Garrett Hill
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 30
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 161152vR 143
ERA5.77
FIP6.37
K%16.5%
BB%20.0%
K-BB%-3.5%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3793.6
Whiff%
p1720.7%
K%
p1817.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.365
FB-1.6
SL-1.8
CH-2.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | 9 | 6 | 38 | 163 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 67% | 4.2 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 1.7% | 3.11 | 3.39 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | 9 | 6 | 38 | 163 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 67% | 4.2 | 28.2% | 6.1% | 22.1% | 1.2% | 3.11 | 2.14 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 124 | 492 | 129 | 47 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 0.8% | 2.25 | 3.27 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 124 | 492 | 129 | 47 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 26.2% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 0.6% | 2.25 | 2.47 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 76 | 316 | 99 | 28 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 1.5% | 2.74 | 3.13 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 76 | 316 | 99 | 28 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 31.3% | 8.9% | 22.5% | 0.9% | 2.74 | 2.11 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 23 | 130 | 550 | 138 | 54 | 15 | 72% | 4.1 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 3.60 | 4.21 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 23 | 130 | 550 | 138 | 54 | 15 | 72% | 4.1 | 25.1% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 2.7% | 3.60 | 3.72 | +2.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 6 | 67 | 325 | 84 | 49 | 10 | 16% | 1.8 | 23.2% | 15.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 6.58 | 5.41 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 6 | 67 | 325 | 84 | 49 | 10 | 16% | 1.8 | 25.8% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 6.58 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 5 | 68 | 313 | 80 | 51 | 6 | 11% | 1.5 | 20.9% | 17.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 5.34 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 5 | 68 | 313 | 80 | 51 | 6 | 11% | 1.5 | 25.6% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 4.79 | 4.15 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 10 | 10 | 42 | 195 | 37 | 33 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 15.4% | 18.6% | -3.2% | 1.0% | 4.04 | 4.72 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 10 | 10 | 42 | 195 | 37 | 33 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 19.0% | 16.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 4.04 | 4.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 56 | 234 | 39 | 47 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.5% | 20.0% | -3.5% | 3.2% | 5.77 | 6.37 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 52 | 219 | 36 | 42 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.4% | 19.3% | -2.9% | 3.4% | 6.06 | 6.39 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 48 | 202 | 33 | 38 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.2% | 18.9% | -2.8% | 3.6% | 6.26 | 6.49 | -1.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 44 | 185 | 29 | 35 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 15.7% | 18.9% | -3.2% | 3.8% | 6.46 | 6.66 | -1.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.4% | 19.3% | -2.9% | 3.4% | 6.06 | 6.39 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.2% | 18.9% | -2.8% | 3.6% | 6.26 | 6.49 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.7% | 18.9% | -3.2% | 3.8% | 6.46 | 6.66 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 20 | 145 | 636 | 101 | 99 | 23 | 53% | 3.8 | 15.9% | 15.5% | 0.4% | 3.6% | 5.67 | 5.68 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 27 | 200 | 875 | 139 | 136 | 32 | 52% | 3.9 | 15.9% | 15.5% | 0.4% | 3.6% | 5.67 | 5.68 | -0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 172 | 90 | 544 | 2354 | 500 | 298 | 54 | 52% | 3.2 | 21.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 3.69 | 4.17 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 33 | 200 | 865 | 184 | 109 | 20 | 52% | 3.2 | 21.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 3.69 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Garrett Hill (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.37 | 16.5% | 20.0% | 3.2% | — | 6.51 | 16.1% | -3.0% | 144 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.77 | 18.6% | 19.3% | 3.3% | .238 | 5.06 | 18.9% | 3.2% | 33 | -0.71 | 4.11 | 563 | 71 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.34 | 8.6% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 160 | 67 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.33 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 254 | 65 |
| Mark Appel R 2026 · 5.85 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.85 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 3.8% | .260 | 4.17 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 40 | -1.68 | 4.17 | 363 | 64 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 6.27 FIP | 30 | SP- | 6.27 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 5.2% | .321 | 4.78 | 17.5% | 10.5% | 129 | -1.49 | 4.66 | 261 | 61 |
| Deck McGuire R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.39 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 622 | 60 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 60 |
| Andres Santiago R 2025 · 6.38 FIP | 29 | SW | 6.38 | 10.9% | 13.1% | 4.6% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 291 | 58 |
| Tyson Ross R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.42 | 14.1% | 15.0% | 2.9% | .303 | 4.43 | 18.5% | 9.0% | 185 | -0.99 | 2.82 | 449 | 58 |
| Seth Simmons R 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 30 | SW | 6.19 | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.1% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 251 | 58 |
| Sean O'Sullivan R 2025 · 5.80 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.80 | 11.9% | 11.7% | 4.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 290 | 58 |
| Eddie Butler R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.1% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 538 | 57 |
| David Holman R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.57 | 8.9% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 129 | 57 |
| JC Ramírez R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.37 | 12.2% | 10.1% | 3.7% | .309 | 6.58 | 15.7% | 1.7% | 35 | +1.21 | 3.73 | 369 | 55 |
| David Fletcher R 2026 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 55 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2025 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 53 |
| Chris Heston R 2025 · 6.01 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.01 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 321 | 53 |
| Anthony DeSclafani R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.35 | 15.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .309 | 3.93 | 21.0% | 15.4% | 286 | -1.42 | 3.41 | 981 | 52 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.94 | 19.9% | 25.6% | 2.3% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 223 | 52 |
| Grant Black R 2025 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 16.2% | 19.3% | 1.35 | 6.12 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |