Rhylan Thomas — OGILVIE

Rhylan ThomasCF Buffalo Bisons

Age 26 L/L 5'10" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION239 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%9

BB%5

BABIP295

ISO48

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT52

Whiff%

902.9%

xAVG

100.144

POWER30

Avg EV

1083.7

Bat Spd

1066.2

EYE39

Chase%

4233.3%

SPEED57

Sprint

1625.8

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	17	13	1	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	77	250	77	327		100	18	18	176	6	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	22	ROK	FCL Mets	—	41	35	9	1	0	0	5	2	1	2	1	257	366	286	652	29	273	5	12	311	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	59	51	18	2	0	0	7	5	0	2	2	353	431	392	823	39	391	8	12	372	138	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	148	126	43	5	0	2	19	10	2	3	8	341	435	429	864	87	357	7	13	391	151	+9	-3	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	139	122	37	9	2	1	14	13	0	2	1	303	375	434	809	131	327	9	10	354	126	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	392	360	100	17	0	6	26	36	0	15	3	278	326	375	701	97	294	9	7	312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+8	0.9
2024	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	109	96	31	8	0	0	8	13	1	6	3	323	381	406	787	83	369	12	7	343	118	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	618	547	178	24	1	7	46	32	6	35	8	325	383	411	795	86	332	5	7	349	122	+16	+4	—	—	+13	3.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	17	14	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	71	188	71	259		87	24	12	132	-24	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	41	37	8	1	0	0	3	3	1	2	1	216	293	243	536	27	216	7	7	229	41	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	59	53	18	2	0	0	5	6	0	2	2	340	397	377	774	38	366	10	8	329	109	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	148	132	41	4	0	2	13	13	2	3	8	311	381	386	767	76	326	9	9	334	112	+2	-3	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	139	125	31	8	1	1	11	19	0	2	1	248	309	352	661	104	275	14	8	288	81	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2024	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	392	368	87	14	0	4	18	46	0	15	3	236	272	307	579	71	255	12	5	254	58	-20	+2	—	—	+8	-0.9
2024	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	109	98	31	8	0	0	6	15	1	6	3	316	362	398	760	82	344	14	6	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	618	562	163	21	1	5	32	40	6	35	8	290	335	358	693	68	289	6	5	298	88	-9	+4	—	—	+13	0.8
2022	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	58	51	9	1	0	0	5	7	1	2	1	176	263	196	459	20	205	12	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	58	48	10	1	0	0	8	5	1	2	1	208	333	229	562	21	233	9	14	271	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	346	311	89	14	1	2	28	39	2	7	11	286	349	357	706	71	319	11	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	346	299	98	16	2	3	40	28	2	7	11	328	411	425	835	97	351	8	12	373	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	466	117	21	0	4	24	61	1	21	6	251	289	322	611	71	280	12	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	501	456	131	25	0	6	34	49	1	21	6	287	338	382	720	94	309	10	7	318	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	618	562	163	21	1	5	32	40	6	35	8	290	335	358	693	68	302	6	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	618	547	178	24	1	7	46	32	6	35	8	325	383	411	795	86	332	5	7	349	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	58	52	9	1	0	0	5	7	1	2	1	173	263	192	455	19	178	12	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	346	313	89	14	1	2	28	39	2	7	11	284	349	355	704	70	312	11	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	471	117	21	0	4	24	61	1	21	