Carlos Rodríguez

RF El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 26 L/L 5'9" / 186 lbs AAA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #701MiLBFA 2035

ETA2029FG ETA2026MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AAAATL	533	.247/.317/.323	8	17	52	—	.222/.268/.276
2025	24	INTLNavegantes de…	180	.329/.394/.456	4	2	137	—
2026	25	AAASD	547	.308/.380/.416	6	23	98	—	.285/.337/.373
2027PROJ10% MLB	26	MLBSD	25	.256/.308/.333	0	1	84	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	27	MLBSD	104	.254/.307/.334	1	3	84	-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB	28	MLBSD	153	.251/.306/.332	2	4	83	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

K%94

Whiff%92

Z-Con%88

Speed84

BB%40

Chase%33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 88%

CompsTodd Cunningham (age 26) · Kevin Kaczmarski (age 26) · Charlie Tilson (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .308 / .333

PA25

HR0

K%16

BB%8

BABIP294

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	252	237	77	13	1	2	9	20	5	14	9	325	363	414	776	89	349	8	4	348	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	22	22	7	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	318	318	364	682	45	350	9	0	305	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	382	345	92	17	4	1	35	75	1	15	6	267	336	348	684	81	338	20	9	311	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	166	142	38	10	1	3	18	35	3	10	3	268	362	415	777	148	327	21	11	344	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	436	392	114	21	3	1	40	50	2	14	8	291	359	367	727	77	330	11	9	330	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	172	147	52	9	1	1	22	11	2	6	1	354	444	449	893	95	375	6	13	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	128	110	27	3	2	0	17	11	0	2	2	245	346	309	656	64	270	9	13	304	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	372	326	97	12	4	4	42	41	1	15	4	298	379	396	775	98	327	11	11	349	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	186	170	56	7	0	2	13	11	2	3	4	329	384	406	790	76	342	6	7	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	533	474	117	10	1	8	49	68	1	17	8	247	317	323	640	76	272	13	9	290	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	47	41	14	1	0	0	5	5	0	3	2	341	413	366	779	24	378	11	11	352	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	180	158	52	6	1	4	16	14	1	2	0	329	394	456	850	127	340	8	9	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	547	481	148	18	8	6	55	61	1	23	6	308	380	416	796	108	337	11	10	352	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	252	241	63	9	1	2	5	29	5	14	9	261	291	332	623	71	285	12	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	22	22	6	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	273	273	318	591	45	284	14	0	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	382	354	82	13	3	1	26	101	1	15	6	232	286	294	580	62	321	26	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	166	147	32	8	1	3	13	45	3	10	3	218	294	347	641	129	270	27	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	436	405	115	24	3	1	27	66	2	14	8	284	332	365	697	81	334	15	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	128	115	29	3	2	0	12	13	0	2	2	252	323	313	636	61	276	10	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	372	339	95	12	4	3	29	50	1	15	4	280	339	366	705	86	315	13	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	533	496	110	7	1	6	30	84	1	17	8	222	268	276	544	54	252	16	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	—	47	43	13	1	0	0	3	6	0	3	2	302	348	326	673	23	337	13	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	547	498	142	16	8	4	38	73	1	23	6	285	337	373	711	88	315	13	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	252	241	63	9	1	2	5	29	5	14	9	261	291	332	623	71	290	12	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers	—	252	237	77	13	1	2	9	20	5	14	9	325	363	414	776	89	349	8	4	348	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	22	22	6	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	273	273	318	591	45	316	14	0	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers Gold	—	22	22	7	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	318	318	364	682	45	350	9	0	305	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	382	354	82	13	3	1	26	101	1	15	6	232	286	294	580	62	321	26	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	382	345	92	17	4	1	35	75	1	15	6	267	336	348	684	81	338	