Brett Kerry
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 213 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION85 act + 54 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 154145vR 136
ERA6.05
FIP6.05
K%14.5%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 139 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 5 | 14 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.9 | 35.8% | 9.4% | 26.4% | 0.0% | 1.26 | 1.27 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 5 | 14 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.9 | 35.8% | 9.4% | 26.4% | 0.0% | 1.26 | 1.50 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 25 | 20 | 103 | 438 | 118 | 30 | 19 | 80% | 4.1 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 4.1% | 4.46 | 4.48 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 25 | 20 | 103 | 438 | 118 | 30 | 19 | 80% | 4.1 | 26.9% | 6.8% | 20.1% | 4.3% | 4.46 | 4.08 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 135 | 574 | 122 | 48 | 27 | 85% | 5.0 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.60 | 6.01 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 135 | 574 | 122 | 48 | 27 | 85% | 5.0 | 21.3% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 4.60 | 4.96 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 22 | 151 | 624 | 149 | 37 | 27 | 81% | 5.6 | 20.1% | 6.3% | 13.7% | 5.9% | 4.54 | 5.45 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 22 | 151 | 624 | 149 | 37 | 27 | 81% | 5.6 | 23.9% | 5.9% | 17.9% | 4.3% | 4.54 | 4.19 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 23 | 116 | 525 | 90 | 46 | 27 | 92% | 4.6 | 14.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.60 | 6.36 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 23 | 116 | 525 | 90 | 46 | 27 | 92% | 4.6 | 17.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 7.60 | 5.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 15 | 85 | 410 | 81 | 30 | 17 | 79% | 4.5 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 7.41 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 33 | 20 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.05 | 6.05 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 33 | 19 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.05 | 6.05 | -0.9 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 139 | 638 | 114 | 50 | 28 | — | — | 17.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 6.88 | 5.53 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 58 | 245 | 114 | 50 | 28 | — | — | 46.5% | 20.2% | 26.4% | 11.5% | 16.48 | 8.06 | -2.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 86 | 365 | 55 | 31 | 18 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.92 | 5.95 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 82 | 348 | 54 | 31 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.89 | 5.96 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 78 | 327 | 57 | 27 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 5.79 | 5.78 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 52 | 30 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.92 | 5.95 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 78 | 329 | 51 | 29 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.89 | 5.96 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 74 | 312 | 54 | 26 | 16 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 5.79 | 5.78 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 50 | 49 | 292 | 1233 | 193 | 105 | 60 | 98% | 5.8 | 15.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.88 | 5.51 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 132 | 72 | 41 | 98% | 5.9 | 15.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.88 | 5.51 | -0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 128 | 108 | 604 | 2624 | 489 | 207 | 141 | 84% | 4.7 | 18.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 5.45 | 5.47 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 36 | 200 | 869 | 162 | 68 | 47 | 84% | 4.7 | 18.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 5.45 | 5.47 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brett Kerry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.05 | 14.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | — | 5.90 | 16.0% | 7.4% | 246 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Nestor Molina R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 82 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2028 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 79 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2027 · 6.20 FIP | 28 | SP | 6.20 | 13.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | .262 | 4.67 | 16.4% | 9.2% | 94 | -1.53 | 4.67 | 135 | 79 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 78 |
| Anders Tolhurst R 2024 · 6.41 FIP | 25 | SP | 6.41 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 6.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 159 | 76 |
| Casey Kelly R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.60 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | .318 | 4.42 | 16.4% | 10.2% | 160 | -1.18 | 3.98 | 607 | 76 |
| Brett Gillis R 2025 · 5.10 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.10 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | .231 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 119 | 75 |
| Matt Cain R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 74 |
| Alex Cobb R 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.20 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.77 | 2.78 | 844 | 74 |
| Alex Williams R 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.23 | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 322 | 74 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.50 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | .346 | 4.43 | 17.3% | 11.5% | 11 | -1.07 | 4.43 | 177 | 74 |
| Taylor Dollard R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.83 | 16.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 380 | 73 |
| Kevin McGowan R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.39 | 15.4% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 426 | 72 |
| Ryan Watson R 2025 · 5.85 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.85 | 13.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 165 | 72 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 72 |
| David Fletcher R 2029 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 72 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.52 | 17.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 376 | 72 |
| Dom Hamel R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.62 | 15.4% | 12.2% | 4.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 514 | 72 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.60 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .315 | 4.61 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 379 | -0.99 | 3.19 | 678 | 72 |
| Jackson Tetreault R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.19 | 15.9% | 10.2% | 3.9% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 404 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 76 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 1.90 | 5.90 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Adam Plutko ('21) | 4 | 68 | 17.0% | 7.2% | 2.17 | 5.37 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |