Brett Kerry
P
Salt Lake Bees
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 213 lbs
AAA
ERA5.65
FIP5.65
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%17.7%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%9.5%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL5555
CMD4040
K†3040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 5 | 5 | 14 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.26 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 25 | 20 | 103 | 438 | 118 | 30 | 19 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.46 | 4.69 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 27 | 23 | 135 | 574 | 122 | 48 | 27 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.60 | 5.94 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 27 | 22 | 151 | 624 | 149 | 37 | 27 | 20.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.54 | 5.19 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 25 | 23 | 116 | 525 | 90 | 46 | 27 | 14.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.60 | 6.32 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 5 | 2 | 16 | 76 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 16.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 8.04 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 22 | 120 | 507 | 81 | 44 | 24 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 5.87 | 5.87 | -0.8 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 136 | 583 | 95 | 49 | 27 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 6.12 | 5.77 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 22 | 120 | 508 | 83 | 44 | 24 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 5.73 | 5.74 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 21 | 21 | 118 | 496 | 83 | 43 | 23 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 5.65 | 5.67 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 21 | 21 | 114 | 481 | 81 | 42 | 22 | 16.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 5.63 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 20 | 110 | 464 | 78 | 41 | 21 | 16.7% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 5.66 | 5.70 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 106 | 446 | 73 | 40 | 21 | 16.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 5.74 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 18 | 18 | 101 | 426 | 69 | 39 | 20 | 16.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 5.83 | 5.89 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 17 | 96 | 404 | 64 | 38 | 20 | 15.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 5.93 | 6.00 | -0.8 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 16 | 90 | 381 | 59 | 36 | 19 | 15.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 6.04 | 6.12 | -0.9 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 15 | 15 | 84 | 356 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 14.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 6.17 | 6.25 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 114 | 95 | 535 | 2290 | 429 | 180 | 122 | 18.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.22 | 5.44 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 36 | 200 | 857 | 160 | 67 | 46 | 18.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.22 | 5.44 | -0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brett Kerry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.87 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | — | 5.69 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 352 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Nestor Molina R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .304 | 3.61 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.20 | 3.03 | 401 | 90 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 85 |
| Casey Kelly R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.30 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | .318 | 4.41 | 16.4% | 10.2% | 160 | -0.89 | 4.06 | 607 | 83 |
| Sam Highfill R 2023 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 106 | 83 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.94 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 239 | 82 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.5% | .263 | 4.25 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -1.02 | 3.92 | 272 | 81 |
| Mike Connolly R 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.12 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 328 | 80 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 175 | 80 |
| Matthew Shepherd R 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.04 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 3.4% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 116 | 79 |
| Kris Medlen R 2028 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | .261 | 5.17 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.41 | 4.58 | 261 | 79 |
| Brady Feigl R 2024 · 5.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.32 | 19.4% | 9.6% | 4.8% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 257 | 79 |
| Terance Marin R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | .294 | 4.20 | 12.4% | 7.5% | 88 | -0.78 | 3.60 | 322 | 78 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 78 |
| Zack Wheeler R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.89 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .327 | 3.06 | 23.0% | 16.8% | 449 | -1.83 | 2.32 | 1,443 | 77 |
| Joey Mancini R 2024 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.08 | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 316 | 77 |
| Chuck King R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.87 | 15.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 161 | 76 |
| Brock Stewart R 2026 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.66 | 15.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.56 | 596 | 76 |
| Marcelo Perez R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 264 | 76 |
| Jared Kollar R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.62 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.1% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 345 | 75 |
| Chandler Champlain R 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.12 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.9% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 500 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.