Kolton Ingram — OGILVIE

Kolton Ingram P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 29 LHP 5'9" / 170 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%21.3%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

FB-0.9

SL-0.9

CT-2.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	15	1	30	129	28	10	1	7%	2.0	14.8%	9.7%	5.1%	1.1%	4.15	3.68	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	15	1	30	129	28	10	1	7%	2.0	21.7%	7.8%	14.0%	0.8%	4.15	2.67	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	47	190	67	25	3	0%	1.3	26.7%	15.3%	11.4%	1.9%	3.47	3.84	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	0	47	190	67	25	3	0%	1.3	35.3%	13.2%	22.1%	1.6%	3.47	2.67	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	50	0	61	237	73	17	6	0%	1.2	24.9%	7.9%	17.1%	2.7%	2.67	3.47	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	50	0	61	237	73	17	6	0%	1.2	30.8%	7.2%	23.6%	2.5%	2.67	2.82	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	0	66	285	84	36	5	0%	1.3	24.8%	12.4%	12.3%	1.3%	3.39	3.32	+1.0
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	0	66	285	84	36	5	0%	1.3	24.8%	12.4%	12.3%	1.3%	3.39	3.32	+1.0
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	0	66	285	84	36	5	0%	1.3	29.5%	12.6%	16.8%	1.8%	3.39	3.18	+1.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	53	224	52	36	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	13.9%	5.7%	4.0%	3.59	5.38	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	53	224	52	36	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	13.9%	5.7%	4.0%	3.59	5.38	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	53	224	52	36	8	0%	1.1	23.2%	16.1%	7.1%	3.6%	3.59	5.15	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	13	60	13	11	1	0%	1.3	21.7%	18.3%	3.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.51	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	13	60	13	11	1	0%	1.3	21.7%	18.3%	3.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.51	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	13	60	13	11	1	0%	1.3	21.7%	18.3%	3.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.68	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	5	30	7	5	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	16.7%	6.7%	6.7%	8.44	8.16	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	ATL	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.5%	8.8%	3.1%	4.95	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	ATL	33	0	35	147	31	18	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.4%	8.7%	3.3%	4.99	5.06	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	ATL	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.4%	8.7%	3.3%	4.99	5.06	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	84	18	12	4	0%	1.1	21.9%	13.9%	8.0%	4.5%	6.00	5.47	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	927	199	132	44	0%	1.1	21.9%	13.9%	8.0%	4.5%	6.00	5.47	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		207	1	269	1125	256	138	25	0%	1.3	22.8%	12.3%	10.5%	2.2%	3.48	3.95	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	1	200	835	190	102	19	0%	1.3	22.8%	12.3%	10.5%	2.2%	3.48	3.95	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kolton Ingram (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	21.3%	12.5%	3.1%	—	5.06	21.2%	8.7%	35	+0.11	—	—	—
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	82
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	77
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	76
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	76
Dan Runzler L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	30	SU	3.78	19.0%	13.1%	1.2%	.383	4.07	16.5%	4.0%	63	+0.29	3.78	127	75
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.80	223	73
Sam Freeman L 2016 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	16.3%	11.8%	1.8%	.345	4.02	22.1%	10.5%	169	-0.20	3.03	299	73
Adam Loewen L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	25.1%	15.9%	1.6%	.287	3.63	23.2%	7.3%	98	-0.21	2.96	176	72
Aaron Brown L 2021 · 4.13 FIP	29	SU	4.13	17.4%	12.8%	1.6%	.275	5.38	21.3%	8.8%	66	+1.25	4.04	269	72
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	71
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	71
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	69
Bryan Harper L 2018 · 4.63 FIP	28	SU	4.63	14.9%	13.9%	1.9%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	133	69
Kevin Siegrist L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	25.0%	11.6%	2.7%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	176	68
Miguel Aguilar L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	29	SU	4.85	21.6%	9.2%	4.4%	.357	5.82	14.5%	4.9%	46	+0.97	2.18	261	68
Tyler Webb L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	29	SU	4.28	21.7%	9.0%	3.4%	.178	4.75	22.1%	8.2%	60	+0.47	3.10	337	68
Sam Moll L 2021 · 4.62 FIP	29	SU	4.62	26.5%	13.5%	3.8%	.310	2.95	25.1%	16.8%	143	-1.67	2.38	507	67
Robby Scott L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	29	SU	5.59	23.9%	15.9%	4.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	285	67
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	67
Cam Vieaux L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	29	SU	4.51	18.8%	10.0%	3.1%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	620	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	21.3%	12.5%	1.23	4.97
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82