Chris Kachmar

P Norfolk Tides

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MIX2 levels	27	20	107	3.69	3.70	20.5%	9.8%	—	K 17.1% · BB 9.8% · FIP 4.47
2025	28	MIX2 levels	24	24	112	5.22	4.25	24.5%	11.9%	—	K 20.4% · BB 11.9% · FIP 4.83
2026	29	AAABAL	10	7	31	5.74	4.60	18.1%	13.9%	—	K 15.5% · BB 12.5% · FIP 4.63
2027PROJ	30	MLBBAL	10	10	58	5.13	5.13	17.9%	11.9%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBBAL	3	3	20	5.17	5.25	18.1%	12.0%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBBAL	4	4	27	5.28	5.41	18.0%	12.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control50Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Zack Segovia (age 32) · Fabio Castillo (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%17.9%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP58

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	4	0	8	30	12	4	0	0%	2.0	40.0%	13.3%	26.7%	0.0%	2.25	1.41	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 1	4	0	8	30	12	4	0	0%	2.0	40.0%	13.3%	26.7%	0.0%	2.25	1.60	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	10	10	45	201	42	20	3	100%	4.5	16.1%	11.4%	4.6%	2.0%	5.84	4.29	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	10	10	45	201	42	20	3	100%	4.5	20.9%	10.0%	10.9%	1.5%	5.84	3.44	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	3	9	36	9	5	0	50%	1.4	25.0%	13.9%	11.1%	0.0%	2.08	2.75	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	3	9	36	9	5	0	50%	1.4	25.0%	13.9%	11.1%	0.0%	2.08	2.75	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	25	11	67	296	75	21	12	44%	2.7	20.5%	7.8%	12.7%	4.5%	4.84	4.82	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	25	11	67	296	75	21	12	44%	2.7	25.3%	7.1%	18.2%	4.1%	4.84	4.13	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	107	458	94	45	9	74%	4.0	17.1%	9.8%	7.4%	2.9%	3.69	4.47	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	107	458	94	45	9	74%	4.0	17.1%	9.8%	7.4%	2.9%	3.69	4.47	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	20	107	458	94	45	9	74%	4.0	20.5%	9.8%	10.7%	2.0%	3.69	3.70	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	112	489	120	58	15	100%	4.7	20.4%	11.9%	8.5%	3.6%	5.22	4.83	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	112	489	120	58	15	100%	4.7	20.4%	11.9%	8.5%	3.6%	5.22	4.83	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	112	489	120	58	15	100%	4.7	24.5%	11.9%	12.7%	3.1%	5.22	4.25	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	10	7	31	144	26	20	3	70%	3.1	15.5%	12.5%	3.0%	2.3%	5.74	4.63	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	10	7	31	144	26	20	3	70%	3.1	15.5%	12.5%	3.0%	2.3%	5.74	4.63	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	10	7	31	144	26	20	3	70%	3.1	18.1%	13.9%	4.2%	2.1%	5.74	4.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	BAL	10	10	58	245	44	29	7	100%	5.8	17.9%	11.9%	6.0%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	BAL	9	9	54	227	41	27	7	100%	6.0	18.1%	12.0%	6.0%	3.2%	5.17	5.25	-0.2
2029	32	MLB MLE	BAL	8	8	50	210	38	26	7	100%	6.2	18.0%	12.2%	5.8%	3.5%	5.28	5.41	-0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	BAL	3	3	20	84	15	10	3	100%	6.7	18.1%	12.0%	6.0%	3.2%	5.17	5.25	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	BAL	4	4	27	114	21	14	4	100%	6.8	18.0%	12.2%	5.8%	3.5%	5.28	5.41	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	8	47	199	36	24	7	100%	5.9	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	3.4%	5.23	4.96	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	152	102	30	100%	6.0	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	3.4%	5.23	4.96	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		106	75	379	1654	314	176	51	71%	3.6	19.0%	10.6%	8.4%	3.1%	4.70	4.54	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	40	200	873	166	93	27	71%	3.6	19.0%	10.6%	8.4%	3.1%	4.70	4.54	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Kachmar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	17.9%	11.9%	3.0%	—	5.33	18.0%	5.9%	104	+0.20	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	81
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	75
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	74
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	74
Jared Fernandez R 2002 · 4.23 FIP	30	SP-	4.23	15.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.323	3.57	11.8%	5.6%	38	-0.66	3.57	101	73
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	72
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	71
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	71
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	70
Michael Mariot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	30	SP	5.01	19.8%	11.1%	4.0%	.333	5.03	15.8%	7.4%	182	+0.02	2.40	701	69
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	69
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	69
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	581	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	69
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	68
Luis Mateo R 2019 · 5.55 FIP	29	SP-	5.55	8.6%	13.4%	2.7%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	160	67
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	67
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	67
Alex Caldera R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	30	SP	4.54	11.9%	11.1%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	120	67
Aaron Wilkerson R 2019 · 4.67 FIP	30	SP-	4.67	20.9%	9.8%	3.8%	.291	3.33	24.6%	19.0%	112	-1.34	2.75	902	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	18.0%	12.1%	1.25	5.19
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*