Corey Kluber
P
Boston Red Sox
Age 40
RHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 1.0 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 175 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 119
ERA4.78
FIP4.80
K%20.0%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP175
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 175 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1088.3
Whiff%
p1920.9%
K%
p1016.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.375
CH+1.1
CT-8.7
FB-12.4
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 32 | 32 | 222 | 886 | 245 | 42 | 22 | 100% | 6.9 | 27.7% | 4.7% | 22.9% | 2.5% | 3.49 | 2.74 | +6.9 |
| 2015 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 32 | 32 | 222 | 886 | 245 | 42 | 22 | 100% | 6.9 | 27.7% | 4.7% | 22.9% | 2.5% | 3.49 | 2.75 | +6.9 |
| 2016 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 32 | 32 | 215 | 860 | 227 | 56 | 22 | 100% | 6.7 | 26.4% | 6.5% | 19.9% | 2.6% | 3.14 | 3.11 | +5.8 |
| 2016 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 32 | 32 | 215 | 860 | 227 | 56 | 22 | 100% | 6.7 | 26.4% | 6.5% | 19.9% | 2.6% | 3.14 | 3.10 | +5.8 |
| 2017 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 209 | 792 | 266 | 34 | 21 | 100% | 7.0 | 34.1% | 4.4% | 29.7% | 2.7% | 2.20 | 2.27 | +7.7 |
| 2017 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 209 | 792 | 266 | 34 | 21 | 100% | 7.0 | 33.6% | 4.3% | 29.3% | 2.7% | 2.20 | 2.35 | +7.4 |
| 2018 | 32 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 33 | 33 | 215 | 842 | 222 | 34 | 25 | 100% | 6.5 | 26.4% | 4.0% | 22.3% | 3.0% | 2.89 | 3.02 | +6.0 |
| 2018 | 32 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 33 | 33 | 215 | 842 | 222 | 34 | 25 | 100% | 6.5 | 26.4% | 4.0% | 22.3% | 3.0% | 2.89 | 3.02 | +6.0 |
| 2019 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 10 | 44 | 200 | 46 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 4.4 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 5.36 | 3.63 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 10 | 44 | 200 | 46 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 4.4 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 5.36 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 34 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 34 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.10 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 18 | 88 | 383 | 91 | 40 | 9 | 95% | 4.6 | 24.0% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 2.2% | 4.50 | 3.49 | +1.7 |
| 2021 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 18 | 88 | 383 | 91 | 40 | 9 | 95% | 4.6 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 3.73 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 36 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 31 | 31 | 164 | 689 | 139 | 21 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 20.2% | 3.0% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 3.47 | +3.7 |
| 2022 | 36 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 31 | 31 | 164 | 689 | 139 | 21 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 20.2% | 3.0% | 17.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.37 | +3.9 |
| 2023 | 37 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 11 | 63 | 287 | 48 | 22 | 18 | 58% | 3.3 | 16.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.61 | 6.35 | -1.3 |
| 2023 | 37 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 11 | 63 | 287 | 48 | 22 | 18 | 58% | 3.3 | 16.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.61 | 6.36 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | MLB | BOS | 24 | 24 | 150 | 635 | 127 | 57 | 22 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 4.80 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 41 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 21 | 129 | 546 | 103 | 53 | 21 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 5.05 | 5.24 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 42 | MLB | BOS | 18 | 18 | 111 | 470 | 83 | 49 | 20 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.42 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 43 | MLB | BOS | 16 | 16 | 96 | 404 | 67 | 45 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.5% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.83 | 6.10 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 41 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 21 | 129 | 545 | 102 | 53 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 5.05 | 5.24 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 42 | MLB | BOS | 18 | 18 | 111 | 469 | 83 | 49 | 20 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.42 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 43 | MLB | BOS | 16 | 16 | 96 | 405 | 67 | 45 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.5% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.83 | 6.10 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 251 | 245 | 1528 | 6243 | 1513 | 403 | 200 | 98% | 6.1 | 24.2% | 6.5% | 17.8% | 3.2% | 3.90 | 3.63 | +31.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 32 | 200 | 817 | 198 | 53 | 26 | 98% | 6.1 | 24.2% | 6.5% | 17.8% | 3.2% | 3.90 | 3.63 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 207 | 198 | 1220 | 4942 | 1288 | 267 | 144 | 96% | 5.9 | 26.1% | 5.4% | 20.7% | 2.9% | 3.51 | 3.18 | +31.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 32 | 200 | 810 | 211 | 44 | 24 | 96% | 5.9 | 26.1% | 5.4% | 20.7% | 2.9% | 3.51 | 3.18 | +5.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Corey Kluber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.80 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% | — | 5.63 | 17.8% | 7.5% | 336 | +0.83 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Harang R 2023 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 79 |
| John Lackey R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.88 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 577 | 75 |
| Tim Hudson R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.42 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 124 | 72 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2024 · 3.67 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.67 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 152 | 68 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.31 | 14.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .253 | 4.63 | 17.0% | 8.7% | 360 | +0.32 | 4.31 | 574 | 66 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.64 | 13.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.46 | 12.4% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.82 | 3.92 | 375 | 62 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 42 | SP | 3.68 | 16.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | .302 | 4.62 | 14.5% | 10.2% | 481 | +0.94 | 3.68 | 676 | 62 |
| Francisco Campos R 2028 · 4.67 FIP | 42 | SP | 4.67 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .303 | 3.91 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.85 | 332 | 60 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.48 | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.48 | 156 | 56 |
| Walter Silva R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 40 | SP | 3.68 | 10.4% | 7.6% | 0.9% | .292 | 4.77 | 9.7% | 0.9% | 118 | +1.09 | 3.68 | 428 | 53 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 217 | 42 |
| Barry Zito L 2023 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 35 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.73 | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 444 | 32 |
| Jason Lane L 2024 · 5.79 FIP | 38 | SP | 5.79 | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.79 | 164 | 30 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 40 | SP | 3.85 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .238 | 4.15 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 429 | +0.30 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 25 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 41 | SW | 4.46 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.3% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 0 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 122 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 1.55 | 5.20 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |