Calvin Faucher
P
Miami Marlins
+0.5
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
MLB
Svc 2.0 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.03
FIP4.07
xFIP4.52
SIERA4.49
K%24.0%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%14.5%
IP53
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p3923.7%
K%
p5523.1%
xwOBA vs
p400.323
CT+0.6 (44%)
SL (21%)
SI (11%)
CU (16%)
FB (19%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 5 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.23 | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 36 | 0 | 66 | 293 | 62 | 34 | 5 | 15.7% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 4.09 | 4.59 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 34 | 0 | 55 | 240 | 61 | 22 | 2 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 0.8% | 4.42 | 3.19 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 32 | 3 | 56 | 247 | 72 | 31 | 7 | 24.3% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.53 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 56 | 4 | 64 | 293 | 73 | 30 | 11 | 22.8% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 4.20 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 26 | 5 | 35 | 166 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 5.35 | 4.35 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 57 | 0 | 60 | 261 | 67 | 24 | 1 | 26.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 3.30 | 2.08 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 65 | 0 | 60 | 255 | 59 | 24 | 8 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 3.28 | 4.13 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 7 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | MIA | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 49 | 19 | 5 | 24.8% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.05 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 53 | 227 | 59 | 26 | 5 | 26.2% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 4.10 | 3.59 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 55 | 23 | 6 | 25.6% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.07 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 52 | 23 | 6 | 25.0% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 48 | 22 | 6 | 24.3% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.36 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 45 | — | 45 | 188 | 44 | 21 | 5 | 23.6% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 41 | 20 | 5 | 22.9% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 37 | 19 | 5 | 22.1% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 318 | 12 | 410 | 1813 | 407 | 206 | 42 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 4.04 | 3.93 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 6 | 200 | 884 | 199 | 100 | 20 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 4.04 | 3.93 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Calvin Faucher (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.05 | 24.8% | 9.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.23 | 25.0% | 14.1% | 148 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.06 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .301 | 3.94 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | -0.12 | 1.69 | 468 | 78 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 2.89 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.89 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.33 | 23.7% | 15.4% | 87 | +0.44 | 2.29 | 332 | 76 |
| Joe Kelly R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.26 | 23.9% | 11.2% | 1.4% | .293 | 2.90 | 27.4% | 19.2% | 95 | -0.36 | 2.39 | 556 | 74 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 73 |
| Will Harris R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.47 | 24.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .190 | 2.46 | 28.0% | 22.8% | 166 | -1.01 | 2.15 | 315 | 73 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.96 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .288 | 5.08 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.12 | 2.55 | 266 | 72 |
| Aaron Barrett R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 23.0% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .246 | 4.56 | 19.9% | 6.4% | 38 | +0.71 | 1.82 | 119 | 72 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.33 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.3% | .310 | 3.89 | 21.1% | 11.9% | 58 | +0.56 | 2.39 | 332 | 72 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 72 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.18 | 24.4% | 10.2% | 1.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.28 | 186 | 72 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.38 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.98 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.60 | 3.38 | 212 | 71 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.11 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.11 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.81 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.70 | 3.11 | 148 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 71 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.79 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.35 | 25.3% | 16.0% | 74 | -0.44 | 2.91 | 210 | 70 |
| Juan Minaya R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.78 | 25.0% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .272 | 4.84 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 86 | +1.06 | 3.19 | 446 | 69 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.97 | 22.8% | 8.2% | 1.4% | .251 | 4.16 | 22.0% | 17.4% | 50 | +1.19 | 2.97 | 230 | 69 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 69 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .228 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 16.7% | 99 | -0.47 | 2.11 | 300 | 68 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.17 | 22.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | .279 | 3.79 | 21.2% | 11.5% | 181 | +0.62 | 3.17 | 272 | 68 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 68 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut 2022
Service 2.907 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2029
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.2M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.7M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2029 | Arb-4 | $2M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $6M | $7M | +$0.9M | ||