20	9	311	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	166	147	32	8	1	3	13	45	3	10	3	218	294	347	641	129	284	27	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	166	142	38	10	1	3	18	35	3	10	3	268	362	415	777	148	327	21	11	344	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	608	563	160	34	4	1	38	92	4	20	9	284	334	364	698	80	337	15	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	608	539	166	30	4	2	62	61	4	20	9	308	383	390	773	82	343	10	10	350	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	686	621	169	20	8	4	57	87	3	20	10	272	336	349	686	77	308	13	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	686	606	180	22	6	6	72	63	3	20	10	297	374	383	757	86	321	9	10	343	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	760	703	162	11	1	8	43	118	2	22	10	230	277	283	560	53	265	16	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	760	673	183	17	2	12	70	87	2	22	10	272	341	357	698	85	295	11	9	313	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	547	498	142	16	8	4	38	73	1	23	6	285	337	373	711	88	322	13	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	547	481	148	18	8	6	55	61	1	23	6	308	380	416	796	108	337	11	10	352	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	252	240	63	9	1	2	5	29	5	14	9	263	291	333	624	71	285	12	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	22	22	6	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	273	273	318	591	45	284	14	0	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	382	352	82	13	3	1	26	101	1	15	6	233	286	295	582	63	321	26	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	166	149	32	8	1	3	13	45	3	10	3	215	294	342	637	128	270	27	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	608	561	160	34	4	1	38	92	4	20	9	285	334	365	699	80	334	15	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	686	621	169	20	8	4	57	87	3	20	10	272	336	349	686	77	305	13	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	760	709	162	11	1	8	43	118	2	22	10	228	277	281	557	52	259	16	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	547	503	142	16	8	4	38	73	1	23	6	282	337	370	707	87	315	13	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	686	621	169	20	8	4	57	87	3	20	10	272	336	349	686	77	305	13	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	760	709	162	11	1	8	43	118	2	22	10	228	277	281	557	52	259	16	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	547	503	142	16	8	4	38	73	1	23	6	282	337	370	707	87	315	13	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	10%	380	350	90	10	3	3	26	57	1	11	4	259	311	338	649	79	298	15	7	293	84	-7	+1	+0	-4	+8	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	10%	25	23	6	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	256	308	333	641	77	294	16	8	289	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	31%	336	309	79	9	3	3	23	52	1	10	3	257	311	339	649	81	297	15	7	293	84	-6	+1	+0	-4	+7	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	42%	364	335	85	10	3	4	25	58	1	9	3	255	309	337	646	82	296	16	7	291	83	-7	+1	-1	-4	+8	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	31%	104	96	25	3	1	1	7	16	0	3	1	254	307	334	641	80	293	15	7	289	84	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	42%	153	141	36	4	1	2	11	25	0	4	1	251	306	332	638	81	292	16	7	288	83	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	257	237	61	7	2	3	18	41	0	7	2	257	310	342	652	84	297	16	7	288	79	-5	+1	-0	-3	+6	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	155	18	5	8	46	104	0	18	5	259	312	346	657	87	299	16	7	288	79	-13	+2	-1	-7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4373	4023	1039	138	34	32	285	695	22	152	63	258	311	333	644	75	303	16	7	285	79	-18	+2	-1	-10	+21	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	155	21	5	5	42	103	3	23	9	259	311	336	647	77	304	16	6	285	79	-13	+1	-0	-7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Al Pilarcik'56-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,860 PA	2.8	1,860	22	41	252*	326*	363*	-12	-8	2.1	2.1
/162	664	8	15	-4.1	-3.0	0.7	pk7: 2
#2Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	3.0	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
/162	664	9	20	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2
#3So Taguchi'02-'09 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,524 PA	2.3	1,524	19	39	268*	320*	372*	-8	-8	0.9	1.2
