Danny Moreno — OGILVIE

Danny Moreno P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 250 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%22.3%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	18	1	24	91	21	4	0	6%	1.3	15.7%	5.5%	10.2%	0.0%	1.14	2.47	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	18	1	24	91	21	4	0	6%	1.3	23.1%	4.4%	18.7%	0.0%	1.14	1.83	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	2	0	2	8	1	0	0	0%	1.0	12.5%	0.0%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.04	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	2	0	2	8	1	0	0	0%	1.0	12.5%	0.0%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	15	0	23	114	21	18	0	0%	1.5	12.5%	19.7%	-7.2%	0.0%	7.54	4.54	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	15	0	23	114	21	18	0	0%	1.5	18.4%	15.8%	2.6%	0.0%	7.54	3.63	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	15	0	25	118	21	9	0	0%	1.7	12.1%	9.5%	2.6%	0.0%	5.76	3.29	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	15	0	25	118	21	9	0	0%	1.7	17.8%	7.6%	10.2%	0.0%	5.76	2.50	—
2023	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	30	0	47	219	39	26	4	0%	1.6	13.2%	14.0%	-0.8%	2.4%	5.40	5.10	—
2023	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	30	0	47	219	39	26	4	0%	1.6	17.8%	11.9%	5.9%	1.8%	5.40	4.21	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	17	0	25	117	24	17	0	0%	1.5	15.2%	17.1%	-2.0%	0.0%	3.65	3.99	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	17	0	25	117	24	17	0	0%	1.5	15.2%	17.1%	-2.0%	0.0%	3.65	3.99	—
2024	24	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	17	0	25	117	24	17	0	0%	1.5	20.5%	14.5%	6.0%	0.0%	3.65	3.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	MIN	14	0	15	63	14	7	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.5%	10.8%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.4%	10.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.73	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	11.4%	10.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.73	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	11.4%	10.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.35	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	110	28	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.4%	10.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.35	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		97	1	145	667	90	89	5	1%	1.5	13.6%	13.4%	0.1%	0.8%	4.73	4.09	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	1	200	922	125	124	7	1%	1.5	13.6%	13.4%	0.1%	0.8%	4.73	4.09	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Danny Moreno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	22.3%	11.5%	3.0%	—	4.73	22.3%	10.8%	20	+0.05	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	85
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	84
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	84
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	83
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	83
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	83
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	82
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	82
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	81
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	81
Brandon Gomes R 2011 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	20.0%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	4.17	22.3%	15.2%	71	+0.43	3.48	190	81
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	81
Greg Aquino R 2005 · 5.03 FIP	27	SU	5.03	21.9%	10.3%	4.5%	.357	4.34	22.5%	13.3%	62	-0.69	4.10	154	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	81
Scott Dohmann R 2005 · 4.93 FIP	27	SU	4.93	24.5%	12.6%	4.2%	.321	4.69	18.9%	7.5%	96	-0.24	4.28	173	80
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	80
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	80