Erick PeñaCF
Columbia Fireflies
Age 23
L/R
6'1" / 205 lbs
A
HR -5%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
wRC+†-4
AVG/OBP/SLG.104 / .186 / .190
PA204
HR4
K%62
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
38↗43
SPD
49↗54
EYE
47↗52
trajectory · 10 yrs
-1.5peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-8M | $-90M | -$82M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$82M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$82M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Royals Blue | 156 | 143 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 82 | 3 | 4 | 4 | .091 | .161 | .182 | .343 | .091 | .183 | 53 | 6 | .151 | -26 | -22 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -1.8 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 326 | 298 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 180 | 1 | 6 | 5 | .091 | .161 | .178 | .339 | .087 | .184 | 55 | 7 | .153 | -25 | -46 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -3.7 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 290 | 257 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 226 | 1 | 11 | 6 | .039 | .142 | .082 | .224 | .043 | .233 | 78 | 10 | .122 | -48 | -49 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -4.0 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 427 | 384 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 253 | 4 | 13 | 3 | .104 | .179 | .188 | .366 | .083 | .266 | 59 | 7 | .166 | -15 | -55 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -4.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | KC | 204 | 184 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 127 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .109 | .188 | .207 | .395 | .098 | .290 | 62 | 8 | .180 | -4 | -24 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | KC | 211 | 189 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 123 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .122 | .206 | .222 | .428 | .101 | .292 | 58 | 9 | .199 | 10 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -1.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | KC | 334 | 298 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 185 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .131 | .218 | .235 | .452 | .104 | .293 | 55 | 9 | .211 | 20 | -30 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -1.9 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | KC | 413 | 370 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 222 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .135 | .220 | .241 | .460 | .105 | .294 | 54 | 9 | .219 | 26 | -35 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +12 | -2.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | KC | 460 | 411 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 244 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .136 | .223 | .241 | .464 | .105 | .294 | 53 | 9 | .221 | 28 | -38 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -2.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 75% | KC | 486 | 434 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 259 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .138 | .226 | .247 | .472 | .108 | .294 | 53 | 9 | .220 | 27 | -40 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -2.5 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 93% | KC | 496 | 443 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 265 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .135 | .223 | .242 | .465 | .106 | .292 | 53 | 9 | .218 | 25 | -42 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -2.7 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | KC | 498 | 445 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 268 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .135 | .222 | .240 | .463 | .106 | .290 | 54 | 9 | .215 | 23 | -43 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -2.9 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | KC | 492 | 439 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 267 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .130 | .219 | .228 | .447 | .098 | .287 | 54 | 9 | .211 | 20 | -45 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +14 | -3.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | KC | 478 | 428 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 262 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .126 | .213 | .220 | .432 | .093 | .285 | 55 | 9 | .207 | 16 | -45 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +14 | -3.3 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | KC | 452 | 404 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 251 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .124 | .212 | .213 | .424 | .089 | .282 | 56 | 9 | .201 | 12 | -45 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +13 | -3.4 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | KC | 408 | 365 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 230 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .118 | .205 | .203 | .408 | .085 | .280 | 56 | 9 | .195 | 8 | -43 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +12 | -3.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6131 | 5492 | 662 | 137 | 16 | 118 | 544 | 3444 | 47 | 114 | 37 | .121 | .206 | .216 | .422 | .095 | .278 | 56 | 9 | .198 | 10 | -623 | +8 | -20 | +22 | +174 | -44.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 58 | 365 | 5 | 12 | 4 | .122 | .208 | .222 | .429 | .100 | .280 | 56 | 9 | .198 | 10 | -66 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +18 | -4.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Royals Blue | 156 | 137 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 4 | .161 | .258 | .314 | .572 | .153 | .244 | 37 | 10 | .260 | 57 | -8 | -1 | — | — | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 326 | 281 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 121 | 1 | 6 | 5 | .149 | .260 | .288 | .548 | .139 | .216 | 37 | 13 | .253 | 52 | -18 | -1 | — | — | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 290 | 240 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 47 | 153 | 1 | 11 | 6 | .133 | .278 | .296 | .574 | .163 | .278 | 53 | 16 | .268 | 63 | -12 | -0 | — | — | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 427 | 364 | 64 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 51 | 171 | 4 | 13 | 3 | .176 | .284 | .319 | .603 | .143 | .290 | 40 | 12 | .273 | 67 | -16 | +1 | — | — | +12 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Erick Peña (OGILVIE) | 23 | 20→25 | 38→43 | 49→54 | 52 | .104/.186/.190 | .085 | .290 | 4 | 4 | 62% | 8% | -4 | -1.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Casey Hughston 2017 · A |
23 | 31→37 | 43→40 | 50 | 29 | .164/.203/.267 | .104 | .276 | 11 | 11 | 44% | 4% | 20 | -3.8 | .169/.218/.261 | .092 | .317 | 8 | 11 | 46% | 6% | 25 | -3.5 | .156/.212/.238 | .082 | .303 | 6 | 10 | 48% | 6% | 14 | -2.9 |
|
✕Arbert Cipion 2022 · A |
22 | 33 | 40 | 53→55 | 33 | .148/.224/.234 | .086 | .315 | 7 | 18 | 51% | 8% | 22 | -3.7 | .182/.240/.275 | .093 | .296 | 8 | 17 | 39% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | .181/.234/.279 | .097 | .267 | 8 | 23 | 34% | 5% | 33 | -1.7 |
|
✕Francisco Hernandez 2022 · A |
22 | 35 | 39→40 | 44→50 | 32 | .164/.224/.243 | .078 | .314 | 7 | 9 | 47% | 6% | 24 | -3.6 | .182/.246/.262 | .080 | .305 | 5 | 14 | 39% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .175/.241/.259 | .084 | .269 | 6 | 17 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -1.5 |
|
✕Quentin Holmes 2021 · A |
22 | 33→22 | 39→40 | 50→60 | 34 | .163/.217/.244 | .082 | .279 | 7 | 14 | 42% | 6% | 20 | -3.8 | .185/.233/.259 | .074 | .342 | 5 | 19 | 44% | 6% | 30 | -3.1 | .161/.207/.212 | .052 | .315 | 3 | 30 | 48% | 5% | 4 | -1.8 |
|
✕Caberea Weaver 2023 · A |
23 | 33 | 41→40 | 53→55 | 28 | .160/.212/.247 | .087 | .314 | 9 | 19 | 50% | 5% | 19 | -3.9 | .184/.227/.277 | .093 | .332 | 10 | 15 | 45% | 4% | 33 | -2.9 | .179/.212/.263 | .084 | .313 | 10 | 16 | 45% | 3% | 20 | -2.0 |
|
✕Robert Ramirez 2014 · A |
