Anthony Maldonado

P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	49	1	65	4.96	4.08	22.5%	8.8%	0.4	K 19.9% · BB 8.0% · FIP 4.48
2025	27	MIX2 levels	47	0	54	5.87	5.26	27.9%	11.2%	-0.4	K 24.9% · BB 10.0% · FIP 4.73
2026	28	AAAHOU	20	0	22	2.86	3.92	21.7%	16.3%	—	K 18.7% · BB 14.7% · FIP 4.04
2027PROJ	29	MLBHOU	53	0	56	4.42	4.64	22.0%	10.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBHOU	18	0	19	4.64	4.81	21.5%	10.9%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBHOU	26	0	27	4.85	5.01	20.9%	11.1%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control45Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Dustin Molleken (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.42

FIP4.64

K%22.0%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%11.3%

Proj IP56

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†5555

FB-0.6 (48%)

SL-4.3 (52%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	10	0	11	43	15	1	0	0%	1.1	34.9%	2.3%	32.6%	0.0%	1.59	0.45	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	10	0	11	43	15	1	0	0%	1.1	34.9%	2.3%	32.6%	0.0%	1.59	0.72	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	21	2	29	127	34	7	2	10%	1.4	18.6%	5.5%	13.0%	1.4%	4.30	3.00	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	21	2	29	127	34	7	2	10%	1.4	26.8%	5.5%	21.3%	1.6%	4.30	2.38	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	62	251	86	20	9	0%	1.5	28.5%	8.7%	19.9%	4.1%	3.03	4.02	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	62	251	86	20	9	0%	1.5	34.3%	8.0%	26.3%	3.6%	3.03	3.18	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	50	193	78	19	5	0%	1.4	33.9%	9.5%	24.4%	3.0%	1.62	3.07	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	50	193	78	19	5	0%	1.4	40.4%	9.8%	30.6%	2.6%	1.62	2.42	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	65	285	64	25	9	2%	1.3	19.9%	8.0%	11.8%	3.7%	4.96	4.48	+0.1
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	65	285	64	25	9	2%	1.3	19.9%	8.0%	11.8%	3.7%	4.96	4.48	+0.1
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	65	285	64	25	9	2%	1.3	22.5%	8.8%	13.7%	3.2%	4.96	4.08	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	54	240	67	27	13	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.0%	14.9%	4.5%	5.87	4.73	-0.1
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	54	240	67	27	13	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.0%	14.9%	4.5%	5.87	4.73	-0.1
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	54	240	67	27	13	0%	1.1	27.9%	11.2%	16.7%	5.4%	5.87	5.26	-0.4
2026	28	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	20	0	22	92	20	15	1	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.7%	4.0%	1.2%	2.86	4.04	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	20	0	22	92	20	15	1	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.7%	4.0%	1.2%	2.86	4.04	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	20	0	22	92	20	15	1	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.3%	5.4%	1.1%	2.86	3.92	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			22	1	25	115	18	8	4	5%	1.1	15.7%	7.0%	8.7%	3.5%	7.20	4.70	-0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	HOU	53	0	56	236	52	25	7	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.8%	11.3%	3.0%	4.42	4.64	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	50	0	52	220	47	24	7	0%	1.0	21.5%	10.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.64	4.81	-0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	HOU	46	0	49	206	43	23	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.1%	9.7%	3.4%	4.85	5.01	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	18	0	19	80	17	9	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.64	4.81	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	HOU	26	0	27	114	24	13	4	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.1%	9.7%	3.4%	4.85	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	1	71	309	59	29	10	2%	1.1	19.1%	9.5%	9.6%	3.4%	5.62	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		185	3	200	871	166	82	28	2%	1.1	19.1%	9.5%	9.6%	3.4%	5.62	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		226	3	294	1231	309	109	40	1%	1.3	25.1%	8.8%	16.3%	3.3%	3.80	3.89	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	2	200	837	210	74	27	1%	1.3	25.1%	8.8%	16.3%	3.3%	3.80	3.89	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Maldonado (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	22.0%	10.8%	3.0%	—	4.91	21.2%	10.2%	101	+0.27	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	84
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	81
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	81
Tyler Walker R 2005 · 4.19 FIP	29	SU	4.19	19.4%	7.5%	3.2%	.303	3.61	19.7%	11.3%	93	-0.58	2.38	289	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	78
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	78
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	77
Jose Cuas R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	29	SU	4.13	24.3%	12.0%	2.9%	.309	3.75	21.7%	9.4%	133	-0.38	2.71	345	77
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	76
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	76
Joel Peralta R 2005 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.7%	8.3%	4.1%	.227	4.27	18.0%	13.3%	214	-0.40	2.70	648	76
Pedro Báez R 2017 · 4.08 FIP	29	SU	4.08	22.9%	9.6%	3.1%	.261	3.18	24.7%	16.1%	143	-0.90	2.29	356	76
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	76
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	1.81	341	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	20.6%	10.8%	1.26	4.98
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*