Nico Tellache
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 28
LHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 127
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%15.8%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 148 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 12 | 82 | 379 | 77 | 25 | 9 | 52% | 3.6 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 6.59 | 3.89 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 12 | 82 | 379 | 77 | 25 | 9 | 52% | 3.6 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 6.59 | 3.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 16 | 14 | 78 | 332 | 55 | 26 | 8 | 88% | 4.9 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.65 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 69 | 293 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 148 | 625 | 101 | 50 | 16 | — | — | 16.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.71 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 66 | 280 | 46 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 62 | 263 | 43 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 3 | 3 | 21 | 89 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 7.0 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 5 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 16.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 37 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 4.57 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 137 | 74 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 26 | 160 | 711 | 106 | 56 | 18 | 67% | 4.1 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 5.50 | 4.24 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 32 | 200 | 887 | 133 | 70 | 23 | 67% | 4.1 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 5.50 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nico Tellache (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.94 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 128 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 87 |
| Everett Teaford L 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 84 |
| Chipper Smith L 2023 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 109 | 78 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.16 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | .345 | 5.04 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | -0.12 | 5.04 | 175 | 77 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 77 |
| John Anderson L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 1.9% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 235 | 77 |
| James Gillheeney L 2025 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.80 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 129 | 77 |
| Roy Merritt L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 77 |
| Eric Wooten L 2023 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 77 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 75 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 75 |
| Michael Roth L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.86 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 483 | 75 |
| Carlos Teller L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.72 | 13.8% | 10.9% | 0.7% | .329 | 4.99 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 187 | +1.27 | 3.72 | 333 | 74 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.45 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.58 | 3.39 | 291 | 74 |
| Amilcar Gaxiola L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.37 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 321 | 73 |
| Darin Gorski L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.39 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 73 |
| Kyle Hald L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.17 | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 124 | 73 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.33 | 11.8% | 9.3% | 1.9% | .278 | 4.14 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 423 | -0.19 | 4.01 | 642 | 72 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 72 |
| Nick Additon L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.12 | 12.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | .303 | 3.06 | 19.3% | 10.2% | 26 | -2.06 | 3.06 | 217 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 1.19 | 4.84 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |