Shane Sasaki

LF Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAAMIA	80	.221/.312/.250	0	6	38	—	.200/.273/.229
2025	25	AAMIA	270	.227/.316/.309	1	24	46	—	.205/.262/.283
2026	26	AACIN	198	.241/.342/.371	2	9	61	—	.208/.281/.320
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBCIN	4	.199/.267/.272	0	0	53	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBCIN	73	.199/.268/.275	0	3	54	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed85

BB%67

Chase%62

Whiff%58

Z-Con%50

wOBA43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsSimon Whiteman (age 26) · Zach Davis (age 27) · Todd Hankins (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .267 / .272

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP297

ISO73

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	19	ROK	GCL Rays	—	47	44	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	182	234	227	461	45	308	38	6	215	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	144	124	36	4	2	2	18	37	1	22	2	290	385	403	788	113	395	26	12	355	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	346	112	27	3	9	49	92	4	47	4	324	414	497	911	173	415	23	12	402	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	293	256	77	15	3	7	30	65	3	12	4	301	381	465	845	164	372	22	10	372	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK	FCL Rays	—	16	12	3	0	1	0	4	4	0	4	0	250	438	417	854	167	375	25	25	388	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	92	81	21	2	2	0	11	31	0	13	0	259	348	333	681	74	420	34	12	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	250	217	52	10	0	1	29	69	3	21	4	240	337	300	637	60	347	28	12	298	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	24	19	6	1	0	0	4	4	1	1	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	17	17	389	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	16	10	4	1	0	0	6	5	0	2	0	400	625	500	1.125	100	800	31	38	512	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	80	68	15	2	0	0	7	14	2	6	1	221	312	250	562	29	273	18	9	259	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	270	233	53	12	2	1	30	70	0	24	2	227	316	309	625	82	317	26	11	282	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	198	170	41	4	6	2	24	57	2	9	3	241	342	371	712	129	348	29	12	320	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	—	47	45	5	1	0	0	2	26	0	1	0	111	149	133	282	22	246	55	4	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	144	131	24	2	1	1	11	53	1	22	2	183	252	237	488	53	298	37	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	361	92	19	2	7	34	127	4	47	4	255	326	377	703	122	365	32	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	293	269	63	11	2	6	17	90	3	12	4	234	287	357	644	123	311	31	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	16	13	3	0	1	0	3	6	0	4	0	231	375	385	760	154	274	38	19	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	250	226	48	9	0	1	20	81	3	21	4	212	285	265	551	53	318	32	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	24	20	5	1	0	0	3	5	1	1	0	250	375	300	675	50	335	21	12	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	16	12	3	1	0	0	4	7	0	2	0	250	438	333	771	83	612	44	25	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	80	70	14	2	0	0	5	17	2	6	1	200	273	229	501	29	246	21	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	270	244	50	12	2	1	19	86	0	24	2	205	262	283	545	78	293	32	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	198	178	37	4	5	2	16	69	2	9	3	208	281	320	601	112	317	35	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	—	47	45	5	1	0	0	2	26	0	1	0	111	149	133	282	22	263	55	4	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Rays	—	47	44	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	182	234	227	461	45	308	38	6	215	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	144	131	24	2	1	1	11	53	1	22	2	183	252	237	488	53	295	37	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	144	124	36	4	2	2	18	37	1	22	2	290	385	403	788	113	395	26	12	355	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	361	92	19	2	7	34	127	4	47	4	255	326	377	703	122	370	32	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	346	112	27	3	9	49	92	4	47	4	324	414	497	911	173	415	23	12	402	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	401	369	84	14	4	7	25	124	3	29	4	228	282	344	626	117	318	31	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	401	349	101	17	6	7	45	100	3	29	4	289	375	433	808	143	382	25	11	359	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	290	259	55	10	0	1	26	94	4	24	4	212	294	263	557	50	329	32	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	290	246	62	12	0	1	39	78	4	24	4	252	363	313	676	61	365	27	13	317	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	350	314	63	13	2	1	24	103	2	30	3	201	262	264	526	64	291	29	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	350	301	68	14	2	1	37	84	2	30	3	226	315	296	610	70	306	24	11	276	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	198	178	37	4	5	2	16	69	2	9	3	208	281	320	601	112	324	35	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	198	170	41	4	6	2	24	57	2	9	3	241	342	371	712	129	348	29	12	320	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	—	47	45	5	1	0	0	2	26	0	1	0	111	149	133	282	22	246	55	4	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	144	131	24	2	1	1	11	53	1	22	2	183	252	237	488	53	298	37	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	361	92	19	2	7	34	127	4	47	4	255	326	377	703	122	365	32	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	401	370	84	14	4	7	25	124	3	29	4	227	282	343	625	116	