6	248	289	318	608	70	274	12	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	618	575	163	21	1	5	32	40	6	35	8	283	335	350	685	66	289	6	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	346	313	89	14	1	2	28	39	2	7	11	284	349	355	704	70	312	11	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	471	117	21	0	4	24	61	1	21	6	248	289	318	608	70	274	12	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	618	575	163	21	1	5	32	40	6	35	8	283	335	350	685	66	289	6	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	TOR	—	239	222	57	7	0	1	12	29	1	7	4	257	298	302	600	45	286	12	5	268	68	-9	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A RAW	TOR	—	18	17	6	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	353	389	471	859	118	400	11	6	383	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA RAW	TOR	—	221	199	56	6	0	2	16	22	1	7	2	281	336	342	678	60	302	10	7	304	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	TOR	10%	22	21	6	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	286	318	333	652	48	294	9	5	288	81	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	26	MLB CTX	TOR	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						295	0	0	284	81	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	TOR	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	284	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	TOR	—	261	243	63	8	0	1	13	31	1	8	4	259	300	305	604	45	288	12	5	270	69	-10	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TOR	31%	336	312	82	12	0	3	19	41	2	11	4	263	309	330	639	67	293	12	6	292	84	-6	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	TOR	42%	364	338	89	13	1	4	21	48	2	11	4	263	310	343	653	80	293	13	6	293	85	-7	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	TOR	46%	373	345	89	13	1	4	23	51	2	11	4	258	308	336	644	78	292	14	6	293	84	-7	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	378	349	89	13	0	4	23	54	3	10	3	255	307	327	633	72	290	14	6	290	83	-8	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	TOR	31%	104	96	26	4	0	1	6	13	1	3	1	271	320	344	664	73	294	12	6	289	84	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	TOR	42%	153	142	38	6	0	2	9	20	1	5	2	268	316	352	668	85	294	13	6	289	85	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	TOR	46%	172	159	41	6	0	2	10	24	1	5	2	258	306	333	639	75	293	14	6	289	84	-3	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	183	169	43	6	0	2	11	26	1	5	2	254	304	325	629	71	292	14	6	286	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	614	568	148	22	0	7	36	83	4	18	7	261	309	336	645	76	293	14	6	288	82	-12	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	156	23	0	7	38	88	4	19	7	260	307	333	640	73	292	14	6	288	82	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2996	2755	733	109	4	26	176	343	19	109	41	266	315	337	651	71	294	11	6	290	82	-28	+3	-1	+5	+32	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	160	24	1	6	38	74	4	24	9	268	316	341	657	74	294	11	6	290	82	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	3.0	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
/162	664	9	20	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Jose Tabatalast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,724 PA	2.6	1,724	17	47	275	336	379	-18	-27	0.7	0.7
/162	664	7	18	-7.1	-10.2	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	637	7	19	262	308	339	-6	-0	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	7	20	-6.7	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rhylan Thomas (OGILVIE)	26	52	30	57	39	264/307/325	61	294	2	9	11%	5%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Granite 2019 · MLB	26	52→60	37→40	54→60	49	244/290/318	73	272	4	24	12%	6%	72	-0.7	224/269/303	79	258	5	19	15%	6%	61	-1.5	220/266/296	76	255	5	21	15%	5%	56	-1.2
