Antonio Menendez
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 31 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%21.8%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP31
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 2 | 37 | 145 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 10% | 1.9 | 24.7% | 8.1% | 16.5% | 1.7% | 1.70 | 2.97 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 2 | 37 | 145 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 10% | 1.9 | 33.1% | 6.9% | 26.2% | 0.7% | 1.70 | 1.67 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 1 | 59 | 247 | 53 | 31 | 1 | 3% | 1.5 | 17.0% | 14.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 3.53 | 3.70 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 1 | 59 | 247 | 53 | 31 | 1 | 3% | 1.5 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 0.4% | 3.53 | 3.10 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 39 | 0 | 63 | 271 | 79 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 1.4% | 3.14 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 39 | 0 | 63 | 271 | 79 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.2% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 1.1% | 3.14 | 2.88 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 44 | 193 | 42 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 5.08 | 3.62 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 44 | 193 | 42 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | 5.08 | 3.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | 32 | 0 | 43 | 197 | 45 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.1% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.86 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | ARI | 29 | 0 | 31 | 129 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 74 | 326 | 73 | 45 | 7 | — | — | 22.4% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 5.24 | 4.65 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 4.38 | 4.00 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 28 | 0 | 30 | 125 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 102 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 164 | 3 | 246 | 1053 | 215 | 141 | 14 | 2% | 1.5 | 20.4% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 3.84 | 3.80 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 133 | 2 | 200 | 856 | 175 | 115 | 11 | 2% | 1.5 | 20.4% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 3.84 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Antonio Menendez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 2.4% | — | 4.46 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 30 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 88 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 85 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 85 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 84 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.34 | 19.5% | 11.2% | 0.9% | .333 | 4.12 | 13.8% | 3.7% | 59 | +0.78 | 3.34 | 117 | 84 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 83 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 83 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 83 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 83 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 83 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 82 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 21.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 156 | 82 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2029 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 82 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 82 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 82 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 82 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 82 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.52 | 17.4% | 10.0% | 1.1% | .317 | 2.96 | 17.5% | 13.1% | 49 | -0.56 | 2.96 | 137 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 30 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 0.95 | 4.40 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |