Samuel Strickland

P Columbus Clingstones

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 218 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	26	A+ATL	22	2	38	2.87	2.28	27.3%	2.7%	—	K 21.0% · BB 3.1% · FIP 3.39
2026	27	AAATL	32	1	51	6.39	3.63	22.1%	5.3%	—	K 17.9% · BB 5.8% · FIP 4.37
2027PROJ	28	MLBATL	31	0	33	4.29	4.29	19.5%	5.9%	0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBATL	10	0	10	4.37	4.42	19.6%	6.4%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJake McSteen (age 28) · Adam Liberatore (age 28) · Kyle Hunter (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98107vR 115

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%19.5%

BB%5.9%

K-BB%13.6%

Proj IP33

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	9	0	12	58	13	8	3	0%	1.4	15.2%	17.2%	-2.0%	6.9%	8.03	7.77	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	9	0	12	58	13	8	3	0%	1.4	22.4%	13.8%	8.6%	5.2%	8.03	6.10	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	12	62	275	61	21	4	80%	4.2	16.6%	8.8%	7.8%	1.3%	3.61	3.53	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	12	62	275	61	21	4	80%	4.2	22.2%	7.6%	14.5%	1.5%	3.61	2.99	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	7	71	306	80	19	11	29%	3.0	19.5%	7.3%	12.2%	4.5%	4.29	4.87	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	7	71	306	80	19	11	29%	3.0	26.1%	6.2%	19.9%	3.6%	4.29	3.66	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	39	0	59	236	66	15	2	0%	1.5	21.5%	7.3%	14.2%	1.3%	1.67	2.91	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	39	0	59	236	66	15	2	0%	1.5	21.5%	7.3%	14.2%	1.3%	1.67	2.91	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	39	0	59	236	66	15	2	0%	1.5	28.0%	6.4%	21.6%	0.8%	1.67	2.07	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	22	2	38	150	41	4	3	9%	1.7	21.0%	3.1%	18.0%	3.1%	2.87	3.39	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	22	2	38	150	41	4	3	9%	1.7	21.0%	3.1%	18.0%	3.1%	2.87	3.39	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	22	2	38	150	41	4	3	9%	1.7	27.3%	2.7%	24.7%	2.0%	2.87	2.28	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	32	1	51	226	50	12	7	3%	1.6	17.9%	5.8%	12.1%	3.7%	6.39	4.37	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	32	1	51	226	50	12	7	3%	1.6	17.9%	5.8%	12.1%	3.7%	6.39	4.37	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Columbus Clingstones	32	1	51	226	50	12	7	3%	1.6	22.1%	5.3%	16.8%	3.1%	6.39	3.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	ATL	31	0	33	139	27	8	4	0%	1.1	19.5%	5.9%	13.6%	3.1%	4.29	4.29	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	ATL	30	0	32	133	26	9	4	0%	1.1	19.6%	6.4%	13.2%	3.2%	4.37	4.42	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	ATL	10	0	10	42	8	3	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	6.4%	13.2%	3.2%	4.37	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	8	3	1	0%	1.1	19.6%	6.4%	13.2%	3.2%	4.37	4.04	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	61	20	0%	1.1	19.6%	6.4%	13.2%	3.2%	4.37	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		141	22	294	1251	237	92	37	16%	2.1	18.9%	7.3%	11.6%	3.0%	3.95	4.07	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	15	200	852	161	62	25	16%	2.1	18.9%	7.3%	11.6%	3.0%	3.95	4.07	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Samuel Strickland (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	19.5%	5.9%	3.1%	—	4.42	19.6%	13.2%	32	+0.13	—	—	—
Jake McSteen L 2024 · 4.64 FIP	28	SU	4.64	19.7%	6.4%	4.4%	.348	2.22	18.9%	13.2%	18	-2.42	2.22	286	80
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	78
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	76
Chad Zerbe L 2001 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	.299	3.88	9.4%	2.6%	106	+0.13	3.75	145	76
Darin Downs L 2013 · 3.30 FIP	28	SU	3.30	24.5%	6.0%	2.8%	.317	3.87	16.5%	7.3%	51	+0.57	2.83	107	75
Jesse Carlson L 2009 · 3.72 FIP	28	SU	3.72	17.5%	6.2%	2.4%	.279	5.39	13.6%	8.5%	14	+1.67	3.28	141	75
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	75
Erasmo Ramirez L 2004 · 4.27 FIP	28	SU	4.27	14.2%	4.1%	3.4%	.250	4.68	6.2%	3.1%	23	+0.41	3.59	108	73
Jeremy Bleich L 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	14.3%	6.3%	1.2%	.291	3.67	16.5%	10.2%	155	+0.35	3.20	241	73
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	73
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	73
Ivan Pelaez L 2021 · 4.66 FIP	27	SU	4.66	16.9%	5.1%	4.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.66	210	73
Joel Bender L 2018 · 3.42 FIP	26	SU	3.42	18.6%	4.9%	2.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	117	73
Tommy Phelps L 2003 · 3.39 FIP	29	SW	3.39	15.6%	8.0%	1.1%	.322	4.47	16.9%	8.9%	57	+1.08	3.39	120	72
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	72
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	72
Matt Dermody L 2017 · 4.87 FIP	27	SU	4.87	17.6%	5.2%	4.7%	.294	4.18	19.8%	16.7%	23	-0.69	2.38	348	72
Jack Taschner L 2006 · 4.90 FIP	28	SU	4.90	14.9%	6.9%	4.0%	.360	4.08	18.6%	7.2%	127	-0.82	3.14	189	72
Patrick Schuster L 2017 · 4.51 FIP	26	SU	4.51	19.8%	8.3%	3.7%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	160	72
David Huff L 2013 · 4.42 FIP	28	SU	4.42	20.5%	5.3%	4.3%	.248	3.76	17.1%	11.5%	169	-0.66	3.40	540	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	19.5%	6.1%	1.23	4.33
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
Casey Fien ('17)	1.4	58	21.0%	5.1%	1.46	4.42
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Bobby Tiefenauer ('52-'68, 0 WAR*)	1.6	63	20.4%*	6.7%*	1.10*	4.53*
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*