German GuilarteC DSL Mariners
Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 167 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .270 / .278
PA62
HR1
K%31
BB%8
ISO81
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.5+$9M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Mariners 5745 4110 6306 11 89281156436 67267 5311 225 30
202118 ROKDSL Mariners 5741 8320 10216 11 195421366787 171400 3718 372 143
202219 ROKDSL Mariners 7563 7100 4327 01 111243127370 16226 435 161 -19
202219 ROKDSL Mariners 7560 9100 7217 01 150311167477 17231 289 247 48
202320 ROKDSL Mariners 173151 24311 11657 00 159249212460 53258 386 211 20
202320 ROKDSL Mariners 173144 31512 18477 00 215331306637 90293 2710 293 83
202421 ROKDSL Mariners 11093 13200 14342 20 140266161427 22217 3113 216 24
202421 ROKDSL Mariners 11087 16300 20242 20 184349218567 34250 2218 282 74
▸ 2026 Season
202623 MLBSEA 6256 11201 5191 10 196274286560 89286 318 254 52 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBSEA 30% 10797 20312 8321 10 206274320593 113288 307 265 61 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
202825 MLBSEA 44% 224201 42714 18653 21 209284313597 104289 298 273 67 -8 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
202926 MLBSEA 51% 308277 601026 24894 31 217289332621 116289 298 277 70 -10 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.4
203027 MLBSEA 52% 355318 691227 291025 41 217293333626 116289 298 279 71 -11 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.5
202724 MLBSEA 30% 3230 5100 2100 00 167219200419 33286 316 253 52 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202825 MLBSEA 44% 9990 19312 8291 10 211283333616 122286 298 261 58 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
202926 MLBSEA 51% 156141 30513 12452 21 213284326610 113287 298 265 61 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
203027 MLBSEA 52% 186167 35613 15542 21 210283311594 102286 298 267 62 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 473428 891538 371385 52 208279313592 105285 298 264 60 -21 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.1
/ 162G 650588 12321411 511907 73 209280315595 105287 298 264 60 -29 +0 +0 +12 +18 0.1
Career 14711301 25041821 11946836 145 192278284563 92278 328 255 53 -78 +1 +0 +26 +42 -0.9
/ 162G 650575 1111849 5320716 62 193280285565 92280 328 255 53 -34 +0 +0 +12 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Mariners 5741 8320 10216 11 195421366787 171400 3718 372 143 +3 -0 +2 0.4
202219 ROKDSL Mariners 7560 9100 7217 01 150311167477 17231 289 247 48 -4 -0 +2 -0.3
202320 ROKDSL Mariners 173144 31512 18477 00 215331306637 90293 2710 293 83 -3 +0 +5 0.2
202421 ROKDSL Mariners 11087 16300 20242 20 184349218567 34250 2218 282 74 -3 +0 +3 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
353596212282319+10+120.60.6
/162664117+11.9+14.90.7pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
German Guilarte (OGILVIE) 23 198/270/278 80286 11 31% 8% 52 -0.2
Alejandro Torres
2012 · A
23 37 37→40 46→40 35 182/219/253 71267 45 33% 4% 22 -3.7 205/260/281 76311 56 33% 6% 48 -1.9 198/265/228303130034%8%37-0.5
Steven Baron
2014 · A
23 34 40→45 53→50 34 176/209/269 93256 69 34% 4% 22 -3.7 215/263/298 83301 59 28% 6% 53 -1.5 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
J.C. Millan
2018 · A
22 40 37→45 45→30 36 194/235/268 74277 48 31% 4% 33 -2.9 221/267/321 100274 96 22% 6% 61 -1.0 227/273/32710126611419%6%61-0.4
Joe Napoli
2006 · A
23 39→43 37→50 44→45 41 190/245/267 76267 44 29% 6% 37 -2.6 208/266/312 104303 86 32% 5% 59 -1.1 211/274/34313228812730%4%68-0.3
Daniel Berg
2008 · A
23 37 39→40 45→40 39 180/245/262 82274 64 35% 6% 37 -2.6 203/273/289 86313 64 34% 7% 56 -1.3 201/278/285843106234%7%54-0.7
Chris Mariscal
2016 · A
23 40→49 36→45 43→45 37 188/248/255 67307 46 38% 6% 36 -2.7 226/284/322 96337 76 32% 6% 69 -0.4 235/293/3351003388531%6%73-0.1
Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A
22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
Angelo Gumbs
2016 · A
23 35→45 38→45 50 34 176/217/257 81263 68 35% 4% 23 -3.6 224/263/322 98283 88 23% 5% 59 -1.1 243/278/3481052919820%4%68-0.2
Pedruin Bautista
2007 · A
23 38 35→40 48→60 40 180/243/239 60276 211 34% 7% 30 -3.1 212/298/298 86276 419 22% 9% 69 -0.4 222/328/32510326643316%11%88+0.4
Chris Okey
2018 · A
23 34 38→45 48→40 36 169/228/242 73279 65 40% 6% 24 -3.5 181/236/284 103274 124 36% 6% 39 -2.5 203/255/30710428610231%5%49-0.5
Ariel Montesino
2019 · A
23 39 37→40 47→50 41 190/239/260 71258 49 28% 6% 33 -2.9 188/239/271 83286 610 34% 5% 37 -2.7 131/183/1986721241338%4%-6-1.5
Brandon Barnes
2008 · A
22 38→48 38→55 46→50 37 184/235/263 80274 57 34% 5% 33 -2.9 199/238/312 113297 116 35% 4% 46 -2.0 236/281/354118320111629%5%73-0.1
Coco Montes
2021 · A
24 38→43 40→50 40→50 35 190/230/280 90267 86 32% 4% 34 -2.8 202/261/336 134289 148 33% 6% 63 -0.8 211/287/344133305141133%8%74-0.0
Javier Castillo
2006 · A
22 39→49 38→45 47→45 37 191/238/267 76273 56 31% 5% 34 -2.8 226/270/335 109298 97 26% 5% 66 -0.6 242/286/3621203139625%5%77+0.1
Johan Cruz
2019 · A
23 38 37→40 46→45 39 187/231/256 69258 56 29% 5% 28 -3.2 203/253/303 100298 105 33% 6% 51 -1.7 193/245/30210929113137%6%45-0.8
Bryan Johns
2012 · A
23 40 36→30 47→45 36 191/239/257 67290 47 34% 5% 32 -3.0 198/272/262 64282 36 28% 8% 49 -1.8 186/268/238522632528%8%39-0.9
Bobby Wernes
2017 · A
23 39 35→40 46→40 44 185/239/240 55245 26 24% 6% 28 -3.2 206/264/294 88265 56 23% 6% 53 -1.5 206/274/302952506319%7%56-0.6
Rigoberto Rangel
2011 · A
22 40 37→45 48→40 40 192/252/263 71277 46 31% 6% 40 -2.4 196/258/268 72296 48 33% 7% 43 -2.2 156/229/2034623131031%7%12-1.0
James Nelson
2021 · A
23 39→49 39→40 45→50 39 193/239/274 81262 76 29% 5% 37 -2.7 198/268/284 86319 719 37% 8% 53 -1.5 193/258/2798630992638%7%44-0.8
Alexis Bastardo
2017 · A
23 41 35→40 50→55 39 192/249/248 56277 210 30% 6% 34 -2.8 199/246/273 74279 513 29% 5% 40 -2.4 187/224/2526625272028%3%21-1.4