Hugo Beltran prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Hugo Beltran P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%22.9%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%14.3%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Guerrero	22	0	40	175	28	12	3	0%	1.8	10.9%	8.6%	2.3%	2.4%	5.40	4.58	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Guerrero	22	0	40	175	28	12	3	0%	1.8	16.0%	6.9%	9.1%	1.7%	5.40	3.58	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	15	7	49	196	46	5	1	47%	3.3	16.0%	3.2%	12.8%	0.7%	3.67	2.55	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	15	7	49	196	46	5	1	47%	3.3	23.5%	2.6%	20.9%	0.5%	3.67	1.79	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	16	0	23	97	39	5	0	0%	1.5	27.3%	6.4%	20.9%	0.0%	2.70	1.61	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 2	16	0	23	97	39	5	0	0%	1.5	40.2%	5.2%	35.1%	0.0%	2.70	0.40	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	44	196	40	15	1	0%	1.5	14.1%	9.9%	4.2%	0.6%	2.47	3.52	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	44	196	40	15	1	0%	1.5	20.4%	7.7%	12.8%	0.5%	2.47	2.60	—
2023	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	16	0	26	113	30	7	2	0%	1.6	19.6%	7.3%	12.3%	2.3%	2.73	3.60	—
2023	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	16	0	26	113	30	7	2	0%	1.6	19.6%	7.3%	12.3%	2.3%	2.73	3.60	—
2023	23	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	16	0	26	113	30	7	2	0%	1.6	26.5%	6.2%	20.4%	1.8%	2.73	2.61	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	BAL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.9%	8.7%	14.3%	3.0%	4.29	4.29	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	19	7	3	0%	1.1	22.9%	8.8%	14.2%	3.0%	4.31	4.33	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	BAL	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.8%	14.2%	3.0%	4.31	4.33	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.8%	14.2%	3.0%	4.31	3.95	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	83	28	0%	1.1	22.9%	8.8%	14.2%	3.0%	4.31	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		99	7	182	777	127	55	9	7%	1.8	16.3%	7.1%	9.2%	1.2%	3.50	3.29	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	8	200	852	139	61	10	7%	1.8	16.3%	7.1%	9.2%	1.2%	3.50	3.29	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hugo Beltran (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	22.9%	8.7%	3.0%	—	4.33	22.9%	14.2%	20	+0.04	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	86
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	85
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	83
Josh Lueke R 2011 · 3.24 FIP	26	SU	3.24	20.4%	8.5%	1.4%	.323	4.75	18.7%	12.4%	52	+1.51	2.29	191	83
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	83
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	82
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	82
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	82
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	81
Josh Roenicke R 2009 · 3.25 FIP	26	SU	3.25	23.9%	10.9%	1.5%	.341	4.17	15.4%	4.7%	124	+0.92	3.25	500	81
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2011 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	22.1%	9.6%	1.5%	.253	3.18	22.9%	13.4%	218	-0.10	2.72	398	81
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	81
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	81
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	81
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	81
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	81
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	81
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	81