Elijah Birdsong — OGILVIE

Elijah Birdsong P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 24 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.93

FIP4.93

K%20.8%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%8.4%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	4	0	4	17	3	3	1	0%	1.0	17.6%	17.6%	0.0%	5.9%	6.75	7.07	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	4	0	4	17	3	3	1	0%	1.0	17.6%	17.6%	0.0%	5.9%	6.75	7.10	—
2023	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	40	0	50	237	43	28	4	0%	1.2	13.4%	13.9%	-0.5%	2.3%	7.02	4.97	—
2023	23	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	40	0	50	237	43	28	4	0%	1.2	18.1%	11.8%	6.3%	1.7%	7.02	4.10	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	49	210	35	29	5	0%	1.4	13.5%	17.5%	-4.1%	2.6%	4.44	5.59	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	49	210	35	29	5	0%	1.4	13.5%	17.5%	-4.1%	2.6%	4.44	5.59	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	49	210	35	29	5	0%	1.4	16.7%	13.8%	2.9%	2.4%	4.44	4.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	PIT	23	0	24	101	21	13	3	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	3.0%	4.93	4.93	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	PIT	23	0	24	100	21	12	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.2%	8.7%	3.1%	4.92	4.96	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	PIT	9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.2%	8.7%	3.1%	4.92	4.96	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	37	8	4	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.2%	8.7%	3.1%	4.92	4.58	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	92	23	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.2%	8.7%	3.1%	4.92	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		80	0	103	464	63	73	12	0%	1.3	13.6%	15.7%	-2.1%	2.5%	5.79	5.33	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	0	200	904	123	142	23	0%	1.3	13.6%	15.7%	-2.1%	2.5%	5.79	5.33	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elijah Birdsong (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	20.8%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.96	20.9%	8.7%	24	+0.03	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	89
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	88
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	88
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	87
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	86
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	86
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	84
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	83
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	83
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Brandon Gomes R 2011 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	20.0%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	4.17	22.3%	15.2%	71	+0.43	3.48	190	83
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	82
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	82
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	82
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	82
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82