Nico Tellache — OGILVIE

Nico Tellache P Arkansas Travelers

Age 28 LHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION129 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%15.3%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 135 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	82	379	77	25	9	52%	3.6	16.0%	7.0%	9.0%	2.5%	6.59	3.99	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	82	379	77	25	9	52%	3.6	16.0%	7.0%	9.0%	2.5%	6.59	3.99	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	12	82	379	77	25	9	52%	3.6	20.3%	6.6%	13.7%	2.4%	6.59	3.56	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	25	23	129	551	91	39	12	92%	5.2	13.4%	7.8%	5.6%	2.6%	4.53	4.39	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	25	23	129	551	91	39	12	92%	5.2	13.4%	7.8%	5.6%	2.6%	4.53	4.39	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	SEA	25	23	129	551	91	39	12	92%	5.2	16.5%	7.1%	9.4%	2.2%	4.53	3.80	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	SEA	1	1	6	25	4	2	1	100%	5.8	15.3%	7.4%	7.9%	3.0%	4.77	4.77	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	135	576	95	41	13	—	—	16.5%	7.1%	9.4%	2.2%	4.55	4.41	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SEA	11	11	66	280	44	22	9	100%	6.0	15.9%	7.8%	8.1%	3.2%	4.81	4.86	+0.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	SEA	10	10	62	263	42	22	9	100%	6.2	16.1%	8.2%	7.9%	3.3%	4.90	4.99	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	SEA	4	4	21	89	14	7	3	100%	5.2	15.9%	7.8%	8.1%	3.2%	4.81	4.86	+0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	SEA	5	5	32	135	22	11	5	100%	6.4	16.1%	8.2%	7.9%	3.3%	4.90	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	53	223	36	18	7	100%	5.9	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	3.3%	4.86	4.56	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	136	68	27	100%	6.0	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	3.3%	4.86	4.56	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		48	35	211	930	134	69	24	73%	4.4	14.4%	7.5%	7.0%	2.6%	5.33	4.23	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	33	200	882	127	66	23	73%	4.4	14.4%	7.5%	7.0%	2.6%	5.33	4.23	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nico Tellache (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	15.3%	7.4%	3.0%	—	4.92	16.0%	8.0%	128	+0.15	—	—	—
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	87
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	82
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	81
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	80
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	80
Michael Roth L 2018 · 4.83 FIP	28	SP	4.83	12.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	483	77
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	77
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	77
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	76
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	76
Kyle Hald L 2015 · 4.33 FIP	26	SP	4.33	12.1%	7.4%	2.4%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	124	76
Felix Doubront L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP	3.92	18.0%	8.4%	2.3%	.304	4.12	23.7%	14.7%	42	+0.20	3.44	291	76
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	76
John Michael Bertrand L 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	14.8%	8.1%	1.5%	.294	4.33	14.1%	5.2%	345	+0.62	3.71	463	76
Nick Additon L 2016 · 4.47 FIP	28	SP-	4.47	12.9%	6.8%	2.9%	.303	3.13	19.3%	10.2%	26	-1.34	3.13	217	76
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	75
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	11.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	321	75
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	74
Kramer Sneed L 2016 · 4.21 FIP	27	SP	4.21	13.2%	8.2%	2.2%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	116	74
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	15.7%	7.8%	1.22	4.82
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43