Corey Kluber — OGILVIE

Corey Kluber P Boston Red Sox

Age 40 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs MLB peak 1.0 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA4.79

FIP4.82

K%20.0%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1088.3

Whiff%

p1920.9%

p1016.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.375

CH+1.1

CT-8.7

FB-12.4

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	32	32	222	886	245	42	22	100%	6.9	27.7%	4.7%	22.9%	2.5%	3.49	2.73	+6.2
2015	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	32	32	222	886	245	42	22	100%	6.9	27.7%	4.7%	22.9%	2.5%	3.49	2.75	+6.2
2016	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	32	32	215	860	227	56	22	100%	6.7	26.4%	6.5%	19.9%	2.6%	3.14	3.10	+4.9
2016	30	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	32	32	215	860	227	56	22	100%	6.7	26.4%	6.5%	19.9%	2.6%	3.14	3.10	+4.9
2017	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	209	792	266	34	21	100%	7.0	34.1%	4.4%	29.7%	2.7%	2.20	2.26	+7.4
2017	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	209	792	266	34	21	100%	7.0	33.6%	4.3%	29.3%	2.7%	2.20	2.35	+7.1
2018	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	33	33	215	842	222	34	25	100%	6.5	26.4%	4.0%	22.3%	3.0%	2.89	3.02	+5.1
2018	32	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	33	33	215	842	222	34	25	100%	6.5	26.4%	4.0%	22.3%	3.0%	2.89	3.02	+5.1
2019	33	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	10	44	200	46	19	7	100%	4.4	22.6%	8.9%	13.7%	2.4%	5.36	3.63	+0.7
2019	33	MIX RAW	3 levels	10	10	44	200	46	19	7	100%	4.4	23.0%	9.5%	13.5%	3.5%	5.36	4.38	+0.3
2020	34	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	1	1	1	3	1	1	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.51	+0.0
2020	34	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	1	1	1	3	1	1	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.10	+0.0
2021	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	18	88	383	91	40	9	95%	4.6	24.0%	9.7%	14.4%	2.2%	4.50	3.50	+1.5
2021	35	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	18	88	383	91	40	9	95%	4.6	23.8%	10.4%	13.3%	2.3%	4.50	3.73	+1.2
2022	36	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	31	31	164	689	139	21	20	100%	5.3	20.2%	3.0%	17.1%	3.0%	4.34	3.42	+3.0
2022	36	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	31	31	164	689	139	21	20	100%	5.3	20.2%	3.0%	17.1%	2.9%	4.34	3.37	+3.1
2023	37	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	11	63	287	48	22	18	58%	3.3	16.3%	8.2%	8.2%	6.8%	6.61	6.48	-1.1
2023	37	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	11	63	287	48	22	18	58%	3.3	16.3%	8.2%	8.2%	6.8%	6.61	6.48	-1.1
2023	37	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	11	63	287	48	22	18	58%	3.3	16.7%	7.7%	9.1%	6.3%	6.61	6.36	-1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			196	190	1191	4823	1261	257	139	97%	6.1	26.1%	5.3%	20.8%	2.9%	3.48	3.15	+26.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	40	MLB	BOS	2	2	12	51	10	5	2	100%	6.0	20.0%	8.9%	11.0%	3.4%	4.79	4.82	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	41	MLB MLE	BOS	21	21	129	546	103	53	21	100%	6.2	18.8%	9.7%	9.2%	3.9%	5.07	5.25	-0.5
2027	41	MLB CTX	BOS	21	21	129	545	102	53	21	100%	6.1	18.8%	9.7%	9.2%	3.9%	5.07	5.25	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		217	211	1321	5369	1364	310	160	97%	6.1	25.4%	5.8%	19.6%	3.0%	3.63	3.32	+25.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	32	200	813	207	47	24	97%	6.1	25.4%	5.8%	19.6%	3.0%	3.63	3.32	+3.9
Career	—	MLE		207	198	1220	4942	1288	267	144	96%	5.9	26.1%	5.4%	20.7%	2.9%	3.51	3.18	+25.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		34	32	200	810	211	44	24	96%	5.9	26.1%	5.4%	20.7%	2.9%	3.51	3.18	+3.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Corey Kluber (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	20.0%	8.9%	3.4%	—	5.25	18.8%	9.2%	129	+0.43	—	—	—
Aaron Harang R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	37	SP	4.47	14.4%	6.4%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	172	79
Tim Hudson R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	40	SP	4.41	12.2%	6.9%	2.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	124	72
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	68
R.A. Dickey R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	40	SP	4.31	14.3%	6.8%	2.8%	.253	4.63	17.0%	8.7%	360	+0.32	4.31	574	65
Brad Penny R 2015 · 3.68 FIP	37	SP	3.68	12.0%	5.8%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	135	63
Pablo Ortega R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	40	SP	4.42	13.4%	6.0%	3.1%	.298	5.20	12.4%	4.2%	14	+0.78	4.01	375	62
Bartolo Colon R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	42	SP	3.67	16.7%	2.3%	3.1%	.302	4.60	14.5%	10.2%	481	+0.93	3.67	676	62
Francisco Campos R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	42	SP	4.77	11.5%	7.9%	3.0%	.303	4.08	12.2%	7.0%	197	-0.69	4.06	332	60
Sergio Mitre R 2019 · 4.54 FIP	38	SP	4.54	11.8%	6.5%	2.9%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	156	56
John Lackey R 2017 · 5.05 FIP	38	SP	5.05	20.4%	6.8%	5.1%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	577	55
Walter Silva R 2017 · 3.67 FIP	40	SP	3.67	10.4%	7.6%	0.9%	.292	5.03	9.7%	0.9%	118	+1.36	3.67	428	53
Ryan Vogelsong R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	39	SP-	4.79	16.7%	10.4%	3.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	217	42
Barry Zito L 2015 · 4.52 FIP	37	SP	4.52	13.6%	10.7%	2.2%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	138	34
Mauricio Lara L 2019 · 4.96 FIP	40	SP	4.96	12.3%	6.8%	3.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	444	32
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	31
Rich Hill L 2020 · 3.85 FIP	40	SP	3.85	19.9%	10.9%	1.9%	.238	4.10	21.0%	12.9%	429	+0.25	2.05	1,030	20
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	140	19.4%	9.3%	1.41	4.92
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56