22 | 35 | 37→45 | 48→40 | 33 | .174/.207/.247 | .073 | .260 | 5 | 9 | 34% | 4% | 15 | -4.1 | .192/.230/.299 | .107 | .301 | 8 | 4 | 37% | 4% | 39 | -2.5 | .187/.224/.313 | .126 | .296 | 10 | 2 | 39% | 3% | 39 | -1.0 |
|
✕Blake Brown 2014 · A |
23 | 35→40 | 37→40 | 47→50 | 32 | .159/.221/.230 | .072 | .316 | 5 | 10 | 48% | 7% | 19 | -3.9 | .187/.253/.273 | .086 | .323 | 6 | 12 | 40% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .186/.258/.276 | .089 | .303 | 6 | 15 | 37% | 9% | 43 | -1.7 |
|
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A |
24 | 36→29 | 38→45 | 48→40 | 33 | .174/.222/.250 | .075 | .292 | 6 | 7 | 41% | 5% | 24 | -3.6 | .185/.232/.289 | .104 | .285 | 10 | 4 | 37% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | .184/.231/.298 | .114 | .271 | 13 | 2 | 36% | 5% | 39 | -1.5 |
|
✕Stephen Paolini 2022 · A |
21 | 34→36 | 36→40 | 48→50 | 31 | .146/.212/.208 | .061 | .330 | 4 | 11 | 53% | 7% | 9 | -4.6 | .170/.240/.250 | .080 | .319 | 6 | 13 | 45% | 8% | 32 | -3.0 | .157/.224/.241 | .083 | .287 | 9 | 23 | 45% | 7% | 21 | -1.7 |
|
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A |
24 | 30→31 | 39→40 | 50 | 36 | .158/.210/.243 | .085 | .229 | 7 | 14 | 34% | 5% | 17 | -4.0 | .164/.215/.262 | .098 | .252 | 11 | 15 | 38% | 5% | 24 | -3.5 | .147/.200/.245 | .099 | .228 | 12 | 16 | 40% | 5% | 12 | -2.9 |
|
✕Lucas LeBlanc 2012 · A |
23 | 38 | 37→40 | 49→50 | 30 | .185/.218/.256 | .071 | .292 | 4 | 12 | 38% | 3% | 22 | -3.7 | .195/.243/.276 | .081 | .287 | 6 | 8 | 33% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .182/.238/.255 | .073 | .261 | 5 | 3 | 31% | 4% | 30 | -1.5 |
|
✕Gerrion Grim 2017 · A |
23 | 34 | 41→55 | 45→40 | 31 | .170/.217/.262 | .092 | .293 | 9 | 7 | 44% | 5% | 24 | -3.5 | .195/.232/.344 | .149 | .278 | 21 | 5 | 37% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .185/.216/.361 | .176 | .229 | 28 | 2 | 34% | 3% | 47 | -1.3 |
|
✕Kenny Diekroeger 2014 · A |
23 | 31 | 39→40 | 41→45 | 30 | .164/.202/.239 | .075 | .269 | 9 | 4 | 42% | 4% | 11 | -4.4 | .201/.243/.277 | .076 | .278 | 7 | 9 | 29% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .216/.259/.287 | .071 | .277 | 7 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 45 | -1.1 |
|
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A |
23 | 36 | 36→30 | 56→55 | 35 | .180/.217/.239 | .059 | .271 | 4 | 19 | 34% | 4% | 17 | -4.0 | .197/.247/.262 | .065 | .322 | 4 | 24 | 37% | 6% | 37 | -2.7 | .196/.256/.253 | .057 | .330 | 4 | 28 | 39% | 7% | 35 | -1.4 |
|
✕Gareth Morgan 2019 · A |
23 | 36→35 | 46→45 | 49→45 | 26 | .147/.208/.267 | .120 | .374 | 15 | 9 | 61% | 6% | 24 | -3.6 | .159/.210/.289 | .130 | .440 | 18 | 7 | 63% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .133/.175/.254 | .121 | .346 | 20 | 4 | 65% | 4% | 3 | -2.1 |
|
✕Luis Curbelo 2021 · A |
23 | 34→23 | 40→45 | 43→30 | 29 | .170/.206/.259 | .088 | .290 | 8 | 3 | 43% | 4% | 19 | -3.9 | .170/.216/.313 | .143 | .312 | 18 | 4 | 49% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .141/.189/.288 | .147 | .245 | 20 | 1 | 51% | 5% | 17 | -2.1 |
|
✕Dreily Guerrero 2014 · A |
23 | 35 | 36→30 | 48→55 | 33 | .172/.215/.233 | .061 | .286 | 4 | 8 | 40% | 5% | 16 | -4.1 | .190/.231/.277 | .087 | .340 | 7 | 11 | 44% | 5% | 33 | -2.9 | .166/.196/.260 | .094 | .323 | 8 | 16 | 50% | 4% | 11 | -1.2 |
|
✕Anthony Hewitt 2011 · A |
22 | 33→39 | 42→45 | 46→55 | 25 | .171/.205/.270 | .099 | .299 | 11 | 8 | 46% | 3% | 22 | -3.7 | .185/.217/.299 | .114 | .304 | 13 | 16 | 42% | 3% | 34 | -2.8 | .171/.204/.269 | .098 | .296 | 11 | 16 | 45% | 3% | 17 | -2.2 |
|
✕Billy Cooke 2019 · A |
23 | 34 | 35→30 | 46→50 | 39 | .164/.242/.218 | .054 | .271 | 4 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 26 | -3.4 | .193/.264/.264 | .071 | .296 | 4 | 15 | 34% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .205/.276/.261 | .056 | .302 | 0 | 30 | 29% | 5% | 49 | -0.3 |
|
✕Franklin Romero 2011 · A |
23 | 36 | 38→40 | 47→50 | 26 | .178/.208/.260 | .082 | .299 | 5 | 8 | 42% | 2% | 19 | -3.9 | .188/.214/.258 | .070 | .303 | 4 | 15 | 38% | 2% | 20 | -3.8 | .183/.203/.238 | .056 | .291 | 2 | 20 | 37% | 1% | 8 | -2.5 |