Jose Robledo — OGILVIE

Jose RobledoSS DSL Astros Orange

Age 22 S/R 5'7" / 188 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 88 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .250 / .265

PA88

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	132	127	18	1	1	1	2	56	2	8	2	142	168	189	357	47	239	42	2	152	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	132	125	25	2	1	1	4	39	2	8	2	200	237	256	493	56	279	30	3	224	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	213	191	40	6	2	0	17	52	3	7	4	209	284	262	546	52	286	24	8	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	213	184	43	6	2	0	23	46	3	7	4	234	327	288	615	54	309	22	11	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	248	225	39	10	1	1	13	89	5	17	5	173	235	240	475	67	279	36	5	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	248	218	47	12	2	1	20	56	5	17	5	216	296	303	599	87	284	23	8	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	HOU	—	88	81	16	3	1	1	6	26	1	2	0	198	261	296	558	99	265	30	7	238	40	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	HOU	34%	118	108	22	4	1	2	8	34	1	3	1	204	265	315	580	111	269	29	7	250	50	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	HOU	46%	249	226	47	9	2	4	18	71	3	6	1	208	275	319	594	111	272	29	7	259	56	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	HOU	34%	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	184	244	289	533	105	272	29	7	245	45	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	HOU	46%	115	105	22	4	1	2	8	33	1	3	1	210	272	324	596	114	275	29	7	253	52	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	156	143	29	5	1	3	11	45	1	4	1	203	265	315	579	112	271	29	7	251	50	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	120	21	4	12	46	188	4	17	4	201	263	310	574	109	270	29	7	251	50	-37	+2	+0	+7	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	1048	958	182	33	8	9	64	328	15	43	13	190	252	269	521	79	276	31	6	229	34	-79	+3	+0	+11	+30	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	113	20	5	6	40	203	9	27	8	190	252	271	523	81	276	31	6	229	34	-49	+2	+0	+7	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	132	125	25	2	1	1	4	39	2	8	2	200	237	256	493	56	279	30	3	224	29	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2023	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	176	148	40	6	2	0	22	32	3	7	4	270	374	338	711	68	342	18	12	326	108	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	19	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	37	36	3	0	0	0	1	14	0	0	0	83	108	83	191		136	38	3	92	-71	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2024	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	203	178	42	12	1	1	17	47	5	13	4	236	320	331	651	96	313	23	8	295	84	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
2024	20	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	45	40	5	0	1	0	3	9	0	4	1	125	186	175	361	50	161	20	7	163	-17	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	243	3	5	197	259	289	+3	+6	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	8	14	197	259	289	+7.1	+16.4	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Robledo (OGILVIE)	22	23→28	31→36	54→59	45	186/250/265	78	265	1	2	30%	7%	40	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rubendy Jaquez 2021 · A	22	43→40	39→40	54→55	42	210/261/298	88	277	7	18	26%	6%	52	-1.6	202/247/279	77	273	4	18	26%	5%	41	-2.3	192/234/259	66	259	2	22	25%	5%	27	-1.3
