Roel Garcia III
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 245 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%21.0%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.5% | 4.6% | 25.8% | 2.9% | 2.13 | 2.69 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 41.8% | 5.5% | 36.4% | 1.8% | 2.13 | 1.21 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 20 | 14 | 80 | 341 | 80 | 37 | 9 | 70% | 4.0 | 18.1% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.84 | 4.75 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 20 | 14 | 80 | 341 | 80 | 37 | 9 | 70% | 4.0 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 3.95 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 26 | 18 | 103 | 439 | 97 | 27 | 15 | 69% | 3.9 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 4.30 | 4.83 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 26 | 18 | 103 | 439 | 97 | 27 | 15 | 69% | 3.9 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 4.30 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 32 | 126 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 3.41 | 3.77 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 32 | 126 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 23.8% | 7.1% | 16.7% | 2.4% | 3.41 | 3.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 20 | 0 | 29 | 129 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 10.7% | 13.6% | -3.0% | 2.8% | 7.36 | 5.46 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TB | 32 | 0 | 33 | 141 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | TB | — | — | 63 | 270 | 46 | 28 | 7 | — | — | 17.2% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 5.84 | 4.95 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | TB | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.50 | 4.12 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 31 | 0 | 32 | 136 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.18 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 78 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.18 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 32 | 256 | 1090 | 192 | 103 | 36 | 35% | 2.8 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.29 | 4.65 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 25 | 200 | 852 | 150 | 81 | 28 | 35% | 2.8 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.29 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Roel Garcia III (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 21.0% | 8.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.57 | 21.1% | 12.3% | 32 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 83 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 82 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 79 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 77 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 77 |
| DJ Baxendale R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 18.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .355 | 5.84 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 49 | +2.16 | 2.81 | 426 | 76 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 76 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 76 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 75 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 75 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 75 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 75 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 75 |
| Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .255 | 4.31 | 15.9% | 2.3% | 20 | +0.30 | 4.01 | 254 | 75 |
| Wil Jensen R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 75 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 74 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .371 | 4.86 | 17.5% | 5.7% | 37 | +0.53 | 3.07 | 133 | 74 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 33 | 21.0% | 8.7% | 1.22 | 4.51 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |