Shawn Rapp — OGILVIE

Shawn Rapp P Akron RubberDucks

Age 27 LHP 6'2" / 200 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%17.6%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%5.1%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	43	180	57	17	3	0%	1.3	24.0%	11.0%	13.0%	2.0%	2.30	3.54	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	43	180	57	17	3	0%	1.3	31.7%	9.4%	22.2%	1.7%	2.30	2.54	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	19	80	19	9	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	12.8%	5.4%	0.0%	2.79	3.18	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	19	80	19	9	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	12.8%	5.4%	0.0%	2.79	3.18	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	19	80	19	9	0	0%	1.3	23.8%	11.2%	12.5%	0.0%	2.79	2.53	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	31	148	25	21	2	0%	1.2	13.0%	14.6%	-1.6%	1.8%	6.46	4.85	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	31	148	25	21	2	0%	1.2	13.0%	14.6%	-1.6%	1.8%	6.46	4.85	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	31	148	25	21	2	0%	1.2	16.9%	14.2%	2.7%	1.4%	6.46	4.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CLE	15	0	16	68	12	8	2	0%	1.1	17.6%	12.5%	5.1%	2.9%	5.15	5.15	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	15	10	3	0%	1.1	18.1%	12.3%	5.8%	3.0%	5.12	5.15	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	8	0	8	34	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.1%	12.3%	5.8%	3.0%	5.12	5.15	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	6	4	1	0%	1.1	18.1%	12.3%	5.8%	3.0%	5.12	4.77	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	106	27	0%	1.1	18.1%	12.3%	5.8%	3.0%	5.12	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		72	0	93	408	77	52	6	0%	1.3	18.9%	12.7%	6.2%	1.5%	3.77	3.95	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	877	166	111	13	0%	1.3	18.9%	12.7%	6.2%	1.5%	3.77	3.95	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Shawn Rapp (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	17.6%	12.5%	2.9%	—	5.15	18.1%	5.8%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	88
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	88
Jose Meraz L 2015 · 4.71 FIP	27	SU	4.71	13.3%	12.0%	2.2%	.331	4.06	15.3%	6.7%	44	-0.65	3.78	110	83
George Sherrill L 2004 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	15.4%	7.7%	2.9%	.273	2.90	28.3%	18.2%	105	-1.46	2.74	323	82
Doug Slaten L 2007 · 4.08 FIP	27	SU	4.08	17.2%	8.6%	2.5%	.316	3.81	17.6%	8.2%	73	-0.27	3.22	139	82
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	82
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	81
Braulio Lara L 2016 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	17.7%	11.0%	2.5%	.289	5.80	19.8%	2.0%	40	+1.45	3.96	118	81
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	81
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	81
Nick Hagadone L 2013 · 4.75 FIP	27	SU	4.75	22.6%	15.0%	3.0%	.253	3.34	25.9%	19.0%	51	-1.41	2.97	141	80
Jeremy Horst L 2013 · 4.46 FIP	27	SU	4.46	17.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.356	3.92	17.2%	5.4%	108	-0.54	2.12	181	80
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	80
Colt Hynes L 2013 · 4.76 FIP	28	SU	4.76	15.5%	8.3%	3.5%	.361	3.49	19.3%	12.8%	96	-1.27	3.42	169	80
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	80
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	79
Hunter Cervenka L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	27	SU	5.91	18.9%	15.0%	4.6%	.282	3.10	25.9%	15.0%	81	-2.81	3.08	194	79
Mike Gosling L 2007 · 4.67 FIP	26	SU	4.67	19.5%	12.2%	3.0%	.346	5.66	11.4%	2.6%	25	+0.99	4.44	116	79
Jeff Belge L 2024 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	19.4%	12.3%	2.1%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	175	78
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	78