309	31	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	290	258	55	10	0	1	26	94	4	24	4	213	294	264	558	50	336	32	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	350	321	63	13	2	1	24	103	2	30	3	196	262	259	520	62	282	29	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	198	178	37	4	5	2	16	69	2	9	3	208	281	320	601	112	317	35	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	290	258	55	10	0	1	26	94	4	24	4	213	294	264	558	50	336	32	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	350	321	63	13	2	1	24	103	2	30	3	196	262	259	520	62	282	29	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	198	178	37	4	5	2	16	69	2	9	3	208	281	320	601	112	317	35	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	248	225	44	8	2	1	19	79	2	11	2	198	266	271	537	73	296	32	8	246	53	-14	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	CIN	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	199	267	272	539	74	297	25	0	247	53	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	273	248	50	9	3	2	21	87	2	11	2	199	267	273	540	75	295	32	8	248	54	-15	+1	-1	-3	+6	-1.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	73	66	13	2	1	0	6	23	1	3	1	199	268	275	543	76	295	32	8	249	54	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	73	66	13	2	1	0	6	23	1	3	1	197	274	258	532	61	302	32	8	249	57	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	116	18	9	0	53	205	9	27	9	197	274	259	532	61	303	32	8	249	57	-36	+2	-2	-7	+14	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2383	2152	458	81	19	24	185	778	20	190	25	213	281	302	583	89	318	33	8	252	57	-27	+2	-1	-5	+10	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	125	22	5	7	50	212	5	52	7	213	280	303	583	90	317	33	8	252	57	-36	+3	-1	-7	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shane Sasaki (OGILVIE)	27	40	30	60	50	196/264/268	72	296	1	9	32%	8%	53	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→45	36→30	58→55	44	183/267/248	65	298	4	26	36%	9%	51	-2.3	199/268/277	78	288	6	19	30%	8%	57	-1.8	189/255/254	65	258	4	20	26%	8%	44	-1.1
✕Zach Davis 2021 · AA	27	48→51	35→30	58→65	39	220/277/280	59	325	2	31	31%	6%	59	-1.6	215/280/278	63	315	4	41	30%	7%	61	-1.5	213/284/257	43	312	2	62	29%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Todd Hankins 2018 · AAA	27	42→49	39→40	52→55	38	202/245/284	81	286	7	19	31%	5%	48	-2.5	222/271/312	90	320	7	21	31%	6%	65	-1.2	245/294/325	80	354	4	31	30%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Joe Stewart 2024 · A	26	45	37→30	57→60	36	208/257/279	71	316	4	26	34%	5%	52	-2.2	208/266/283	75	312	5	22	33%	6%	56	-1.9	170/240/203	33	259	4	33	33%	7%	26	-0.9
✕Evan Mendoza 2023 · AAA	27	45→52	36→30	50	47	214/274/275	62	272	4	18	22%	7%	57	-1.8	219/276/309	90	274	9	17	22%	7%	66	-1.1	199/239/248	49	247	8	21	22%	5%	36	-0.6
✕Terrance Gore 2019 · AAA	28	42	35→30	63→70	41	201/255/252	52	276	3	41	27%	6%	45	-2.7	208/282/290	82	312	5	43	32%	8%	65	-1.2	202/301/280	78	308	0	73	30%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Kenny Wilson 2017 · AAA	27	48→51	38→40	56→60	44	227/286/312	85	303	5	27	26%	7%	70	-0.8	214/279/305	91	311	7	22	31%	7%	67	-1.1	198/266/289	91	302	7	22	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	232/291/290	58	306	3	29	24%	7%	67	-1.1	216/282/277	61	303	3	26	27%	8%	61	-1.5	195/268/219	24	285	0	37	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Errol Robinson 2023 · AAA	28	46→49	37→40	52→55	46	209/288/281	72	329	5	21	35%	10%	65	-1.2	204/270/273	69	309	5	20	33%	8%	56	-1.9	186/252/234	48	283	3	23	33%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	44	202/258/287	85	268	4	18	25%	6%	54	-2.0	194/257/283	89	268	7	14	28%	7%	53	-2.1	166/236/231	65	243	6	11	32%	7%	32	-1.2
✕Joel Booker 2021 · AAA	27	45→49	39→40	51→55	39	216/270/300	84	298	7	19	29%	5%	62	-1.4	200/238/299	99	316	10	21	38%	4%	49	-2.4	160/180/239	79	266	9	33	43%	1%	11	-1.8
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	43	42→40	59→60	45	209/288/304	95	297	11	32	31%	8%	71	-0.8	207/275/301	94	292	9	27	30%	7%	65	-1.2	173/243/241	69	239	8	46	30%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→49	38→45	55→60	41	187/271/268	81	298	6	24	36%	8%	57	-1.8	203/278/306	103	286	9	23	30%	7%	68	-1.0	195/278/300	105	273	11	28	30%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Michael Mitchell 2012 · AA	26	43→53	37→40	56→55	43	206/264/280	73	273	5	24	25%	6%	55	-2.0	205/244/281	76	271	6	19	25%	4%	47	-2.5	196/224/255	59	258	4	20	25%	2%	30	-3.1
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	45→43	38→50	54→55	38	211/260/289	78	315	5	26	33%	6%	55	-1.9	205/246/340	135	278	14	19	31%	5%	63	-1.4	194/235/330	137	258	15	22	31%	4%	54	-1.2
✕J.T. Arruda 2024 · AA	26	43→42	39→40	56→55	49	202/285/290	88	294	6	24	31%	10%	66	-1.1	209/274/299	90	290	7	20	28%	8%	63	-1.3	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	47	36→30	62→65	41	219/272/283	64	315	4	40	30%	6%	58	-1.7	209/266/281	72	302	5	29	30%	7%	56	-1.9	176/240/217	41	263	1	38	31%	7%	30	-1.4
✕Demetrius Sims 2022 · AA	27	42→45	39→40	51→50	36	189/258/273	84	332	7	18	42%	7%	52	-2.2	207/271/298	91	371	7	17	43%	6%	62	-1.4	206/271/287	81	398	5	21	45%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Mickey McDonald 2022 · AAA	27	49→53	36→30	57→50	44	226/294/297	71	316	3	17	28%	7%	70	-0.8	238/309/325	87	324	6	16	26%	8%	82	+0.0	245/322/314	69	336	4	16	26%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Casio Grider 2014 · A	26	44→39	37→40	56→55	39	204/264/283	79	298	3	23	31%	6%	56	-1.9	197/251/288	91	305	8	21	36%	6%	52	-2.2	159/207/246	87	251	9	28	39%	5%	23	-2.0