bradshaw
2019 · A
21 52 37→40 59→50 45 244/300/322 78309 320 21% 6% 75 -0.0 224/270/287 63290 211 22% 4% 53 -1.5 270/323/3386934241021%5%85+0.4
Andy Sugilio
2018 · A
21 49→52 38→40 56→50 42 231/270/313 82293 415 22% 5% 59 -1.1 236/264/306 70313 414 25% 4% 54 -1.4 238/265/2975832141526%3%49-1.0
Edgar Rondon
2016 · A
21 50 38→40 52→50 45 231/304/321 90315 312 26% 7% 77 +0.1 213/282/287 74343 310 36% 7% 59 -1.1 171/249/1992833901245%7%20-0.7
Brandon Roberts
2006 · A
21 50→57 39→40 57→55 43 237/288/323 86296 621 22% 5% 70 -0.3 250/296/316 66310 422 20% 5% 72 -0.2 271/325/3427232352217%5%88+0.5
Raynel Delgado
2021 · A
21 46→56 37→40 50→60 42 217/268/291 74307 49 30% 6% 53 -1.5 197/260/284 87287 714 32% 7% 49 -1.8 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
Chandler Simpson
2023 · A
22 49→59 38→30 56→70 49 228/296/314 87301 417 24% 8% 72 -0.2 265/309/316 51306 159 13% 6% 76 +0.0 299/334/3505133506510%5%92+0.9
Carlos Rodríguez
2023 · A
22 45→55 39→40 52→50 44 215/277/301 86296 516 28% 7% 60 -1.0 254/306/336 82309 415 18% 7% 80 +0.4 259/308/3327330441616%6%77+0.1
Emmanuel Garcia
2007 · A
21 49 37→30 53→55 45 234/288/302 69308 517 25% 7% 65 -0.7 223/276/281 58306 319 26% 7% 53 -1.5 213/257/2725929442028%5%40-1.6
Chris Pieters
2017 · A
22 48 39→45 54→55 49 226/307/315 88296 617 24% 8% 77 +0.1 207/263/300 93289 612 28% 6% 54 -1.4 195/251/2939727161328%6%45-0.8
Yoyner Fajardo
2019 · A
20 50→58 38→45 58→60 49 232/294/325 93280 314 18% 7% 73 -0.1 235/293/308 73293 319 19% 6% 68 -0.5 259/317/3539433253422%7%85+0.4
Ji Hwan Bae
2021 · A
22 49→51 37→45 54→60 45 225/285/313 88309 220 26% 7% 66 -0.6 232/289/343 111310 826 26% 7% 76 +0.1 240/313/34110133273927%9%83+0.3
Dru Baker
2022 · A
22 45→55 37→40 56→60 41 213/266/295 82298 414 28% 6% 54 -1.4 239/296/340 101343 930 31% 6% 79 +0.3 247/300/3308335173930%6%73-0.1
Junior Valera
2014 · A
21 47 36→40 58→60 48 218/284/296 79282 119 22% 8% 62 -0.9 228/289/317 89300 416 23% 8% 69 -0.4 245/306/3399431462322%8%78+0.1
Brent Keys
2012 · A
22 45→55 35→30 51→50 47 213/283/271 58282 314 24% 8% 55 -1.4 268/325/334 66306 312 12% 7% 89 +0.9 277/340/3325531021210%8%90+0.7
Frank Frias
2015 · A
21 49 37→40 54→55 44 226/292/302 75315 419 28% 7% 66 -0.6 223/293/326 103344 810 34% 8% 74 -0.1 212/302/34513335614540%10%79+0.1
Charlie Tilson
2014 · A
21 53→60 39→40 52→55 42 253/288/336 83312 611 21% 4% 72 -0.2 255/293/348 93321 618 21% 5% 78 +0.2 261/302/3569532462220%5%80+0.3
Eliezer Álvarez
2015 · A
20 43→53 40→45 54→55 44 206/262/313 106260 611 22% 6% 56 -1.3 245/295/352 107322 515 24% 6% 81 +0.4 254/308/36210834251926%6%87+0.4
Derrik Gibson
2010 · A
20 48→54 37→40 56→55 45 223/290/300 76303 316 26% 7% 66 -0.6 200/260/251 51275 118 26% 7% 40 -2.4 236/301/3087231131123%8%69-0.2