✕Reidy Mercado 2023 · A	22	40	35→30	54→60	38	186/241/238	52	298	2	17	36%	6%	28	-3.2	187/236/245	58	305	3	23	37%	6%	27	-3.3	164/209/207	43	271	1	36	38%	5%	3	-1.2
✕Josue Huma 2022 · A	22	42	39→40	51→50	45	203/273/286	83	281	6	10	28%	8%	56	-1.3	213/268/299	86	285	7	9	26%	7%	56	-1.3	227/271/307	79	288	8	8	23%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2009 · A	22	44→40	36→40	53→55	40	208/258/274	67	290	3	18	28%	5%	45	-2.1	210/253/281	71	297	3	14	29%	5%	43	-2.2	200/242/268	68	285	2	14	29%	4%	32	-1.5
✕Dreily Guerrero 2012 · A	21	38	35→30	54→55	40	180/239/245	66	276	2	13	34%	7%	30	-3.1	178/224/242	64	308	3	9	41%	5%	22	-3.7	150/190/213	63	273	5	12	45%	5%	-2	-1.6
✕Chris Proctor 2019 · A	22	35	37→30	53→45	40	174/226/247	72	249	5	10	31%	6%	24	-3.5	193/238/263	70	268	5	8	28%	6%	33	-2.9	173/221/224	51	251	4	6	31%	6%	14	-1.5
✕Yeison Coca 2021 · A	22	37→29	38→40	50	36	181/232/259	77	290	6	14	38%	6%	30	-3.1	179/238/246	67	306	4	12	40%	7%	30	-3.1	157/219/208	51	273	2	13	40%	7%	9	-2.1
✕Ruben Contreras 2010 · A	22	37	38→40	51→45	44	180/240/263	82	248	5	12	28%	7%	34	-2.8	198/247/298	100	281	8	8	31%	6%	46	-2.0	179/222/291	112	247	10	5	31%	5%	33	-1.1
✕Raul Linares 2013 · A	22	40	36→45	59→55	42	187/248/257	70	259	2	22	27%	6%	37	-2.7	210/259/304	94	279	6	10	25%	6%	53	-1.5	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	55	-0.5
✕Oliver Dominguez 2010 · A	21	41	40	53→45	45	201/262/294	93	269	7	12	27%	7%	52	-1.6	198/269/293	95	271	8	13	28%	8%	56	-1.3	185/262/279	95	257	8	12	29%	9%	46	-0.9
✕Viandel Pena 2023 · A	22	38→43	39→40	55	39	181/244/265	84	301	5	18	39%	8%	37	-2.7	202/266/282	80	311	4	18	33%	8%	50	-1.7	203/267/280	77	301	4	19	31%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Argenis Tavarez 2006 · A	22	42	36→30	52→45	43	200/254/268	69	275	3	10	27%	7%	42	-2.3	209/262/266	57	280	2	8	24%	6%	44	-2.1	216/271/239	23	286	0	9	23%	7%	39	-0.9
✕Wendell Soto 2014 · A	22	41→44	39→40	50	40	198/245/286	87	275	6	10	29%	6%	42	-2.3	195/259/281	86	278	7	10	30%	8%	47	-1.9	173/250/248	75	245	8	10	31%	9%	35	-0.9
✕Vaughn Bryan 2014 · A	21	44→40	38→40	53→50	40	211/258/292	82	296	5	11	30%	6%	49	-1.8	217/264/306	89	317	3	12	30%	6%	55	-1.4	209/261/296	87	312	2	16	32%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Eric Cole 2019 · A	22	46→39	37→45	54→45	45	215/268/294	79	274	4	8	22%	6%	54	-1.4	200/260/302	102	243	9	6	21%	7%	53	-1.5	186/252/294	109	219	11	6	21%	8%	48	-1.5
✕Alfredo Angarita 2018 · A	21	41	35→30	51→55	49	194/273/255	61	268	2	16	27%	9%	47	-1.9	202/266/258	56	293	2	10	29%	7%	44	-2.1	195/259/238	43	283	1	9	29%	7%	33	-1.3
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Fernando Garcia 2009 · A	21	39	36→30	51→55	40	188/245/251	63	268	3	17	30%	6%	33	-2.9	208/276/272	64	281	2	18	24%	8%	52	-1.6	207/282/266	58	276	1	22	23%	8%	50	-0.8
✕Hansel Moreno 2019 · A	22	42→30	41→45	51→50	34	203/245/306	103	310	9	16	36%	5%	48	-1.9	189/235/282	93	291	9	15	36%	5%	37	-2.6	160/207/236	76	237	10	18	36%	5%	12	-2.9
✕Julio Garcia 2018 · A	21	42→34	36→40	48→40	38	200/243/273	73	289	2	7	31%	5%	37	-2.6	175/207/239	64	295	4	3	40%	3%	13	-4.3	150/175/200	50	259	4	2	43%	2%	-13	-3.3