Garrett Hill — OGILVIE

Garrett Hill P Arkansas Travelers

Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 135

ERA5.66

FIP6.21

K%16.2%

BB%19.2%

K-BB%-3.0%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3793.6

Whiff%

p1720.7%

p1817.5%

xwOBA vs

p100.365

FB-1.6

SL-1.8

CH-2.5

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers West	9	6	38	163	46	10	2	67%	4.2	19.2%	7.7%	11.5%	1.7%	3.11	3.39	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Tigers West	9	6	38	163	46	10	2	67%	4.2	28.2%	6.1%	22.1%	1.2%	3.11	2.14	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	124	492	129	47	3	100%	5.4	19.9%	11.1%	8.9%	0.8%	2.25	3.25	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	124	492	129	47	3	100%	5.4	26.2%	9.6%	16.7%	0.6%	2.25	2.47	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	76	316	99	28	3	100%	4.5	24.5%	10.0%	14.4%	1.3%	2.74	3.02	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	76	316	99	28	3	100%	4.5	31.3%	8.9%	22.5%	0.9%	2.74	2.11	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	23	130	550	138	54	15	72%	4.1	22.3%	10.1%	12.2%	3.0%	3.60	4.15	+1.2
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	23	130	550	138	54	15	72%	4.1	25.1%	9.8%	15.3%	2.7%	3.60	3.72	+1.8
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	6	67	325	84	49	10	16%	1.8	22.2%	14.1%	8.0%	3.8%	6.58	5.10	-0.4
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	6	67	325	84	49	10	16%	1.8	22.2%	14.1%	8.0%	3.8%	6.58	5.10	-0.4
2023	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	6	67	325	84	49	10	16%	1.8	25.8%	15.1%	10.8%	3.1%	6.58	4.73	-0.1
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	5	68	313	80	51	6	11%	1.5	20.5%	16.6%	3.8%	2.6%	4.79	4.88	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	5	68	313	80	51	6	11%	1.5	20.5%	16.6%	3.8%	2.6%	4.79	4.88	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	5	68	313	80	51	6	11%	1.5	25.6%	16.3%	9.3%	1.9%	4.79	4.15	—
2025	29	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	10	10	42	195	37	33	1	100%	4.2	15.4%	18.6%	-3.2%	0.8%	4.04	4.58	—
2025	29	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	10	10	42	195	37	33	1	100%	4.2	15.4%	18.6%	-3.2%	0.8%	4.04	4.58	—
2025	29	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	10	10	42	195	37	33	1	100%	4.2	19.0%	16.9%	2.1%	0.5%	4.04	4.00	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			26	8	76	343	54	43	12	31%	2.9	15.7%	12.5%	3.2%	3.5%	5.09	5.43	-0.8
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	SEA	1	1	4	17	3	3	1	100%	4.0	16.2%	19.2%	-3.0%	3.0%	5.66	6.21	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	SEA	9	9	52	219	35	41	7	100%	5.8	16.2%	18.6%	-2.4%	3.2%	5.94	6.25	-0.7
2028	32	MLB MLE	SEA	8	8	48	202	32	37	7	100%	6.0	15.9%	18.3%	-2.4%	3.5%	6.13	6.36	-0.7
2029	33	MLB MLE	SEA	7	7	44	185	29	34	7	100%	6.3	15.4%	18.3%	-2.9%	3.7%	6.33	6.54	-0.8
2027	31	MLB CTX	SEA	3	3	16	68	11	13	2	100%	5.3	16.2%	18.6%	-2.4%	3.2%	5.94	6.25	-0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	SEA	4	4	25	106	17	19	4	100%	6.2	15.9%	18.3%	-2.4%	3.5%	6.13	6.36	-0.4
2029	33	MLB CTX	SEA	5	5	29	122	19	22	5	100%	5.8	15.4%	18.3%	-2.9%	3.7%	6.33	6.54	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		38	20	145	636	100	97	22	53%	3.8	15.8%	15.2%	0.5%	3.5%	5.61	5.62	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		52	27	200	875	138	133	30	52%	3.9	15.8%	15.2%	0.5%	3.5%	5.61	5.62	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		172	90	544	2354	495	289	49	52%	3.2	21.0%	12.3%	8.8%	2.1%	3.69	4.02	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	33	200	865	182	106	18	52%	3.2	21.0%	12.3%	8.8%	2.1%	3.69	4.02	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Hill (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.21	16.2%	19.2%	3.0%	—	6.38	15.8%	-2.5%	144	+0.17	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2019 · 5.55 FIP	29	SP-	5.55	8.6%	13.4%	2.7%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	160	67
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	65
Mark Appel R 2021 · 5.90 FIP	30	SP-	5.90	15.6%	15.6%	3.9%	.260	4.22	18.5%	8.1%	40	-1.68	4.22	363	64
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	60
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	60
Kris Medlen R 2016 · 6.39 FIP	30	SP-	6.39	16.0%	13.0%	5.5%	.321	4.75	17.5%	10.5%	129	-1.64	4.59	261	60
Andres Santiago R 2019 · 6.10 FIP	29	SW	6.10	10.9%	13.1%	4.1%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	291	59
Seth Simmons R 2018 · 6.20 FIP	30	SW	6.20	13.3%	10.9%	5.2%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.07	251	58
Sean O'Sullivan R 2017 · 5.76 FIP	29	SP-	5.76	11.9%	11.7%	4.0%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	290	57
Mike McCarthy R 2016 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	6.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.78	153	57
David Holman R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	29	SW	5.80	8.9%	10.7%	3.8%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	5.28	129	57
Eddie Butler R 2021 · 5.47 FIP	30	SW	5.47	13.4%	9.6%	4.2%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	538	56
Tyson Ross R 2017 · 5.46 FIP	30	SP	5.46	14.1%	15.0%	3.0%	.303	4.50	18.5%	9.0%	185	-0.96	2.76	449	55
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	54
Ariel Peña R 2019 · 6.07 FIP	30	SP	6.07	19.9%	25.6%	2.6%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	223	52
Fernando Villalobos R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	30	SU	5.33	8.3%	13.1%	2.3%	.365	4.36	11.4%	3.1%	109	-0.97	4.00	152	50
Chris Heston R 2017 · 5.88 FIP	29	SP-	5.88	13.6%	10.0%	4.9%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	321	50
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	50
JC Ramírez R 2019 · 5.48 FIP	30	SP-	5.48	12.2%	10.1%	3.9%	.309	6.17	15.7%	1.7%	35	+0.69	3.75	369	50
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	50

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	50	15.9%	18.6%	1.29	5.99
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82