Calvin Faucher — OGILVIE

Calvin Faucher P Miami Marlins

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9991vR 83

ERA3.71

FIP3.70

K%24.8%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%13.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7596.3

Whiff%

p5726.4%

p6525.0%

xwOBA vs

p720.291

CT+0.6 (35%)

SL (26%)

SI (16%)

CU (14%)

FB (25%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	5	0	7	30	13	3	1	0%	1.5	43.3%	10.0%	33.3%	3.3%	1.23	2.54	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Elizabethton Twins	5	0	7	30	13	3	1	0%	1.5	43.3%	10.0%	33.3%	3.3%	1.23	2.55	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	66	293	62	34	5	0%	1.8	15.7%	13.7%	2.1%	1.9%	4.09	4.55	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	66	293	62	34	5	0%	1.8	21.2%	11.6%	9.6%	1.7%	4.09	3.75	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	34	0	55	240	61	22	2	0%	1.6	19.6%	10.5%	9.0%	0.8%	4.42	3.20	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Fort Myers Miracle	34	0	55	240	61	22	2	0%	1.6	25.4%	9.2%	16.2%	0.8%	4.42	2.55	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	3	56	247	72	31	7	9%	1.7	24.3%	13.7%	10.7%	3.5%	4.53	4.71	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	3	56	247	72	31	7	9%	1.7	29.1%	12.6%	16.6%	2.8%	4.53	3.82	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	4	64	293	73	30	11	7%	1.1	22.8%	10.6%	12.2%	3.9%	4.20	4.68	-0.1
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	4	64	293	73	30	11	7%	1.1	24.9%	10.2%	14.7%	3.8%	4.20	4.45	+0.1
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	5	35	166	38	19	4	19%	1.4	20.8%	10.0%	10.8%	3.4%	5.35	4.49	+0.0
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	5	35	166	38	19	4	19%	1.4	20.8%	10.0%	10.8%	3.4%	5.35	4.49	+0.0
2023	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	5	35	166	38	19	4	19%	1.4	22.9%	11.4%	11.4%	2.4%	5.35	4.03	+0.2
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	60	261	67	24	1	0%	1.1	26.8%	9.8%	17.0%	0.0%	3.30	2.08	+1.8
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	60	261	67	24	1	0%	1.1	26.8%	9.8%	17.0%	0.0%	3.30	2.08	+1.8
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	60	261	67	24	1	0%	1.1	25.7%	9.2%	16.5%	0.4%	3.30	2.28	+1.6
2025	29	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	65	0	60	255	59	24	8	0%	0.9	23.1%	9.4%	13.7%	3.3%	3.28	4.15	+0.3
2025	29	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	65	0	60	255	59	24	8	0%	0.9	23.1%	9.4%	13.7%	3.3%	3.28	4.15	+0.3
2025	29	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	65	0	60	255	59	24	8	0%	0.9	23.1%	9.4%	13.7%	3.1%	3.28	4.06	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			220	4	223	979	235	102	17	2%	1.0	24.0%	10.4%	13.6%	1.7%	3.99	3.36	+3.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	63	0	62	268	67	33	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.3%	12.7%	0.4%	3.61	2.76	+1.3
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	63	0	62	268	67	33	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.3%	12.7%	0.4%	3.61	2.76	+1.3
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	MLB RAW	MIA	63	0	62	268	67	33	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.3%	12.7%	0.4%	3.61	2.75	+1.3
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	MIA	63	0	62	268	67	33	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.3%	12.7%	0.4%	3.61	2.75	+1.3
ROS	30	MLB MLE	MIA	5	0	5	22	6	2	1	0%	1.1	24.8%	10.9%	13.9%	2.4%	3.71	3.70	+0.1
ROS	30	MLB CTX	MIA	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	24.8%	10.9%	13.9%	2.4%	3.71	3.70	+0.1
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	68	290	73	35	2	—	—	25.0%	12.2%	12.8%	0.5%	3.62	2.84	+1.5
FULL	30	MLB A+C	MIA	—	—	68	286	73	35	2	—	—	25.4%	12.4%	13.0%	0.5%	3.62	2.82	+1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	MIA	56	0	59	248	60	28	5	0%	1.1	24.0%	11.2%	12.8%	2.1%	3.94	4.03	+0.4
2028	32	MLB MLE	MIA	52	0	54	230	53	27	5	0%	1.0	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	2.3%	4.14	4.28	+0.2
2027	31	MLB CTX	MIA	53	0	56	236	57	27	5	0%	1.1	24.0%	11.2%	12.8%	2.1%	3.94	4.03	+0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	MIA	50	0	52	220	51	25	5	0%	1.0	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	2.3%	4.14	4.28	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		327	4	336	1456	348	156	28	1%	1.0	23.9%	10.7%	13.2%	1.9%	4.00	3.48	+4.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	2	200	866	207	93	17	1%	1.0	23.9%	10.7%	13.2%	1.9%	4.00	3.48	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		374	12	466	2053	464	232	44	3%	1.2	22.6%	11.3%	11.3%	2.1%	3.98	3.80	+3.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	5	200	880	199	100	19	3%	1.2	22.6%	11.3%	11.3%	2.1%	3.98	3.80	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Calvin Faucher (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.11	24.5%	9.8%	2.7%	—	4.15	23.6%	12.2%	113	+0.04	—	—	—
Daniel Hudson R 2017 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	4.01	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.06	1.68	468	84
Joe Kelly R 2018 · 3.30 FIP	30	SU	3.30	23.9%	11.2%	1.4%	.293	2.99	27.4%	19.2%	95	-0.31	2.38	556	80
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.55	21.2%	-0.6%	51	+0.46	4.09	130	78
AJ Ramos R 2017 · 3.86 FIP	30	SU	3.86	27.9%	12.8%	2.7%	.288	5.02	25.0%	8.0%	20	+1.16	2.55	266	76
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	73
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	72
Juan Minaya R 2021 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	25.0%	11.8%	2.3%	.272	4.79	17.9%	6.1%	86	+1.04	3.20	446	72
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	71
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	71
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	70
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	70
Blake Wood R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	30	SU	3.76	24.5%	10.6%	2.5%	.307	3.44	25.3%	16.0%	74	-0.32	2.92	210	70
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	70
Aaron Barrett R 2019 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	23.0%	8.1%	3.0%	.246	4.56	19.9%	6.4%	38	+0.75	1.86	119	69
Gregory Infante R 2017 · 2.97 FIP	30	SU	2.97	22.8%	8.2%	1.4%	.251	4.07	22.0%	17.4%	50	+1.10	2.97	230	69
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	69
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	69
Bryan Shaw R 2018 · 4.36 FIP	30	SU	4.36	21.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.365	4.46	20.0%	9.8%	149	+0.10	2.78	596	69
Will Harris R 2015 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	24.6%	7.6%	3.0%	.190	2.50	28.0%	22.8%	166	-1.12	2.17	315	69
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.28	244	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	23.9%	10.8%	0.92	4.07
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82