Rhylan Thomas — OGILVIE

Rhylan ThomasLF Tacoma Rainiers

Age 26 L/L 5'10" / 170 lbs AAA HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.4 · 2027

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.271 / .317 / .349

PA250

HR3

SB9

K%9

BB%6

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

52→52

PWR

30→30

SPD

57→57

FLD

54→54

EYE

39→39

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-2M	-$5M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	2 teams	58	51	9	1	0	0	5	7	1	2	1	.176	.263	.196	.459	.020	.205	12	9	.199	11	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
2023	23	A+	3 teams	346	311	87	14	1	2	28	39	2	7	11	.280	.343	.350	.694	.071	.311	11	8	.307	93	-3	-3	+0	-4	+10	0.1
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	501	466	118	21	0	4	24	62	1	21	6	.253	.291	.324	.615	.071	.283	12	5	.267	63	-21	+2	+0	-5	+14	-1.1
2025	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	618	563	162	21	1	5	31	40	6	35	8	.288	.332	.355	.687	.067	.299	6	5	.298	86	-10	+4	-0	-7	+18	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	105	98	22	2	0	1	6	12	0	4	1	.224	.269	.276	.545	.051	.244	11	6	.236	39	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
ROS	26	MLB	SEA	145	135	35	5	0	1	8	14	1	5	2	.259	.306	.319	.624	.059	.283	10	6	.292	81	-3	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.0
TOT	26	MLB	SEA	250	233	57	7	0	2	14	26	1	9	3	.245	.290	.300	.591	.056	.266	10	6	.268	63	-10	+1	+0	-3	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 25%	SEA	336	309	83	12	1	4	22	31	2	12	3	.269	.321	.353	.674	.084	.283	9	7	.302	89	-4	+1	+1	-4	+10	0.4
2028	28	MLB 37%	SEA	364	334	89	13	1	5	25	38	2	13	3	.266	.321	.356	.678	.090	.283	10	7	.303	90	-4	+1	-0	-4	+10	0.4
2029	29	MLB 47%	SEA	373	342	90	14	1	5	26	42	2	12	3	.263	.319	.354	.673	.091	.283	11	7	.302	89	-5	+1	-1	-4	+11	0.2
2030	30	MLB 55%	SEA	378	346	90	14	1	5	27	45	2	12	3	.260	.317	.350	.667	.090	.282	12	7	.299	87	-6	+1	-1	-4	+11	0.1
2031	31	MLB 66%	SEA	369	338	87	13	1	5	26	45	2	10	2	.257	.314	.346	.660	.089	.281	12	7	.295	84	-7	+1	-2	-4	+10	-0.1
2032	32	MLB 75%	SEA	354	324	82	12	1	4	25	45	2	8	2	.253	.311	.333	.644	.080	.280	13	7	.290	80	-8	+1	-3	-4	+10	-0.4
2033	33	MLB 83%	SEA	326	298	74	11	0	3	23	44	2	6	1	.248	.307	.315	.622	.067	.278	13	7	.285	76	-9	+1	-4	-3	+9	-0.6
2034	34	MLB	SEA	284	260	63	9	0	3	20	41	2	4	1	.242	.301	.312	.613	.069	.277	14	7	.278	71	-9	+0	-4	-3	+8	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4452	4077	1069	160	8	46	290	493	27	147	46	.262	.315	.339	.655	.077	.287	11	7	.292	81	-93	+11	-15	-48	+126	-1.9
/ 162G	—			650	595	156	23	1	7	42	72	4	21	7	.262	.315	.339	.654	.077	.287	11	6	.292	81	-14	+1	-2	-7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	17	13	1	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	.077	.250	.077	.327	.000	.100	18	18	.176	-7	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	22	ROK	FCL Mets	41	35	9	1	0	0	5	2	1	2	1	.257	.366	.286	.652	.029	.273	5	12	.311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	59	51	18	2	0	0	7	5	0	2	2	.353	.431	.392	.823	.039	.391	8	12	.372	143	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	148	126	43	5	0	2	19	10	2	3	8	.341	.435	.429	.864	.087	.357	7	13	.391	157	+10	-3	—	—	+4	1.1
2023	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	139	122	37	9	2	1	14	13	0	2	1	.303	.375	.434	.809	.131	.327	9	10	.354	129	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	392	360	100	17	0	6	26	36	0	15	3	.278	.326	.375	.701	.097	.294	9	7	.312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+11	1.2
2024	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	109	96	31	8	0	0	8	13	1	6	3	.323	.381	.406	.787	.083	.369	12	7	.343	121	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	618	547	178	24	1	7	46	32	6	35	8	.325	.383	.411	.795	.086	.332	5	7	.349	125	+18	+4	—	—	+18	4.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rhylan Thomas (OGILVIE)	26	52	30	57	39	.271/.317/.349	.078	.292	3	9	9%	6%	89	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Granite 2019 · MLB	26	53→60	38→40	56→60	49	.249/.293/.328	.079	.277	5	26	12%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.269/.303	.077	.259	5	19	14%	5%	56	-1.3	.219/.266/.297	.078	.255	5	21	16%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Brandon Roberts 2011 · AAA	26	57→59	38→40	54→55	45	.269/.324/.349	.080	.319	5	21	17%	5%	92	+1.2	.247/.298/.322	.075	.296	4	22	17%	5%	74	-0.1	.234/.283/.293	.058	.282	2	25	16%	5%	56	-0.6
●Julio Borbon 2012 · MLB	26	56→61	37→40	58→60	47	.264/.309/.340	.076	.300	4	30	14%	5%	82	+0.5	.254/.298/.346	.092	.296	7	24	16%	6%	79	+0.3	.278/.311/.346	.068	.324	5	28	15%	4%	82	+0.4
✕Chris Getz 2010 · MLB	26	54→56	41→40	56→60	51	.259/.315/.358	.100	.289	8	22	14%	7%	91	+1.1	.243/.301/.312	.069	.274	3	27	12%	7%	72	-0.2	.241/.288/.304	.063	.269	2	31	10%	6%	60	-0.4
●Tony Kemp 2018 · MLB	26	56→60	39→45	53→55	49	.269/.318/.358	.089	.304	6	21	14%	6%	92	+1.2	.256/.320/.369	.113	.288	10	18	14%	8%	96	+1.5	.250/.341/.359	.109	.277	9	12	13%	10%	101	+1.1
✕Brandon Watson 2008 · MLB	26	58→63	35→40	52→55	45	.275/.305/.336	.060	.313	3	22	13%	4%	79	+0.3	.267/.296/.343	.076	.295	5	15	11%	4%	77	+0.1	.270/.299/.341	.071	.293	5	14	9%	4%	74	-0.0
✕JB Shuck 2013 · MLB	26	57→61	35→40	49→50	54	.264/.321/.323	.059	.295	2	17	11%	8%	83	+0.6	.260/.308/.339	.079	.287	4	13	10%	6%	82	+0.5	.260/.308/.342	.082	.286	4	12	10%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Will Rhymes 2009 · AAA	26	55→61	37→40	53→55	49	.258/.304/.328	.070	.296	4	15	14%	6%	78	+0.2	.258/.305/.342	.084	.296	4	17	13%	6%	82	+0.5	.263/.318/.348	.085	.293	4	13	11%	7%	86	+0.7
✕Charlie Tilson 2018 · AAA	25	53→58	39→40	57→55	46	.254/.299/.350	.096	.300	5	24	17%	6%	81	+0.4	.232/.278/.301	.069	.293	4	14	21%	5%	59	-1.1	.239/.286/.303	.063	.308	2	16	22%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Matt Young 2009 · AA	26	54→58	37→40	52→60	52	.252/.318/.329	.077	.299	3	18	16%	8%	84	+0.6	.257/.327/.348	.091	.300	4	26	14%	8%	93	+1.3	.260/.333/.349	.089	.303	3	29	14%	9%	93	+1.1
✕Jason Tyner 2003 · MLB	26	52→62	35→30	59→55	46	.243/.281/.299	.055	.270	3	30	11%	4%	59	-1.1	.250/.300/.321	.071	.282	4	18	12%	6%	75	-0.0	.290/.333/.344	.054	.326	1	14	10%	5%	90	+0.9
✕Kennard Bibbs 2006 · AA	26	52→56	38→40	54→55	47	.246/.292/.334	.089	.289	4	21	16%	6%	74	-0.1	.226/.283/.304	.078	.277	4	22	19%	7%	63	-0.8	.205/.271/.251	.046	.255	2	28	19%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Vic Buttler 2007 · AAA	26	55→59	40→45	58→55	44	.264/.302/.370	.106	.306	6	19	16%	4%	87	+0.8	.255/.303/.355	.100	.291	6	22	14%	6%	85	+0.7	.264/.319/.348	.084	.291	5	31	11%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Nicky Lopez 2022 · MLB	27	55→61	38→40	52→55	53	.258/.320/.342	.084	.295	5	15	14%	8%	89	+0.9	.237/.303/.303	.066	.277	3	15	14%	8%	72	-0.2	.231/.307/.288	.057	.275	1	10	15%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Carl Loadenthal 2008 · AA	26	55→60	38→40	54→60	48	.261/.318/.339	.078	.323	5	26	20%	7%	86	+0.8	.246/.302/.305	.059	.320	3	25	22%	7%	71	-0.3	.237/.295/.276	.039	.313	2	28	23%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Sam Fuld 2008 · AAA	26	55→57	40→45	53→60	51	.260/.319/.363	.103	.299	5	14	14%	7%	93	+1.3	.247/.311/.348	.101	.279	6	16	13%	8%	86	+0.8	.246/.317/.355	.110	.273	4	27	11%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Mike Rodriguez 2007 · AAA	26	50→52	40	59→55	50	.238/.292/.336	.098	.270	7	24	15%	7%	76	+0.0	.230/.276/.322	.092	.276	6	18	18%	6%	64	-0.8	.227/.267/.312	.084	.280	4	14	20%	5%	54	-0.9
●Justin Henry 2011 · AAA	26	52→62	35→40	51→55	51	.243/.300/.305	.063	.282	2	17	14%	7%	70	-0.3	.255/.315/.326	.071	.308	2	19	16%	8%	82	+0.5	.256/.315/.322	.066	.306	1	18	15%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Matt Camp 2010 · AAA	26	52→55	35→30	53→55	46	.243/.286/.301	.058	.283	3	21	15%	5%	63	-0.9	.226/.269/.287	.061	.259	3	13	13%	5%	52	-1.6	.214/.257/.265	.050	.244	2	10	12%	5%	41	-1.5
✕Jerry Owens 2007 · AAA	26	56→66	37→40	57→65	47	.266/.309/.343	.077	.312	4	31	16%	6%	83	+0.6	.260/.309/.323	.063	.311	4	37	16%	6%	78	+0.2	.271/.320/.320	.049	.321	2	31	15%	6%	80	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)