✕Julio Borbon 2012 · MLB	26	55→62	38→40	59→60	47	262/307/344	82	299	4	30	14%	5%	84	+0.2	254/298/346	92	297	7	24	16%	6%	82	-0.0	276/309/341	66	321	4	28	15%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Jerry Owens 2007 · AAA	26	57→67	37→30	57→65	47	267/310/341	74	312	4	32	16%	6%	85	+0.2	259/309/319	60	310	3	36	16%	7%	80	-0.2	272/320/320	49	322	2	31	15%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Brandon Roberts 2011 · AAA	26	57→58	38→40	55	46	270/325/349	79	317	5	21	16%	5%	93	+0.8	244/295/319	75	291	4	22	17%	5%	75	-0.5	236/284/295	59	283	1	25	16%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Brandon Watson 2008 · MLB	26	58→63	35→40	52→55	45	275/305/335	60	313	3	21	13%	4%	81	-0.1	265/295/339	74	292	5	15	11%	4%	79	-0.2	269/298/338	69	292	5	14	9%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Kennard Bibbs 2006 · AA	26	53→57	38→40	55	48	251/297/338	87	292	3	21	15%	6%	80	-0.2	227/285/306	79	277	4	21	18%	7%	68	-1.0	207/274/253	46	256	2	28	18%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2009 · MLB	26	52→57	36→40	55→60	46	244/290/306	62	294	3	24	18%	6%	70	-0.9	245/314/324	79	291	4	25	16%	9%	83	+0.1	247/322/329	82	293	4	29	16%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Will Rhymes 2009 · AAA	26	55→60	37→40	53→55	48	259/304/330	71	297	4	15	14%	6%	80	-0.1	257/305/339	82	294	3	17	13%	6%	83	+0.1	262/318/344	82	292	3	13	11%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Matt Camp 2010 · AAA	26	53→55	35→30	53→55	46	246/289/304	58	285	3	21	15%	5%	69	-0.9	224/268/286	62	257	3	13	14%	5%	57	-1.8	215/259/265	50	245	1	10	12%	5%	48	-1.6
✕Tony Renda 2017 · MLB	26	55→59	37→40	53→50	48	256/300/338	82	287	3	17	12%	5%	81	-0.1	240/280/327	87	279	6	13	16%	5%	71	-0.8	239/275/312	73	281	4	12	16%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Charlie Tilson 2018 · AAA	25	53→60	40	57→55	47	254/300/351	98	298	6	22	17%	6%	84	+0.1	230/277/298	68	292	4	13	21%	6%	63	-1.3	238/285/298	61	307	2	16	22%	5%	63	-0.8
✕Brad Coon 2009 · AAA	26	54→57	37→40	54→60	49	252/314/322	70	308	4	28	19%	7%	83	+0.1	239/302/314	75	300	5	19	20%	8%	77	-0.3	233/300/304	71	296	4	18	21%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Kyle Wren 2017 · AAA	26	55→61	35→40	56→60	48	256/307/318	62	315	2	28	19%	7%	78	-0.3	238/294/318	80	307	4	21	22%	7%	74	-0.5	235/292/314	79	302	4	22	22%	7%	70	-0.6
✕JB Shuck 2013 · MLB	26	57→61	35→40	49→50	55	265/324/325	60	294	2	17	10%	8%	86	+0.3	261/309/341	80	288	4	13	10%	6%	85	+0.2	262/310/344	81	288	4	12	10%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Evan Frey 2012 · AAA	26	51→58	36→40	53→55	49	238/300/306	68	297	2	22	20%	8%	74	-0.6	225/289/285	60	284	2	23	20%	8%	65	-1.2	219/285/267	48	275	1	24	19%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Vic Buttler 2007 · AAA	26	55→58	40→45	59→55	44	263/301/369	106	304	6	19	16%	4%	88	+0.5	249/299/348	99	283	6	22	14%	6%	83	+0.1	258/313/338	80	283	4	31	10%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Chris Getz 2010 · MLB	26	54→56	40	57→60	51	257/315/353	95	289	7	23	14%	7%	91	+0.6	247/304/313	66	279	3	27	12%	7%	77	-0.3	245/291/309	64	272	2	31	10%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Carl Loadenthal 2008 · AA	26	57→62	37→40	54→60	49	268/325/343	74	330	4	26	19%	7%	92	+0.7	244/302/304	60	314	3	24	22%	7%	74	-0.6	237/294/275	38	310	2	28	22%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Matt Young 2009 · AA	26	55→60	37→40	53→60	52	257/322/334	78	302	3	18	15%	8%	88	+0.5	259/329/348	89	301	3	27	14%	8%	95	+0.9	262/334/347	86	304	3	29	13%	9%	94	+0.8
✕Tyler Holt 2015 · MLB	26	52→58	36→30	56→55	49	243/305/311	68	311	2	24	21%	8%	77	-0.3	242/309/308	66	314	2	23	21%	8%	78	-0.3	253/322/310	57	323	0	23	20%	9%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps