Jeff Lindgren
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 29
RHP
6'1" / 200 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 121
ERA5.33
FIP5.33
K%19.9%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%8.7%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+1.7
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 14 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.7% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 1.48 | 2.33 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 14 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.0% | 5.0% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 1.48 | 1.83 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 20 | 19 | 106 | 439 | 85 | 31 | 17 | 95% | 5.3 | 15.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.82 | 5.26 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 20 | 19 | 106 | 439 | 85 | 31 | 17 | 95% | 5.3 | 19.4% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 3.82 | 4.46 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 137 | 580 | 116 | 53 | 18 | 100% | 5.1 | 16.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 4.21 | 4.73 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 137 | 580 | 116 | 53 | 18 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.21 | 4.28 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 17 | 94 | 401 | 60 | 51 | 15 | 68% | 3.7 | 13.9% | 13.2% | 0.7% | 4.2% | 4.90 | 5.89 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 17 | 94 | 401 | 60 | 51 | 15 | 68% | 3.7 | 15.0% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.90 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 11 | 76 | 348 | 70 | 43 | 18 | 46% | 3.2 | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.19 | 6.75 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 11 | 76 | 348 | 70 | 43 | 18 | 46% | 3.2 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.19 | 6.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 9 | 9 | 54 | 227 | 45 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 5.33 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 51 | 214 | 42 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 5.33 | 5.40 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 8 | 8 | 47 | 199 | 39 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 5.42 | 5.53 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 7 | 7 | 44 | 185 | 36 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.56 | 5.69 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 5.33 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 5.42 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.56 | 5.69 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 11 | 76 | 317 | 58 | 37 | 12 | 79% | 5.4 | 18.2% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.43 | 5.14 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 30 | 200 | 840 | 154 | 98 | 32 | 79% | 5.2 | 18.2% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.43 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 110 | 74 | 436 | 1868 | 298 | 196 | 77 | 67% | 4.0 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.46 | 5.35 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 34 | 200 | 856 | 137 | 90 | 35 | 67% | 4.0 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.46 | 5.35 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeff Lindgren (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.33 | 19.9% | 11.2% | 3.8% | — | 5.53 | 19.7% | 8.2% | 142 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 75 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 73 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 72 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 72 |
| David Griffin R 2024 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 71 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 71 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 70 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 69 |
| Aaron Brooks R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.78 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | .281 | 4.30 | 15.8% | 8.8% | 70 | -0.48 | 3.61 | 879 | 68 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 67 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 67 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 66 |
| Connor Schultz R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 66 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 135 | 66 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 65 |
| Mark Appel R 2027 · 5.85 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.85 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 3.8% | .260 | 4.17 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 40 | -1.68 | 4.17 | 363 | 65 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 65 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 65 |
| Luke Irvine R 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 65 |
| Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 49 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 1.56 | 5.40 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |