McKinley Moore — OGILVIE

McKinley Moore P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 28 RHP 6'6" / 225 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%21.6%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

FB-1.2

SL-2.2

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	20	0	19	95	27	17	0	0%	1.0	19.3%	22.4%	-3.0%	0.0%	5.59	4.30	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	20	0	19	95	27	17	0	0%	1.0	28.4%	17.9%	10.5%	0.0%	5.59	2.94	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	41	181	59	20	4	0%	1.1	24.5%	12.9%	11.6%	3.0%	4.20	4.31	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	41	181	59	20	4	0%	1.1	32.6%	11.0%	21.5%	2.2%	4.20	2.95	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	39	1	50	227	71	26	3	3%	1.3	25.3%	12.6%	12.7%	1.5%	4.35	3.39	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	39	1	50	227	71	26	3	3%	1.3	31.3%	11.5%	19.8%	1.3%	4.35	2.60	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	23	0	24	112	39	26	1	0%	1.0	32.6%	24.8%	7.8%	0.0%	3.80	3.49	+0.3
2023	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	23	0	24	112	39	26	1	0%	1.0	34.8%	23.2%	11.6%	0.9%	3.80	3.65	+0.3
2024	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	3	21	112	25	19	1	12%	0.9	13.3%	13.6%	-0.2%	1.6%	6.75	4.57	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	3	21	112	25	19	1	12%	0.9	13.3%	13.6%	-0.2%	1.6%	6.75	4.57	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	25	3	21	112	25	19	1	12%	0.9	22.3%	17.0%	5.4%	0.9%	6.75	4.04	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	8	0	9	40	6	9	1	0%	1.1	15.0%	22.5%	-7.5%	2.5%	6.23	6.06	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	8	0	9	40	6	9	1	0%	1.1	15.0%	22.5%	-7.5%	2.5%	6.23	6.06	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	8	0	9	40	6	9	1	0%	1.1	15.0%	22.5%	-7.5%	2.5%	6.23	6.33	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	3	21	2	5	1	0%	1.1	9.5%	23.8%	-14.3%	4.8%	18.90	10.30	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	NYY	8	0	8	34	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.1%	11.5%	3.0%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.2%	11.3%	3.1%	4.62	4.68	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	10.2%	11.3%	3.1%	4.62	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	52	9	8	2	0%	1.1	16.7%	15.7%	1.0%	3.8%	9.07	5.76	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	974	168	150	37	0%	1.1	16.7%	15.7%	1.0%	3.8%	9.07	5.76	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		152	4	163	767	178	125	12	3%	1.1	23.2%	16.3%	6.8%	1.5%	4.79	4.05	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		186	5	200	939	218	153	14	3%	1.1	23.2%	16.3%	6.8%	1.5%	4.79	4.05	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
McKinley Moore (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	21.6%	10.1%	3.0%	—	4.68	21.5%	11.3%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	83
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	82
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	82
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	81
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	80
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	80
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	80
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	80
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	79
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	79
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	22.7%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.02	25.4%	17.1%	87	-0.43	2.32	186	79
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	79
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	79
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	78
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	78
Josh Roenicke R 2011 · 3.44 FIP	28	SU	3.44	17.6%	8.8%	1.3%	.265	4.35	14.9%	4.2%	151	+0.91	3.25	500	78
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	78
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	78