Junior Tilien

SS West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 168 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ADET	181	.269/.346/.356	1	1	55	—	.212/.274/.285
2025	22	ROKDET	40	.216/.275/.405	1	0	17	—	.132/.175/.263
2026	23	A+DET	192	.195/.271/.264	1	0	19	—	.161/.214/.217
2026	23	AATL	67	.241/.343/.345	1	1	55	—	.197/.269/.279
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBDET	1	.209/.266/.279	0	0	57	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBDET	84	.213/.271/.295	1	1	63	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBDET	151	.215/.275/.306	2	1	67	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%68

Z-Con%66

K%62

Chase%50

BB%24

ISO11

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJ.J. Franco (age 24) · Yhoxian Medina (age 24) · Shawn Roof (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .266 / .279

PA1

HR0

K%26

BB%7

BABIP279

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	112	103	17	7	0	0	6	24	2	0	0	165	225	233	458	68	212	21	5	212	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	353	323	80	13	1	12	30	81	0	3	0	248	312	406	717	158	296	23	8	320	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	127	114	26	9	0	3	10	28	2	1	1	228	302	386	688	158	274	22	8	306	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	242	211	53	15	1	6	27	42	2	0	1	251	342	417	759	166	285	17	11	338	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	393	91	17	2	6	40	85	2	4	1	232	306	331	637	99	277	19	9	288	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	181	160	43	9	1	1	18	34	1	1	0	269	346	356	703	88	331	19	10	318	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	40	37	8	4	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	216	275	405	680	189	269	25	8	301	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	192	174	34	9	0	1	17	42	1	0	0	195	271	264	535	69	252	22	9	250	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	67	58	14	3	0	1	9	10	0	1	0	241	343	345	688	103	277	15	13	317	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK	FCL Braves	—	28	22	6	0	0	0	5	4	1	0	0	273	429	273	701		333	14	18	345	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	112	105	13	5	0	0	4	34	2	0	0	124	171	171	343	48	167	30	4	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	353	333	63	10	1	9	20	115	0	3	0	189	235	306	541	117	258	33	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	127	118	20	6	0	2	6	36	2	1	1	169	222	271	493	102	227	28	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	242	219	42	12	1	4	19	60	2	0	1	192	263	311	573	119	235	25	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	408	73	13	2	4	25	113	2	4	1	179	230	250	480	71	226	26	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	181	165	35	7	1	1	13	46	1	1	0	212	274	285	559	73	283	25	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	40	38	5	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	132	175	263	438	132	200	35	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	192	180	29	7	0	1	11	53	1	0	0	161	214	217	430	56	226	28	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	67	61	12	2	0	1	6	14	0	1	0	197	269	279	547	82	247	21	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	28	24	5	0	0	0	3	6	1	0	0	208	321	208	530		261	21	11	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	112	105	13	5	0	0	4	34	2	0	0	124	171	171	343	48	181	30	4	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	112	103	17	7	0	0	6	24	2	0	0	165	225	233	458	68	212	21	5	212	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	353	333	63	10	1	9	20	115	0	3	0	189	235	306	541	117	258	33	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	353	323	80	13	1	12	30	81	0	3	0	248	312	406	717	158	296	23	8	320	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	369	336	62	18	1	6	26	96	4	1	2	185	251	298	549	113	236	26	7	241	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	369	325	79	24	1	9	37	70	4	1	2	243	328	406	734	163	281	19	10	327	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	408	73	13	2	4	25	113	2	4	1	179	230	250	480	71	233	26	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	393	91	