Jean Correa prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jean Correa P Daytona Tortugas

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 145 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%21.6%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals 2	4	0	6	27	6	3	0	0%	1.5	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	4.50	2.63	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals 2	4	0	6	27	6	3	0	0%	1.5	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	4.50	2.60	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals 1	15	1	31	120	28	3	0	7%	2.1	15.9%	3.1%	12.7%	0.0%	2.01	2.16	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	DSL Royals 1	15	1	31	120	28	3	0	7%	2.1	23.3%	2.5%	20.8%	0.0%	2.01	1.60	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	1	20	78	18	12	0	12%	2.5	23.1%	15.4%	7.7%	0.0%	1.80	3.10	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	8	1	20	78	18	12	0	12%	2.5	23.1%	15.4%	7.7%	0.0%	1.80	3.10	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	44	217	47	24	6	0%	2.0	14.2%	14.8%	-0.7%	4.0%	6.55	5.99	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	44	217	47	24	6	0%	2.0	14.2%	14.8%	-0.7%	4.0%	6.55	5.99	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	44	217	47	24	6	0%	2.0	21.7%	11.1%	10.6%	2.8%	6.55	4.37	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.6%	11.4%	10.2%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	86	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	3.2%	4.79	4.84	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	3.2%	4.79	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	3.2%	4.79	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	98	33	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	3.2%	4.79	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		49	2	101	442	74	51	9	4%	2.1	16.7%	11.5%	5.2%	2.0%	4.09	4.23	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	4	200	872	146	101	17	4%	2.1	16.7%	11.5%	5.2%	2.0%	4.09	4.23	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jean Correa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	21.6%	11.4%	3.0%	—	4.84	21.5%	10.1%	20	+0.08	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	80
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	80
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	79
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	79
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	79
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	79
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	78
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	78
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	78
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	78
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	78
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	78
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	78
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	77
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	77