Malvin Valdez — OGILVIE

Malvin ValdezCF Daytona Tortugas

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .251 / .231

PA141

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO59

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	212	170	37	7	3	3	36	73	4	25	5	218	367	347	714	129	354	34	17	329	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	134	114	25	3	2	1	16	38	4	10	1	219	336	307	643	88	320	28	12	302	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	117	104	15	5	1	1	11	44	1	3	2	144	233	240	473	96	237	38	9	220	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	222	182	41	11	0	7	33	76	6	19	4	225	360	401	761	176	343	34	15	347	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	307	265	51	9	2	0	32	90	7	20	6	192	296	242	538	49	290	29	10	256	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	261	220	46	3	0	2	33	66	4	11	5	209	323	250	573	41	288	25	13	272	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	212	180	22	4	2	1	26	89	4	25	5	122	248	183	431	61	220	42	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	134	120	18	2	1	1	10	54	4	10	1	150	239	208	447	58	253	40	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	117	107	11	3	1	1	8	60	1	3	2	103	172	178	350	75	211	51	7	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	222	196	26	6	0	4	20	107	6	19	4	133	234	224	459	92	255	48	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	307	274	42	6	2	0	23	124	7	20	6	153	237	190	427	36	273	40	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	261	229	41	2	0	1	24	89	4	11	5	179	268	201	469	22	279	34	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	212	180	22	4	2	1	26	89	4	25	5	122	248	183	431	61	228	42	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	212	170	37	7	3	3	36	73	4	25	5	218	367	347	714	129	354	34	17	329	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	134	120	18	2	1	1	10	54	4	10	1	150	239	208	447	58	262	40	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	134	114	25	3	2	1	16	38	4	10	1	219	336	307	643	88	320	28	12	302	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	339	304	38	10	1	5	27	166	7	22	6	125	213	214	427	89	248	49	8	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	339	286	56	16	1	8	44	120	7	22	6	196	317	343	659	147	304	35	13	303	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	307	274	42	6	2	0	23	124	7	20	6	153	237	190	427	36	278	40	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	307	265	51	9	2	0	32	90	7	20	6	192	296	242	538	49	290	29	10	256	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	261	229	41	2	0	1	24	89	4	11	5	179	268	201	469	22	286	34	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	261	220	46	3	0	2	33	66	4	11	5	209	323	250	573	41	288	25	13	272	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	212	180	22	4	2	1	26	89	4	25	5	122	248	183	431	61	220	42	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	134	119	18	2	1	1	10	54	4	10	1	151	239	210	449	59	253	40	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	339	302	38	10	1	5	27	166	7	22	6	126	213	215	428	89	240	49	8	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	307	274	42	6	2	0	23	124	7	20	6	153	237	190	427	36	273	40	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	261	231	41	2	0	1	24	89	4	11	5	177	268	199	468	22	279	34	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	307	274	42	6	2	0	23	124	7	20	6	153	237	190	427	36	273	40	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	261	231	41	2	0	1	24	89	4	11	5	177	268	199	468	22	279	34	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	371	334	59	11	2	2	30	99	4	8	2	175	253	234	486	59	240	27	8	228	40	-26	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	30%	167	149	28	5	1	2	14	44	2	3	1	182	260	257	517	74	244	26	8	240	49	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	30%	50	45	8	2	0	0	4	13	1	1	0	183	261	260	521	76	245	26	8	242	49	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	50	45	8	2	0	0	4	13	1	1	0	178	260	222	482	44	250	26	8	242	28	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	104	26	0	0	52	169	13	13	0	178	260	222	482	44	250	26	8	242	28	-40	+3	+0	+2	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1561	1382	212	33	8	11	136	604	30	94	25	153	244	213	457	59	260	39	9	210	28	-20	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	89	14	3	5	57	252	12	39	10	155	245	216	461	61	263	39	9	210	28	-43	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Malvin Valdez (OGILVIE)	23	30	20	50	50	173/251/231	58	240	1	3	27%	8%	40	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Richard Nunez 2018 · A	23	39	35→30	48→55	50	183/265/240	57	241	2	12	24%	9%	47	-2.5	194/264/277	83	272	5	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	188/264/281	93	239	9	3	24%	9%	54	-0.3
✕Felix Cabrera 2011 · A	22	33	34→30	51→50	48	157/254/207	50	227	1	15	28%	9%	37	-3.3	193/247/261	68	273	4	13	29%	6%	44	-2.8	214/255/277	63	292	3	19	26%	5%	49	-0.6
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	39→37	38→40	46→45	45	188/271/264	76	269	5	9	30%	8%	55	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	48	-2.5	163/242/223	60	236	4	6	30%	7%	33	-2.4
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	34	36→40	46→50	48	162/233/224	62	208	4	10	23%	8%	32	-3.7	181/263/263	82	249	5	10	27%	9%	52	-2.2	164/271/256	91	205	6	12	21%	11%	53	-0.9
✕Henrry Pedra 2017 · A	23	37	35→30	46→50	45	173/248/228	54	231	2	14	24%	7%	38	-3.2	191/265/255	64	250	3	11	23%	6%	51	-2.2	154/230/206	52	200	3	16	23%	5%	25	-1.5
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	189/237/261	72	256	4	9	27%	6%	40	-3.1	187/238/270	83	284	5	10	34%	5%	43	-2.8	131/180/196	65	213	3	13	38%	4%	5	-1.5
✕Juan Montes 2018 · A	23	37	35→30	52→55	46	174/263/227	53	218	3	19	20%	7%	45	-2.7	204/276/278	74	278	5	12	27%	6%	60	-1.6	207/273/284	77	288	8	5	29%	4%	58	-0.3
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	193/248/273	79	268	4	10	28%	6%	47	-2.5	205/268/294	89	269	7	14	25%	6%	60	-1.6	190/257/276	86	252	7	18	26%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Pedruin Bautista 2007 · A	23	36	35→40	48→60	43	171/237/228	57	248	2	11	30%	7%	33	-3.6	194/285/269	75	245	3	19	20%	10%	61	-1.5	180/297/260	80	210	2	33	14%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	190/248/269	79	262	6	11	29%	7%	47	-2.6	198/262/281	83	345	5	9	41%	6%	55	-1.9	143/230/226	84	291	4	14	47%	8%	31	-0.7
✕Felix Familia 2021 · A	22	40	35→30	48→45	45	190/263/251	61	263	3	7	27%	8%	49	-2.4	205/257/265	60	293	4	4	29%	5%	49	-2.4	195/246/237	42	274	3	1	29%	5%	35	-1.1
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Tyler Moore 2016 · A	23	39	34→30	50→45	40	186/236/241	55	259	2	15	28%	5%	35	-3.4	199/250/260	61	284	3	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	191/239/233	42	272	2	5	29%	5%	32	-1.5
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	36	38→30	46→50	37	180/220/257	76	248	6	7	30%	4%	32	-3.6	208/248/279	71	283	4	6	26%	4%	48	-2.5	215/244/266	51	284	2	3	24%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Jay Baum 2016 · A	23	41→39	35→40	47→50	41	193/243/253	60	271	2	13	29%	6%	40	-3.0	197/247/283	86	265	7	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	189/240/278	88	246	8	10	26%	5%	44	-1.7
✕Warren Schaeffer 2008 · A	23	38	34→30	48→40	41	182/237/236	53	238	2	7	24%	5%	35	-3.4	198/241/269	71	267	4	6	26%	4%	43	-2.8	198/240/262	64	271	3	2	27%	4%	38	-1.3
✕Joe Cronin 2017 · A	23	40	37→45	48→50	42	193/262/265	72	262	5	12	27%	6%	52	-2.2	179/267/269	90	277	8	7	35%	9%	55	-1.9	160/256/251	91	249	9	8	36%	9%	46	-1.1