Kolton Ingram
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 29
LHP
5'9" / 170 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.73
FIP4.73
K%22.8%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB-0.9
SL-0.9
CT-2.1
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers East | 15 | 1 | 30 | 129 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 7% | 2.0 | 14.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 4.15 | 3.68 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers East | 15 | 1 | 30 | 129 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 7% | 2.0 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 0.8% | 4.15 | 2.67 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 47 | 190 | 67 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.7% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 3.47 | 3.93 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 47 | 190 | 67 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.3% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 1.6% | 3.47 | 2.67 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 50 | 0 | 61 | 237 | 73 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 7.9% | 17.1% | 2.4% | 2.67 | 3.31 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 50 | 0 | 61 | 237 | 73 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.8% | 7.2% | 23.6% | 2.5% | 2.67 | 2.82 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 66 | 285 | 84 | 36 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 1.4% | 3.39 | 3.35 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 66 | 285 | 84 | 36 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.5% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 1.8% | 3.39 | 3.18 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 52 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 16.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.59 | 5.55 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 52 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 16.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.59 | 5.15 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 13 | 60 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 18.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 5.68 | 4.51 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 13 | 60 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 18.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 5.68 | 4.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 147 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.79 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.79 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 0 | 18 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 5.86 | 5.35 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 927 | 210 | 121 | 44 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 5.86 | 5.35 | +0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 207 | 1 | 269 | 1125 | 261 | 145 | 25 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 3.48 | 3.98 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 1 | 200 | 835 | 194 | 108 | 18 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 3.48 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kolton Ingram (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 22.8% | 11.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.86 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 35 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 84 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 80 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 77 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 76 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 76 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 76 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 76 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 75 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 74 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 74 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 74 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 74 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 73 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 73 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 73 |
| Dan Runzler L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 72 |
| Lucas Luetge L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .346 | 3.67 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 100 | +0.05 | 2.52 | 430 | 72 |
| Adam Loewen L 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 72 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.6% | .377 | 4.98 | 22.2% | 15.9% | 115 | +1.25 | 3.47 | 315 | 71 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 22.7% | 11.8% | 1.22 | 4.76 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |