Drew Thorpe

P Charlotte Knights

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2028 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAASP40M40-MANROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	MIX2 levels	23	23	139	2.52	2.52	34.0%	7.1%	—	K 26.5% · BB 8.1% · FIP 3.52
2024	23	MIX2 levels	20	20	104	3.11	4.01	19.6%	9.2%	1.1	K 17.0% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.43
2026	25	MIX4 levels	10	10	41	2.85	2.83	23.8%	8.1%	—	K 18.7% · BB 6.3% · FIP 2.84
2027PROJ	26	MLBCWS	9	9	54	4.87	4.99	16.3%	10.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ64% MLB	27	MLBCWS	7	7	41	4.89	4.96	17.0%	10.7%	-0.0
2029PROJ76% MLB	28	MLBCWS	8	8	47	4.93	4.99	17.4%	10.7%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

Whiff%40

xwOBA vs29

FB Velo10

K%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsTim Stauffer (age 27) · Hector Velázquez (age 26) · Britt Reames (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.87

FIP4.99

K%16.3%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%5.5%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD2525

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.0

Whiff%

p4023.9%

p1013.2%

xwOBA vs

p290.336

CH+4.0 (36%)

CT (15%)

SL-2.7 (17%)

FB-3.4 (32%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	139	536	182	38	13	100%	6.1	26.5%	8.1%	18.4%	3.0%	2.52	3.52	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	139	536	182	38	13	100%	6.1	34.0%	7.1%	26.9%	2.4%	2.52	2.52	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	104	414	81	38	11	100%	5.2	17.0%	9.6%	7.4%	2.8%	3.11	4.43	+0.6
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	104	414	81	38	11	100%	5.2	17.0%	9.6%	7.4%	2.8%	3.11	4.43	+0.6
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	104	414	81	38	11	100%	5.2	19.6%	9.2%	10.4%	2.7%	3.11	4.01	+1.1
2026	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	10	10	41	160	38	13	2	100%	4.1	18.7%	6.3%	12.4%	1.0%	2.85	2.84	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	10	10	41	160	38	13	2	100%	4.1	18.7%	6.3%	12.4%	1.0%	2.85	2.84	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	10	10	41	160	38	13	2	100%	4.1	23.8%	8.1%	15.6%	1.2%	2.85	2.83	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			9	9	44	190	25	21	8	100%	4.9	13.2%	11.1%	2.1%	4.2%	5.48	5.74	-0.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CWS	9	9	54	228	37	25	6	100%	6.0	16.3%	10.8%	5.5%	2.8%	4.87	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	63	267	45	29	8	100%	5.7	17.0%	10.7%	6.3%	2.8%	4.89	4.96	-0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	61	259	45	28	8	100%	6.1	17.4%	10.7%	6.6%	3.0%	4.93	4.99	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	7	7	41	173	29	19	5	100%	5.9	17.0%	10.7%	6.3%	2.8%	4.89	4.96	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	8	8	47	198	34	21	6	100%	5.9	17.4%	10.7%	6.6%	3.0%	4.93	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		24	24	131	558	88	60	19	100%	5.5	15.8%	10.8%	5.0%	3.3%	5.10	4.97	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	849	134	91	29	100%	5.6	15.8%	10.8%	5.0%	3.3%	5.10	4.97	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		53	53	285	1110	242	93	29	100%	5.4	21.8%	8.4%	13.4%	2.6%	2.78	3.76	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		37	37	200	780	170	65	20	100%	5.4	21.8%	8.4%	13.4%	2.6%	2.78	3.76	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Thorpe (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	16.3%	10.8%	2.8%	—	4.97	17.2%	6.5%	124	-0.02	—	—	—
Tim Stauffer R 2009 · 4.40 FIP	27	SP	4.40	16.8%	10.4%	2.5%	.284	3.52	17.2%	11.1%	268	-0.88	2.69	636	81
Hector Velázquez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	26	SP	4.31	15.0%	8.7%	2.5%	.297	3.35	18.1%	12.8%	343	-0.96	2.75	536	81
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	78
Luke Hudson R 2004 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP	3.82	18.6%	11.8%	1.5%	.237	4.59	14.2%	3.9%	187	+0.77	3.81	235	77
Hiram Burgos R 2013 · 4.89 FIP	25	SP	4.89	12.9%	7.9%	3.4%	.314	3.73	18.0%	8.7%	293	-1.16	3.40	384	76
Paul Rigdon R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP	5.34	13.6%	11.1%	3.6%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	5.29	167	76
Nick Belzer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SP	4.51	12.8%	8.6%	2.6%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	112	74
Drew Rucinski R 2015 · 5.52 FIP	26	SP	5.52	15.0%	9.1%	4.6%	.336	3.58	16.8%	10.9%	278	-1.94	2.69	409	73
Wes Obermueller R 2003 · 4.93 FIP	26	SP	4.93	11.2%	7.6%	3.3%	.301	4.77	11.1%	2.0%	183	-0.16	4.72	308	73
Cha Seung Baek R 2006 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP	5.24	16.4%	9.3%	4.3%	.204	3.97	15.3%	9.6%	214	-1.27	3.35	280	73
Brian Stokes R 2006 · 3.98 FIP	26	SP-	3.98	13.6%	8.2%	1.8%	.345	4.51	14.3%	6.3%	166	+0.53	3.96	207	72
Mickey Callaway R 2002 · 4.22 FIP	27	SP	4.22	15.6%	7.5%	2.7%	.248	4.41	14.6%	5.8%	72	+0.19	4.22	126	72
Corey Kluber R 2012 · 4.05 FIP	26	SP	4.05	19.2%	6.4%	3.2%	.335	2.64	26.6%	21.7%	605	-1.41	2.16	1,636	72
James Proctor R 2022 · 4.39 FIP	24	SP	4.39	14.0%	12.5%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	109	72
Josh Banks R 2008 · 4.81 FIP	26	SP-	4.81	11.6%	7.3%	3.2%	.283	6.01	9.0%	6.0%	23	+1.20	4.81	108	72
Samuel Deduno R 2012 · 5.22 FIP	29	SP	5.22	16.4%	15.3%	2.9%	.260	3.94	16.6%	7.2%	230	-1.28	2.99	327	72
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.85	15.2%	1.3%	72	+1.82	3.51	261	72
Ben Meyer R 2019 · 5.58 FIP	26	SP	5.58	19.4%	13.1%	4.5%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.32	387	72
Ike Buxton R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	24	SP	4.45	15.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.341	4.97	13.8%	-5.5%	46	+0.52	4.45	196	71
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	56	16.2%	10.8%	1.21	5.01
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*