Jeff Lindgren — OGILVIE

Jeff Lindgren P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 51 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 112

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%19.7%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP51

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

FB+1.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	22	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	14	0	24	100	23	5	0	0%	1.7	17.7%	5.8%	12.0%	0.0%	1.48	2.33	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	14	0	24	100	23	5	0	0%	1.7	23.0%	5.0%	18.0%	0.0%	1.48	1.83	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	20	19	106	439	85	31	17	95%	5.3	15.7%	7.8%	7.9%	4.6%	3.82	5.28	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	20	19	106	439	85	31	17	95%	5.3	19.4%	7.1%	12.3%	3.9%	3.82	4.46	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	137	580	116	53	18	100%	5.1	16.8%	9.8%	7.0%	3.4%	4.21	4.79	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	137	580	116	53	18	100%	5.1	20.0%	9.1%	10.9%	3.1%	4.21	4.28	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	17	94	401	60	51	15	68%	3.7	13.6%	11.3%	2.3%	4.3%	4.90	5.74	-0.9
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	17	94	401	60	51	15	68%	3.7	15.0%	12.7%	2.2%	3.7%	4.90	5.53	-0.7
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	11	76	348	70	43	18	46%	3.2	16.7%	12.7%	4.0%	6.0%	6.19	6.59	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	11	76	348	70	43	18	46%	3.2	16.7%	12.7%	4.0%	6.0%	6.19	6.59	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	11	76	348	70	43	18	46%	3.2	20.1%	12.4%	7.8%	5.2%	6.19	6.05	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	7	28	1	4	0	0%	2.3	3.6%	14.3%	-10.7%	0.0%	5.14	4.53	+0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	MIA	8	8	51	215	43	24	7	100%	6.4	19.7%	11.1%	8.6%	3.3%	5.03	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIA	8	8	48	202	40	23	7	100%	6.0	19.7%	11.3%	8.4%	3.5%	5.08	5.16	-0.1
2029	32	MLB MLE	MIA	7	7	44	187	37	22	7	100%	6.3	19.5%	11.5%	8.0%	3.7%	5.20	5.32	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIA	2	2	15	63	12	7	2	100%	7.5	19.7%	11.3%	8.4%	3.5%	5.08	5.16	-0.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	MIA	4	4	23	97	19	11	4	100%	5.8	19.5%	11.5%	8.0%	3.7%	5.20	5.32	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	6	45	187	32	22	6	67%	5.0	17.2%	11.8%	5.4%	3.1%	5.15	4.84	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		42	28	200	837	143	98	27	68%	4.8	17.2%	11.8%	5.4%	3.1%	5.15	4.84	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		110	74	436	1868	297	186	78	67%	4.0	15.9%	10.0%	5.9%	4.2%	4.46	5.32	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	34	200	856	136	85	36	67%	4.0	15.9%	10.0%	5.9%	4.2%	4.46	5.32	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeff Lindgren (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	19.7%	11.1%	3.3%	—	5.24	19.6%	8.2%	92	+0.21	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	78
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	74
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	74
Michael Mariot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	30	SP	5.01	19.8%	11.1%	4.0%	.333	5.03	15.8%	7.4%	182	+0.02	2.40	701	72
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	72
Jared Fernandez R 2002 · 4.23 FIP	30	SP-	4.23	15.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.323	3.57	11.8%	5.6%	38	-0.66	3.57	101	70
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	581	69
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	69
Aaron Wilkerson R 2019 · 4.67 FIP	30	SP-	4.67	20.9%	9.8%	3.8%	.291	3.33	24.6%	19.0%	112	-1.34	2.75	902	66
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	66
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	65
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	65
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	65
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	65
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	65
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	64
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	64
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	64
Bryan Brickhouse R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	30	SP-	4.78	18.8%	11.7%	3.2%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	214	64
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	50	19.0%	11.4%	1.29	5.10
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27