Landon Ginn

P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	MIX2 levels	7	11	4.22	3.57	17.0%	14.9%	—	K 17.0% · BB 14.9% · FIP 3.55
2025	24	MIX2 levels	28	45	4.80	2.86	23.6%	9.5%	—	K 17.5% · BB 11.9% · FIP 4.04
2027PROJ	26	MLBCHC	22	23	4.70	4.70	21.0%	10.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBCHC	13	14	4.68	4.70	21.2%	10.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJosh Zeid (age 26) · Jesus Pirela (age 26) · Ronald Peña (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%21.0%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%10.1%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	11	47	8	7	0	0%	1.5	17.0%	14.9%	2.1%	0.0%	4.22	3.55	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	0	11	47	8	7	0	0%	1.5	17.0%	14.9%	2.1%	0.0%	4.22	3.57	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	45	199	47	19	2	0%	1.6	17.5%	11.9%	5.6%	1.7%	4.80	4.04	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	45	199	47	19	2	0%	1.6	17.5%	11.9%	5.6%	1.7%	4.80	4.04	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	45	199	47	19	2	0%	1.6	23.6%	9.5%	14.1%	1.0%	4.80	2.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CHC	22	0	23	97	20	11	3	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.9%	10.1%	2.9%	4.70	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	38	0	40	168	36	18	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.70	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	13	0	14	59	13	6	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	13	7	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.32	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	97	28	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		35	0	56	246	43	31	3	0%	1.6	17.4%	12.4%	5.0%	1.3%	4.69	3.94	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	0	200	884	154	110	12	0%	1.6	17.4%	12.4%	5.0%	1.3%	4.69	3.94	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Landon Ginn (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	21.0%	10.9%	2.9%	—	4.70	21.2%	10.4%	40	+0.00	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	90
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	87
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	87
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	86
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	86
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	86
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	85
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	85
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	84
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	84
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	84
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	84
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	83
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	83
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	83
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	83
Pedro Villarreal R 2014 · 3.51 FIP	26	SU	3.51	19.4%	9.7%	1.5%	.233	3.86	15.3%	11.4%	102	+0.35	3.32	116	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	21.2%	10.8%	1.15	4.69
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*