Chris Wright

P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 28 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	AASF	41	0	56	3.86	3.42	31.1%	14.3%	—	K 25.2% · BB 15.8% · FIP 4.42
2023	24	MIX2 levels	42	1	50	4.89	4.49	29.6%	18.5%	—	K 24.4% · BB 17.3% · FIP 4.73
2025	26	MIX3 levels	24	2	26	5.96	4.54	27.2%	17.5%	—	K 20.0% · BB 19.1% · FIP 4.65
2027PROJ	28	MLBSF	10	0	10	4.92	4.92	22.1%	13.4%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBSF	6	0	6	4.94	4.99	22.0%	13.2%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJuan Pablo Perez (age 28) · Mitchell Tyranski (age 26) · Colton Johnson (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110119vR 127

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%22.1%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%8.7%

Proj IP10

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	8	5	13	60	8	8	0	62%	1.7	9.1%	16.7%	-7.6%	0.0%	2.02	4.45	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Black	8	5	13	60	8	8	0	62%	1.7	13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	0.0%	2.02	3.70	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	45	173	79	21	2	0%	1.2	33.6%	14.6%	19.0%	1.7%	1.00	3.03	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	45	173	79	21	2	0%	1.2	45.7%	12.1%	33.5%	1.2%	1.00	1.57	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	41	0	56	244	76	35	5	0%	1.4	25.2%	15.8%	9.5%	2.6%	3.86	4.42	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	41	0	56	244	76	35	5	0%	1.4	31.1%	14.3%	16.8%	2.0%	3.86	3.42	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	50	243	72	45	6	2%	1.2	24.4%	17.3%	7.1%	2.7%	4.89	4.73	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	1	50	243	72	45	6	2%	1.2	29.6%	18.5%	11.1%	2.5%	4.89	4.49	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	2	26	114	31	20	3	8%	1.1	20.0%	19.1%	0.8%	1.5%	5.96	4.65	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	2	26	114	31	20	3	8%	1.1	20.0%	19.1%	0.8%	1.5%	5.96	4.65	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	2	26	114	31	20	3	8%	1.1	27.2%	17.5%	9.6%	2.6%	5.96	4.54	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SF	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	13.4%	8.7%	2.9%	4.92	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SF	19	0	20	84	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	13.2%	8.8%	3.1%	4.94	4.99	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	SF	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	13.2%	8.8%	3.1%	4.94	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	13.2%	8.8%	3.1%	4.94	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	22.0%	13.2%	8.8%	3.1%	4.94	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		152	8	190	834	207	138	18	5%	1.2	24.8%	16.5%	8.4%	2.1%	3.61	4.25	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	8	200	879	219	145	19	5%	1.2	24.8%	16.5%	8.4%	2.1%	3.61	4.25	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Wright (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	22.1%	13.4%	2.9%	—	4.99	22.0%	8.8%	20	+0.07	—	—	—
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	79
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	79
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	79
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	78
Trevor Lane L 2022 · 4.05 FIP	28	SU	4.05	22.2%	12.7%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	246	78
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	78
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	78
Armando Almanza L 2001 · 5.21 FIP	28	SU	5.21	25.3%	14.0%	4.5%	.260	4.73	25.3%	14.7%	108	-0.48	2.90	211	77
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	77
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	76
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	76
Jake Rice L 2024 · 3.75 FIP	27	SU	3.75	21.8%	13.8%	1.4%	.273	5.90	16.5%	0.9%	54	+2.15	3.16	199	75
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	74
Jeremy Horst L 2013 · 4.46 FIP	27	SU	4.46	17.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.356	3.92	17.2%	5.4%	108	-0.54	2.12	181	74
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	74
Colt Hynes L 2013 · 4.76 FIP	28	SU	4.76	15.5%	8.3%	3.5%	.361	3.49	19.3%	12.8%	96	-1.27	3.42	169	73
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	73
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	73
Keith Hessler L 2017 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	15.5%	11.8%	3.5%	.324	4.96	19.8%	6.5%	53	-0.22	3.31	228	73