Walker Powell

P Knoxville Smokies

Age 31 RHP 6'8" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	27	AATennessee Smo…	25	21	120	3.67	4.40	22.9%	5.3%	—	K 18.6% · BB 5.8% · FIP 5.21
2024	28	AAACHC	2	2	5	5.40	4.10	17.2%	17.2%	—	K 17.2% · BB 17.2% · FIP 3.83
2025	29	MIX4 levels	12	12	50	3.04	3.36	17.6%	5.4%	—	K 12.1% · BB 5.8% · FIP 5.35
2027PROJ	31	MLBCHC	2	2	15	4.63	4.63	17.7%	7.3%	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	32	MLBCHC	1	1	6	4.73	4.82	17.8%	7.9%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Jorge Martinez (age 31) · Jared Fernandez (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%17.7%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%10.3%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	8	36	8	1	0	0%	1.1	22.2%	2.8%	19.4%	0.0%	5.62	1.58	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	0	8	36	8	1	0	0%	1.1	22.2%	2.8%	19.4%	0.0%	5.62	1.48	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	5	95	369	87	20	3	17%	3.2	18.4%	6.1%	12.3%	1.0%	2.76	2.87	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	5	95	369	87	20	3	17%	3.2	23.6%	5.4%	18.2%	0.8%	2.76	2.31	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	25	21	120	475	109	25	23	84%	4.8	18.6%	5.8%	12.8%	5.4%	3.67	5.21	—
2023	27	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	25	21	120	475	109	25	23	84%	4.8	22.9%	5.3%	17.7%	4.8%	3.67	4.40	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	2	2	5	29	5	5	0	100%	2.5	17.2%	17.2%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.83	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	2	2	5	29	5	5	0	100%	2.5	17.2%	17.2%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.83	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	2	2	5	29	5	5	0	100%	2.5	17.2%	17.2%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	4.10	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	4 levels	12	12	50	204	36	11	4	100%	4.2	12.1%	5.8%	6.3%	4.6%	3.04	5.35	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	4 levels	12	12	50	204	36	11	4	100%	4.2	12.1%	5.8%	6.3%	4.6%	3.04	5.35	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	4 levels	12	12	50	204	36	11	4	100%	4.2	17.6%	5.4%	12.3%	2.0%	3.04	3.36	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	CHC	2	2	15	63	11	5	2	100%	7.5	17.7%	7.3%	10.3%	3.1%	4.63	4.63	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	CHC	3	3	20	84	15	7	3	100%	6.7	17.8%	7.9%	9.9%	3.4%	4.73	4.82	+0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	CHC	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	17.8%	7.9%	9.9%	3.4%	4.73	4.82	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	5	2	1	100%	6.3	17.8%	7.9%	9.9%	3.4%	4.73	4.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		29	29	200	844	160	64	32	100%	6.9	17.8%	7.9%	9.9%	3.4%	4.73	4.44	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		76	40	278	1113	194	68	39	53%	3.7	17.4%	6.1%	11.3%	3.5%	3.33	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	29	200	801	139	49	28	53%	3.7	17.4%	6.1%	11.3%	3.5%	3.33	4.31	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Walker Powell (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	17.7%	7.3%	3.1%	—	4.82	17.8%	9.9%	20	+0.19	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	76
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	75
Jared Fernandez R 2003 · 3.57 FIP	31	SP-	3.57	11.8%	6.2%	1.2%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	101	73
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	70
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	70
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	70
Robert Stock R 2021 · 4.18 FIP	31	SW	4.18	23.0%	8.5%	3.5%	.301	7.20	14.3%	0.1%	23	+3.02	2.74	378	68
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	67
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	66
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	65
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	64
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	64
Gabriel Arias R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	29	SP-	4.11	13.9%	6.8%	2.4%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	195	63
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	62
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	62
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	61
Wes Obermueller R 2007 · 4.83 FIP	30	SW	4.83	12.6%	11.2%	2.5%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.72	308	60
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	60
Paolo Espino R 2018 · 4.51 FIP	31	SW	4.51	18.7%	9.6%	3.2%	.348	4.42	20.4%	14.7%	202	-0.09	3.42	933	60
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	60