Patrick Wicklander

P Montgomery Biscuits

Age 27 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	22	MIX2 levels	25	15	98	4.78	3.66	28.3%	6.8%	—	K 21.5% · BB 7.9% · FIP 4.88
2023	23	MIX2 levels	30	18	111	3.90	4.28	21.2%	7.9%	—	K 16.9% · BB 8.8% · FIP 4.95
2024	24	MIX2 levels	25	0	48	5.40	4.92	17.4%	15.1%	—	K 15.1% · BB 15.0% · FIP 5.11
2027PROJ	27	MLBTB	26	0	27	4.87	4.87	20.3%	11.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBTB	10	0	10	4.86	4.90	20.5%	11.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsDan Meyer (age 27) · Mark Manfredi Sr. (age 24) · Brian Holmes (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 126

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%20.3%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%8.8%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	5	0	11	44	22	3	0	0%	2.3	50.0%	6.8%	43.2%	0.0%	0.00	-0.26	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	5	0	11	44	22	3	0	0%	2.3	50.0%	6.8%	43.2%	0.0%	0.00	0.01	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	98	424	120	29	16	60%	3.9	21.5%	7.9%	13.6%	4.7%	4.78	4.88	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	15	98	424	120	29	16	60%	3.9	28.3%	6.8%	21.5%	3.8%	4.78	3.66	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	18	111	481	102	38	17	60%	3.7	16.9%	8.8%	8.1%	3.9%	3.90	4.95	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	18	111	481	102	38	17	60%	3.7	21.2%	7.9%	13.3%	3.5%	3.90	4.28	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	48	219	38	33	5	0%	1.9	15.1%	15.0%	0.1%	2.5%	5.40	5.11	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	48	219	38	33	5	0%	1.9	15.1%	15.0%	0.1%	2.5%	5.40	5.11	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	48	219	38	33	5	0%	1.9	17.4%	15.1%	2.3%	2.3%	5.40	4.92	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	TB	26	0	27	114	23	13	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	11.6%	8.8%	3.0%	4.87	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TB	25	0	26	110	23	13	3	0%	1.0	20.5%	11.5%	9.0%	3.1%	4.86	4.90	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	11.5%	9.0%	3.1%	4.86	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	8	5	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.5%	9.0%	3.1%	4.86	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	102	20	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.5%	9.0%	3.1%	4.86	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		85	33	268	1168	227	112	45	39%	3.2	19.5%	9.6%	9.9%	3.8%	4.33	4.76	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	25	200	871	170	83	33	39%	3.2	19.5%	9.6%	9.9%	3.8%	4.33	4.76	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Patrick Wicklander (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	20.3%	11.6%	3.0%	—	4.90	20.5%	9.0%	26	+0.03	—	—	—
Dan Meyer L 2008 · 5.66 FIP	27	SW	5.66	15.2%	10.6%	4.5%	.315	3.73	23.1%	15.2%	58	-1.93	3.73	112	77
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	75
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	72
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.34	16.7%	9.5%	356	-0.53	3.68	579	72
Matt Tracy L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	27	SW	3.89	13.8%	8.3%	1.7%	.328	4.22	15.3%	5.5%	129	+0.33	3.24	298	70
Eric Stults L 2007 · 4.28 FIP	27	SW	4.28	16.8%	8.4%	2.8%	.349	4.14	16.2%	7.2%	89	-0.14	3.50	773	69
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	69
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	69
Matt Whitehouse L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	27	SW	4.55	17.0%	12.8%	2.3%	.308	4.07	20.1%	9.2%	81	-0.48	3.37	353	67
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	67
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	66
Chris Narveson L 2009 · 4.01 FIP	27	SW	4.01	22.4%	7.3%	3.4%	.277	4.00	18.5%	10.0%	329	-0.01	4.00	625	66
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	427	66
Jake Drehoff L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SW	5.21	16.8%	9.0%	4.4%	.418	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	153	66
Austin Hamilton L 2019 · 4.02 FIP	25	SW	4.02	17.3%	7.9%	2.5%	.374	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	135	65
Eric DuBose L 2003 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP-	3.92	14.4%	7.5%	2.0%	.233	5.49	13.7%	0.4%	104	+1.57	3.92	178	65
Rito Lugo L 2022 · 4.04 FIP	26	SW	4.04	18.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	176	65
Carlos Teller L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	28	SP-	3.75	13.8%	10.9%	0.8%	.329	4.75	13.3%	3.1%	187	+1.00	3.75	333	65
Phil Dumatrait L 2008 · 4.39 FIP	27	SP-	4.39	14.8%	11.4%	2.0%	.298	5.73	13.9%	2.0%	54	+1.34	4.39	151	65
Wyatt Short L 2022 · 4.15 FIP	27	SW	4.15	18.4%	10.1%	2.4%	.255	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	288	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.4%	11.5%	1.17	4.87
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44