17	2	6	40	85	2	4	1	232	306	331	637	99	277	19	9	288	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	221	203	42	10	1	2	15	61	1	1	0	207	265	296	560	89	282	28	7	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	221	197	51	13	1	2	21	44	1	1	0	259	333	365	699	107	320	20	10	315	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	287	265	47	10	0	2	20	73	2	1	0	177	240	238	478	60	237	25	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	287	254	54	12	0	2	31	56	2	1	0	213	303	283	587	71	265	20	11	275	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	112	105	13	5	0	0	4	34	2	0	0	124	171	171	343	48	167	30	4	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	353	330	63	10	1	9	20	115	0	3	0	191	235	309	544	118	258	33	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	369	336	62	18	1	6	26	96	4	1	2	185	251	298	549	113	232	26	7	241	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	410	73	13	2	4	25	113	2	4	1	178	230	249	479	71	226	26	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	221	203	42	10	1	2	15	61	1	1	0	207	265	296	560	89	268	28	7	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	287	263	47	10	0	2	20	73	2	1	0	179	240	240	480	61	234	25	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	410	73	13	2	4	25	113	2	4	1	178	230	249	479	71	226	26	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	221	203	42	10	1	2	15	61	1	1	0	207	265	296	560	89	268	28	7	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	287	263	47	10	0	2	20	73	2	1	0	179	240	240	480	61	234	25	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	DET	0%	337	310	66	14	1	2	22	87	2	2	0	212	269	284	553	72	284	26	7	252	57	-17	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	DET	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	209	266	279	545	70	279	0	0	249	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	30%	276	254	55	11	1	3	19	71	1	2	0	216	274	302	576	85	285	26	7	261	63	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	DET	44%	341	312	68	14	1	4	24	87	2	2	0	219	278	313	591	94	285	26	7	267	67	-13	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	DET	49%	374	343	75	15	1	5	26	95	2	2	0	219	279	315	594	96	285	25	7	269	68	-14	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	DET	52%	393	360	78	16	1	5	28	100	2	1	0	219	279	315	595	96	285	25	7	269	68	-15	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	DET	51%	396	363	79	16	1	6	28	101	2	1	0	218	279	314	593	96	284	26	7	268	68	-15	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	DET	51%	398	365	78	16	1	5	28	103	2	1	0	215	275	307	582	92	282	26	7	264	65	-17	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	30%	84	78	16	3	0	1	6	21	0	1	0	213	271	295	567	83	280	25	7	257	63	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	DET	44%	151	138	29	6	0	2	11	38	1	1	0	215	275	306	581	91	281	25	7	263	67	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	DET	49%	183	167	36	7	1	2	13	46	1	1	0	216	276	308	584	93	281	25	7	265	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	DET	52%	202	185	41	8	1	3	14	51	1	0	0	215	276	309	585	93	280	25	7	265	68	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	DET	51%	204	186	41	8	1	3	15	52	1	0	0	214	275	308	583	93	280	25	7	264	68	-8	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	DET	51%	205	187	41	8	1	3	15	53	1	0	0	212	272	301	573	89	278	26	7	260	65	-9	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1029	941	204	40	4	14	74	261	5	3	0	217	277	312	590	96	283	25	7	263	54	-41	+1	-2	+11	+22	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	129	25	3	9	47	165	3	2	0	217	278	315	593	98	284	25	7	263	54	-26	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4196	3864	780	164	12	53	279	1110	23	21	3	202	260	292	551	90	267	26	7	247	54	-99	+2	-4	+26	+52	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	120	25	2	8	43	172	4	3	0	200	259	289	548	88	265	26	7	247	54	-27	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
/162	664	3	3	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,030	14	4	219	276	313	+11	+9	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	9	2	+7.1	+5.8	-0.1	pk7: 0
#5Bobby Wine'60-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,467 PA	5.2	3,467	30	7	214*	266*	308*	+35	+19	-2.5	-0.7
/162	664	6	1	+6.7	+3.6	-0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Tilien (OGILVIE)	24	45	25	40	40	210/267/282	72	284	2	2	26%	7%	57	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.J. Franco 2016 · A	24	46	37→30	38→45	42	217/270/286	69	287	5	6	25%	6%	58	-1.7	203/265/259	56	278	2	5	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/288/246	35	294	0	4	26%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Yhoxian Medina 2014 · A	24	47→53	36→30	41→50	47	221/286/288	67	282	3	8	22%	7%	65	-1.2	238/287/303	65	296	3	11	19%	6%	68	-1.0	243/288/303	60	297	2	11	18%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Shawn Roof 2009 · AA	24	48	34→30	41→50	46	221/288/271	49	287	2	7	22%	7%	62	-1.4	236/290/292	56	309	2	13	23%	5%	67	-1.1	248/297/296	49	323	1	17	22%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	42	36→40	43→30	46	200/275/266	66	266	4	5	25%	8%	57	-1.8	215/292/303	88	278	6	4	23%	8%	72	-0.7	212/295/296	84	268	6	2	21%	8%	70	-0.4
✕Elliot Soto 2014 · AA	24	44→52	35→40	40→50	45	209/264/268	58	267	3	5	22%	6%	52	-2.2	220/285/275	55	284	2	7	21%	8%	61	-1.5	224/280/309	85	296	5	7	24%	7%	64	-0.7
✕Jairo Rodriguez 2013 · A	24	45	37→30	46→30	42	213/258/282	69	271	5	4	23%	5%	53	-2.1	207/249/264	57	254	3	4	19%	5%	45	-2.7	192/229/227	35	227	0	1	15%	3%	27	-1.1
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	43	35→30	43→45	48	200/278/263	63	277	2	7	26%	9%	57	-1.8	199/267/281	82	284	6	8	30%	7%	57	-1.8	148/213/206	57	214	6	5	32%	5%	19	-1.2
✕Ti'Quan Forbes 2021 · AA	24	46→51	38→40	42→45	42	219/275/303	84	298	5	6	27%	6%	65	-1.2	223/271/320	97	318	8	9	31%	5%	67	-1.1	222/267/316	94	317	9	8	31%	4%	61	-0.9
✕Kyle Knudson 2013 · A	25	44	36→30	41→30	43	207/272/271	64	290	3	3	28%	7%	56	-1.9	220/277/289	69	295	3	3	25%	6%	62	-1.4	223/273/281	58	296	2	0	24%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Kyler Castillo 2022 · A	24	47	37→30	40	47	220/277/295	75	280	3	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	234/307/301	67	313	3	5	24%	8%	76	-0.4	241/327/294	53	324	3	3	24%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Brhet Bewley 2021 · A	24	46	37→40	43→40	46	213/281/283	70	300	4	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	211/266/321	110	287	12	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	197/252/305	109	259	13	1	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Jeremy Dowdy 2014 · A	24	43	37→40	45→30	40	204/248/275	71	283	4	5	28%	6%	47	-2.5	221/274/297	76	278	5	4	21%	7%	62	-1.4	222/280/298	76	267	5	1	18%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Nelson Robledo 2008 · A	24	45	36→30	41→30	42	213/262/280	67	279	4	4	24%	5%	54	-2.0	197/254/262	65	287	4	5	31%	7%	47	-2.5	149/214/179	29	233	2	0	34%	7%	12	-2.0
✕Billy Rojo 2007 · A	24	45	37→30	42→50	45	214/269/292	78	269	4	7	21%	6%	59	-1.6	208/253/279	71	284	4	9	26%	5%	50	-2.3	192/224/248	56	266	2	12	28%	3%	29	-1.4
✕Steven Tinoco 2012 · A	24	50→52	35→30	42→40	47	235/298/291	56	285	3	5	18%	6%	70	-0.8	222/267/278	56	268	3	5	17%	5%	55	-1.9	216/253/254	38	256	1	3	15%	4%	41	-1.2
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	24	48→50	35→30	39→50	48	224/288/278	54	271	3	7	18%	7%	63	-1.3	222/285/292	70	270	5	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	215/282/273	58	256	4	21	16%	7%	57	-0.9
✕Rocky Gale 2012 · AA	24	38→45	37→40	41→30	40	185/233/249	64	245	5	5	26%	5%	36	-3.3	205/237/262	57	251	4	4	19%	4%	39	-3.1	255/282/304	49	309	1	1	17%	3%	64	-0.6
✕Damon Dues 2022 · A	24	45	36→30	44→60	43	204/281/269	65	308	3	7	32%	8%	59	-1.6	226/318/291	65	328	2	23	28%	11%	78	-0.3	239/341/300	61	339	1	37	26%	13%	86	+0.1
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	41	36→40	44→30	48	193/277/258	65	267	4	4	27%	9%	56	-1.9	201/280/286	85	286	7	4	29%	9%	63	-1.3	194/281/287	93	275	8	1	30%	10%	62	-0.5
✕Rick Guarno 2007 · A	24	46	38→40	40	42	216/283/298	82	295	5	5	27%	6%	67	-1.1	217/269/325	108	285	10	6	27%	4%	68	-1.0	211/258/321	110	271	12	5	26%	3%	62	-0.6

Junior Tilien

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps