Antonio Menendez

Antonio Menendez P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%20.4%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP31

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	2	37	145	48	10	1	10%	1.9	24.7%	8.1%	16.5%	1.6%	1.70	2.92	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	2	37	145	48	10	1	10%	1.9	33.1%	6.9%	26.2%	0.7%	1.70	1.67	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	59	247	53	31	1	3%	1.5	17.0%	14.2%	2.7%	0.4%	3.53	3.72	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	59	247	53	31	1	3%	1.5	17.0%	14.2%	2.7%	0.4%	3.53	3.72	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	1	59	247	53	31	1	3%	1.5	21.5%	12.6%	8.9%	0.4%	3.53	3.10	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	39	0	63	271	79	35	3	0%	1.6	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	1.4%	3.14	3.67	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	39	0	63	271	79	35	3	0%	1.6	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	1.4%	3.14	3.67	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	39	0	63	271	79	35	3	0%	1.6	29.2%	12.9%	16.2%	1.1%	3.14	2.88	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	44	193	42	22	3	0%	1.3	17.9%	11.4%	6.5%	1.2%	5.08	3.71	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	44	193	42	22	3	0%	1.3	17.9%	11.4%	6.5%	1.2%	5.08	3.71	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	44	193	42	22	3	0%	1.3	21.8%	11.4%	10.4%	1.6%	5.08	3.57	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	48	0	62	284	64	41	6	0%	1.3	18.4%	13.9%	4.5%	2.5%	5.92	4.66	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	48	0	62	284	64	41	6	0%	1.3	18.4%	13.9%	4.5%	2.5%	5.92	4.66	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	ARI	28	0	39	152	39	13	4	0%	1.4	25.7%	8.6%	17.1%	2.6%	2.31	3.46	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	ARI	20	0	23	132	25	28	2	0%	1.2	18.9%	21.2%	-2.3%	1.5%	11.96	5.02	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	ARI	28	0	30	125	26	15	3	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.2%	8.4%	2.6%	4.67	4.71	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.2%	8.4%	2.6%	4.67	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	10	6	1	0%	1.0	20.6%	12.2%	8.4%	2.6%	4.67	4.33	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	108	18	0%	1.1	20.6%	12.2%	8.4%	2.6%	4.67	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		180	3	265	1140	228	147	17	2%	1.5	20.0%	12.9%	7.2%	1.5%	4.00	3.84	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	2	200	859	172	111	12	2%	1.5	20.0%	12.9%	7.2%	1.5%	4.00	3.84	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antonio Menendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	20.4%	12.3%	2.4%	—	4.71	20.6%	8.4%	30	+0.05	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	89
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	89
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	87
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	87
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	86
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	85
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	85
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	85
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Matt Wivinis R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	19.5%	12.2%	1.5%	.262	5.95	14.5%	6.2%	17	+2.11	1.61	124	84
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	84
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	83
Adrian Ramirez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	27	SU	3.59	17.4%	10.0%	1.3%	.317	3.04	17.5%	13.1%	49	-0.55	3.04	137	83
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	83
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.5%	12.3%	0.97	4.66
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91