Evan Fitterer

P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX2 levels	25	25	121	4.92	3.87	20.8%	12.4%	—	K 17.1% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.33
2025	25	AAMIA	33	10	95	3.42	2.96	23.6%	10.3%	—	K 19.1% · BB 11.3% · FIP 3.52
2026	26	AAASD	28	20	95	4.06	4.10	14.8%	13.2%	—	K 12.7% · BB 11.9% · FIP 4.09
2027PROJ	27	MLBSD	12	12	70	4.94	4.94	14.1%	12.4%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBSD	5	5	29	4.92	4.96	14.9%	12.2%	-0.0
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBSD	6	6	38	4.97	5.04	15.3%	12.2%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control45Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsLuke Irvine (age 27) · Fredy Quintero (age 27) · Alejandro Martinez (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%14.1%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%1.8%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	9	8	23	105	19	12	1	89%	2.5	12.3%	14.3%	-2.0%	1.3%	2.38	4.60	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	9	8	23	105	19	12	1	89%	2.5	18.1%	11.4%	6.7%	1.0%	2.38	3.59	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	8	30	134	33	10	1	89%	3.4	17.5%	6.2%	11.3%	1.3%	4.15	3.11	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	8	30	134	33	10	1	89%	3.4	24.6%	7.5%	17.2%	0.7%	4.15	2.34	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	22	22	107	464	80	46	8	100%	4.9	13.3%	11.4%	1.9%	2.4%	4.28	4.76	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	22	22	107	464	80	46	8	100%	4.9	17.2%	9.9%	7.3%	1.7%	4.28	3.86	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	123	557	118	84	16	100%	4.7	17.0%	16.7%	0.3%	3.2%	4.26	5.55	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	123	557	118	84	16	100%	4.7	21.2%	15.1%	6.1%	2.9%	4.26	4.93	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	121	549	114	68	9	100%	4.8	17.1%	12.9%	4.2%	1.9%	4.92	4.33	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	121	549	114	68	9	100%	4.8	17.1%	12.9%	4.2%	1.9%	4.92	4.33	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	121	549	114	68	9	100%	4.8	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	1.6%	4.92	3.87	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	33	10	95	398	94	41	4	30%	2.9	19.1%	11.3%	7.8%	1.1%	3.42	3.52	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	33	10	95	398	94	41	4	30%	2.9	19.1%	11.3%	7.8%	1.1%	3.42	3.52	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	33	10	95	398	94	41	4	30%	2.9	23.6%	10.3%	13.3%	1.0%	3.42	2.96	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	28	20	95	432	64	57	4	71%	3.4	12.7%	11.9%	0.9%	1.0%	4.06	4.09	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	28	20	95	432	64	57	4	71%	3.4	12.7%	11.9%	0.9%	1.0%	4.06	4.09	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	28	20	95	432	64	57	4	71%	3.4	14.8%	13.2%	1.6%	0.9%	4.06	4.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SD	12	12	70	296	42	37	6	100%	5.8	14.1%	12.4%	1.8%	2.0%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	11	11	68	287	43	35	6	100%	6.2	14.9%	12.2%	2.7%	2.2%	4.92	4.96	-0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	SD	11	11	65	274	42	33	7	100%	5.9	15.3%	12.2%	3.1%	2.4%	4.97	5.04	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	5	5	29	122	18	15	3	100%	5.8	14.9%	12.2%	2.7%	2.2%	4.92	4.96	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	SD	6	6	38	160	25	20	4	100%	6.3	15.3%	12.2%	3.1%	2.4%	4.97	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	67	283	43	35	7	100%	6.1	15.2%	12.2%	3.0%	2.3%	4.95	4.63	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	128	104	21	100%	6.0	15.2%	12.2%	3.0%	2.3%	4.95	4.63	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		152	119	594	2639	418	337	52	78%	3.9	15.8%	12.8%	3.1%	2.0%	4.15	4.45	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	40	200	889	141	113	17	78%	3.9	15.8%	12.8%	3.1%	2.0%	4.15	4.45	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Fitterer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	14.1%	12.4%	2.0%	—	5.00	15.1%	2.9%	133	+0.06	—	—	—
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	81
Fredy Quintero R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	27	SP-	4.55	11.3%	8.9%	2.3%	.375	4.38	15.1%	7.3%	113	-0.17	4.29	241	80
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	80
Noah Skirrow R 2024 · 4.77 FIP	26	SP-	4.77	11.7%	11.7%	2.1%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	371	79
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	79
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	79
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	77
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	77
Mike McCarthy R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	27	SP-	4.78	9.4%	9.1%	2.4%	.280	5.03	6.2%	-3.5%	37	+0.25	4.78	153	76
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	76
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	75
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	75
Stolmy Pimentel R 2016 · 3.87 FIP	26	SP-	3.87	13.6%	10.5%	1.1%	.379	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	176	75
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	74
Bradin Hagens R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SP-	3.79	14.6%	9.8%	1.2%	.277	4.92	14.9%	5.0%	55	+1.13	3.79	254	74
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	74
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	284	73
David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	30	SP-	5.67	7.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	100	73
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	73
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	14.8%	12.3%	0.84	4.94
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Josh Roenicke ('13)	1.1	73	17.1%	11.9%	0.78	4.17
Mike Dyer ('89-'96, 0 WAR*)	1.2	79	17.6%*	10.6%*	0.85*	4.58*
Ron Willis ('66-'70, 0 WAR*)	1.2	60	15.6%*	12.1%*	0.86*	4.17*
Ernie Camacho ('80-'90, 1 WAR*)	1.3	88	18.9%*	10.9%*	0.67*	4.55*