Grayson Moore

P South Bend Cubs

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	A+CHC	11	14	2.57	4.67	22.7%	19.7%	—	K 17.5% · BB 22.7% · FIP 5.63
2025	24	MIX2 levels	29	33	4.36	2.65	26.9%	14.7%	—	K 21.4% · BB 16.8% · FIP 3.42
2026	25	MIX2 levels	32	44	4.33	3.47	24.6%	7.3%	—	K 19.2% · BB 8.3% · FIP 4.40
2027PROJ	26	MLBCHC	21	22	4.75	4.75	20.6%	10.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBCHC	13	14	4.73	4.74	20.9%	10.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJosh Zeid (age 26) · Francisco Del Rosario (age 26) · C.C. Lee (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%20.6%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%9.7%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	7	34	8	4	0	0%	1.5	23.5%	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	9.82	2.60	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	7	34	8	4	0	0%	1.5	23.5%	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	9.82	2.55	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	11	0	14	66	15	13	1	0%	1.3	17.5%	22.7%	-5.2%	2.1%	2.57	5.63	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	11	0	14	66	15	13	1	0%	1.3	17.5%	22.7%	-5.2%	2.1%	2.57	5.63	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	11	0	14	66	15	13	1	0%	1.3	22.7%	19.7%	3.0%	1.5%	2.57	4.67	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	33	156	42	23	0	0%	1.1	21.4%	16.8%	4.6%	0.0%	4.36	3.42	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	33	156	42	23	0	0%	1.1	21.4%	16.8%	4.6%	0.0%	4.36	3.42	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	33	156	42	23	0	0%	1.1	26.9%	14.7%	12.2%	0.0%	4.36	2.65	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	44	179	44	13	5	0%	1.4	19.2%	8.3%	10.9%	3.4%	4.33	4.40	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	44	179	44	13	5	0%	1.4	19.2%	8.3%	10.9%	3.4%	4.33	4.40	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	44	179	44	13	5	0%	1.4	24.6%	7.3%	17.3%	2.8%	4.33	3.47	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CHC	21	0	22	93	19	10	3	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.9%	9.7%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	37	0	39	163	34	18	5	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.8%	10.1%	3.0%	4.73	4.74	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	13	0	14	59	12	6	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.8%	10.1%	3.0%	4.73	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	60	13	6	2	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.8%	10.1%	3.0%	4.73	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	85	28	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.8%	10.1%	3.0%	4.73	4.36	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		77	0	98	435	87	60	7	0%	1.3	20.1%	13.8%	6.3%	1.7%	4.50	4.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	0	200	888	178	122	15	0%	1.3	20.1%	13.8%	6.3%	1.7%	4.50	4.09	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Grayson Moore (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	20.6%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.74	20.9%	10.1%	39	-0.01	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	93
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	87
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	87
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	87
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	86
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	86
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	86
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	86
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	86
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	85
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	85
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	85
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	85
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	85
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	84
Brandon Gomes R 2011 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	20.0%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	4.17	22.3%	15.2%	71	+0.43	3.48	190	84
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	83
Zach Bryant R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	26	SU	4.85	18.0%	9.6%	3.7%	.313	4.87	16.1%	5.0%	106	+0.02	4.51	215	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.8%	10.9%	1.16	4.74
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*