/162	664	8	17	-3.7	-3.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Alex Presley'10-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,502 PA	2.3	1,502	29	30	265*	309*	397*	-12	-10	0.6	0.9
/162	664	13	13	-5.3	-4.6	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	282	3	8	257	307	339	-3	-1	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	7	18	-7.1	-2.4	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	26	55	35	50	45	257/309/335	78	298	2	8	15%	7%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Todd Cunningham 2015 · AAA	26	53→59	39→40	52→55	45	252/300/340	88	296	6	19	17%	5%	82	-0.0	237/299/321	84	280	6	17	17%	6%	78	-0.3	232/304/310	78	275	5	17	16%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2018 · AA	26	53→56	38→40	50	48	248/307/336	88	308	4	12	20%	7%	83	+0.1	236/301/314	78	319	4	11	25%	8%	76	-0.4	233/302/293	60	333	2	10	28%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Charlie Tilson 2019 · MLB	26	50→60	36→40	51→55	45	235/281/301	65	291	3	15	20%	6%	65	-1.2	235/284/315	80	302	5	15	22%	5%	70	-0.8	243/292/324	80	317	3	17	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Chris Frey 2010 · AAA	26	51→57	38→40	55→50	44	244/280/328	85	287	5	16	17%	4%	71	-0.8	228/274/325	97	283	7	14	21%	5%	69	-0.9	221/271/296	75	283	1	12	21%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Jordan Smith 2016 · AA	26	50→58	38→40	49→50	46	237/287/322	85	294	5	12	21%	6%	73	-0.6	219/269/310	91	286	7	14	24%	6%	63	-1.3	209/259/297	87	275	7	15	25%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Matt Young 2009 · AA	26	54→60	37→40	53→60	52	252/316/329	77	296	3	18	15%	8%	85	+0.2	255/324/345	90	296	4	27	14%	8%	92	+0.7	258/329/344	87	298	3	29	13%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Daniel Robertson 2013 · AAA	27	54→58	38→40	52→55	49	256/308/342	87	290	4	17	14%	6%	85	+0.2	245/301/325	80	288	3	17	15%	7%	79	-0.2	244/298/336	92	278	7	16	14%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Alan Sanchez 2015 · AAA	26	57→58	38→40	48→50	43	271/309/354	83	336	5	12	21%	5%	88	+0.4	260/298/337	77	321	4	12	19%	5%	80	-0.2	266/301/333	67	323	3	12	18%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Sebastien Boucher 2008 · AAA	26	50→60	37→40	51→55	49	233/301/305	72	303	4	20	23%	8%	74	-0.5	232/295/342	110	311	10	13	27%	7%	81	-0.1	239/301/367	129	322	12	10	28%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jonny Tucker 2010 · AAA	27	53→55	38→40	52→55	51	250/308/337	87	290	4	19	15%	7%	84	+0.2	221/276/298	77	261	4	22	16%	7%	63	-1.3	212/263/280	68	246	3	26	15%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Drew Heid 2013 · AAA	25	48→57	40	47→50	50	230/295/315	85	275	8	14	19%	8%	75	-0.5	234/291/323	89	299	6	10	22%	7%	75	-0.5	245/300/335	90	316	5	9	23%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Don Kelly 2007 · AAA	27	52→59	38→45	52→55	50	244/294/330	86	276	5	19	14%	6%	77	-0.3	235/287/324	89	266	5	15	13%	6%	73	-0.6	258/305/380	122	285	13	17	14%	5%	91	+0.4
●Jesus Romo 2010 · AAA	26	50→60	37→40	52→50	50	236/297/307	71	279	4	13	17%	7%	74	-0.6	275/332/349	74	322	4	10	15%	8%	95	+1.0	291/349/361	70	338	4	8	14%	8%	102	+0.9
✕Ben Copeland 2010 · AAA	26	49→53	42→45	54→55	46	237/286/347	109	286	8	17	20%	6%	78	-0.3	230/280/338	108	288	8	21	22%	7%	74	-0.5	221/274/326	105	279	7	24	22%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Davis Bradshaw 2023 · AA	25	55	36→40	48→50	44	259/311/329	70	319	3	13	19%	5%	83	+0.1	253/304/327	74	323	5	10	22%	5%	80	-0.1	272/323/345	72	350	5	3	22%	4%	88	+0.3
✕Mason Williams 2018 · MLB	26	54→53	36→45	53→55	43	254/287/319	65	308	3	18	18%	4%	71	-0.8	250/290/364	114	304	12	9	21%	5%	84	+0.1	247/291/368	121	302	13	7	22%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Zack Granite 2019 · MLB	26	53→61	38→40	54→60	49	248/294/325	77	276	5	24	12%	6%	76	-0.4	224/269/303	79	258	5	19	15%	6%	61	-1.5	219/264/294	75	253	5	21	15%	5%	55	-1.3
✕Sam Fuld 2008 · AAA	26	55→57	39→45	53→60	50	258/316/358	100	296	5	14	14%	7%	92	+0.7	244/308/342	98	274	5	17	12%	8%	85	+0.2	241/312/347	106	267	4	27	11%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Kennard Bibbs 2006 · AA	26	53→57	38→40	55	48	249/294/336	87	289	3	21	15%	6%	78	-0.3	227/285/306	79	277	4	21	18%	7%	68	-1.0	207/275/254	47	256	2	28	18%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Evan Frey 2012 · AAA	26	52→59	36→40	53→55	50	241/304/310	69	301	2	22	20%	8%	76	-0.4	224/288/285	61	282	2	23	20%	8%	65	-1.2	218/283/265	48	272	1	24	19%	8%	56	-1.1

Carlos Rodríguez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps