Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 67 | 265 | 77 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 22.5% | 3.8% | 18.6% | 2.2% | 2.42 | 2.87 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 67 | 265 | 77 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 29.1% | 3.4% | 25.7% | 1.9% | 2.42 | 2.17 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 31 | 126 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 4.6% | 2.90 | 4.58 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 31 | 126 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.0% | 6.3% | 20.6% | 3.2% | 2.90 | 3.36 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 35 | 0 | 45 | 187 | 45 | 12 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 6.7% | 14.4% | 5.4% | 4.76 | 5.15 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 35 | 0 | 45 | 187 | 45 | 12 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.1% | 6.4% | 17.6% | 5.9% | 4.76 | 5.06 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 1 | 44 | 176 | 42 | 6 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 3.7% | 16.3% | 4.1% | 4.47 | 4.13 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 1 | 44 | 176 | 42 | 6 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 23.9% | 3.4% | 20.5% | 3.4% | 4.47 | 3.37 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 44 | 0 | 54 | 241 | 53 | 23 | 13 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 5.17 | 5.21 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 44 | 0 | 54 | 241 | 53 | 23 | 13 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 5.17 | 5.54 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 50 | 200 | 55 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.7% | 4.5% | 17.2% | 2.6% | 2.68 | 3.28 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 50 | 200 | 55 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.5% | 4.0% | 23.5% | 1.5% | 2.68 | 2.17 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 26 | 0 | 28 | 130 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.94 | 5.85 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 26 | 0 | 28 | 130 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 7.94 | 5.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 10 | 0 | 12 | 45 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | 1.54 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.72 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 33 | 135 | 35 | 9 | 4 | — | — | 26.2% | 6.7% | 19.4% | 3.1% | 3.60 | 3.05 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 4.80 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 4.80 | 4.88 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 4.79 | 4.49 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 90 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 4.79 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 255 | 1 | 332 | 1370 | 293 | 86 | 53 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.4% | 6.3% | 15.2% | 3.9% | 3.98 | 4.21 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 1 | 200 | 825 | 177 | 52 | 32 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.4% | 6.3% | 15.2% | 3.9% | 3.98 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blake Weiman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% | — | 4.88 | 21.3% | 11.9% | 20 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 83 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 81 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 81 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 79 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 78 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 77 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 77 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 77 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 75 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .304 | 5.19 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +0.67 | 2.68 | 256 | 75 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.69 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .315 | 4.13 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.56 | 4.07 | 424 | 75 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.16 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 190 | 75 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.02 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .303 | 3.36 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.66 | 3.36 | 113 | 74 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.42 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | .202 | 4.09 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.33 | 2.37 | 296 | 73 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 72 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 72 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 72 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.56 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.32 | 1.59 | 309 | 71 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 71 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 71 |