Codi Heuer

P Norfolk Tides

Age 31 RHP 6'5" / 200 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

AAARP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	27	AAACHC	15	13	7.82	5.39	23.8%	17.5%	—	K 20.5% · BB 15.7% · FIP 5.35
2025	29	MIX2 levels	47	53	3.38	3.31	29.9%	8.0%	0.8	K 26.3% · BB 7.1% · FIP 3.15
2026	30	MIX2 levels	46	50	2.68	3.26	19.3%	8.0%	0.8	K 18.1% · BB 6.5% · FIP 3.48
2027PROJ	31	MLBCLE	52	55	3.90	3.78	22.6%	6.0%	0.5
2028PROJ61% MLB	32	MLBCLE	30	31	3.98	4.04	21.8%	6.4%	0.2
2029PROJ72% MLB	33	MLBCLE	32	34	4.18	4.32	21.0%	6.8%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.6 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff47Control50Command65FB velo59

CompsMark Serrano (age 31) · Adrian Ramirez (age 31) · Tony Barnette (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10597vR 89

ERA3.90

FIP3.78

K%22.6%

BB%6.0%

K-BB%16.6%

Proj IP55

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF6050

CTRL5550

CMD6565

K†5555

SL+1.1 (49%)

CH (6%)

FB-3.6 (45%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	Great Falls Voyagers	14	14	38	176	35	14	4	100%	2.7	13.5%	9.9%	3.6%	3.2%	4.74	4.96	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Great Falls Voyagers	14	14	38	176	35	14	4	100%	2.7	19.9%	8.0%	11.9%	2.3%	4.74	3.73	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	68	275	65	14	0	0%	1.6	18.5%	5.7%	12.8%	0.0%	2.39	2.26	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	68	275	65	14	0	0%	1.6	23.6%	5.1%	18.5%	0.0%	2.39	1.80	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	21	0	24	92	25	9	1	0%	1.1	27.2%	9.8%	17.4%	1.1%	1.52	2.63	+0.5
2020	24	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	21	0	24	92	25	9	1	0%	1.1	27.2%	9.8%	17.4%	1.1%	1.52	2.68	+0.5
2021	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	65	0	67	281	56	20	7	0%	1.0	19.9%	7.1%	12.8%	2.6%	4.28	3.74	+0.6
2021	25	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	65	0	67	281	56	20	7	0%	1.0	19.9%	7.1%	12.8%	2.5%	4.28	3.68	+0.7
2023	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	15	0	13	63	15	11	2	0%	0.8	20.5%	15.7%	4.8%	3.6%	7.82	5.35	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	15	0	13	63	15	11	2	0%	0.8	23.8%	17.5%	6.3%	3.2%	7.82	5.39	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	53	224	67	18	7	0%	1.1	26.3%	7.1%	19.2%	2.5%	3.38	3.15	+0.9
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	53	224	67	18	7	0%	1.1	26.3%	7.1%	19.2%	2.5%	3.38	3.15	+0.9
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	53	224	67	18	7	0%	1.1	29.9%	8.0%	21.9%	3.1%	3.38	3.31	+0.8
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	50	212	41	17	3	0%	1.1	18.1%	6.5%	11.6%	2.0%	2.68	3.48	+0.6
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	50	212	41	17	3	0%	1.1	18.1%	6.5%	11.6%	2.0%	2.68	3.48	+0.6
2026	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	50	212	41	17	3	0%	1.1	19.3%	8.0%	11.3%	1.4%	2.68	3.26	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			97	0	105	440	92	36	11	0%	1.1	20.9%	8.2%	12.7%	2.5%	3.76	3.74	+1.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	CLE	52	0	55	232	53	14	6	0%	1.1	22.6%	6.0%	16.6%	2.7%	3.90	3.78	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	CLE	49	0	51	216	47	14	6	0%	1.0	21.8%	6.4%	15.4%	2.9%	3.98	4.04	+0.3
2029	33	MLB MLE	CLE	45	0	47	198	42	14	6	0%	1.0	21.0%	6.8%	14.1%	3.2%	4.18	4.32	+0.1
2030	34	MLB MLE	CLE	41	0	43	181	36	13	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	7.3%	12.7%	3.5%	4.45	4.62	-0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	CLE	30	0	31	131	29	8	4	0%	1.0	21.8%	6.4%	15.4%	2.9%	3.98	4.04	+0.2
2029	33	MLB CTX	CLE	32	0	34	144	30	10	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	6.8%	14.1%	3.2%	4.18	4.32	+0.1
2030	34	MLB CTX	CLE	28	0	29	122	25	9	4	0%	1.0	20.1%	7.3%	12.7%	3.5%	4.45	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		186	0	199	834	175	63	24	0%	1.1	20.9%	7.5%	13.4%	2.8%	3.96	3.84	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	840	176	63	24	0%	1.1	20.9%	7.5%	13.4%	2.8%	3.96	3.84	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		250	14	313	1323	266	102	26	6%	1.3	20.1%	7.7%	12.4%	2.0%	3.45	3.45	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	9	200	845	170	65	17	6%	1.3	20.1%	7.7%	12.4%	2.0%	3.45	3.45	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Codi Heuer (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.78	22.6%	6.0%	2.7%	—	4.31	21.0%	14.2%	141	+0.53	—	—	—
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	79
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	76
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	75
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	75
Gregory Infante R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	31	SU	4.07	22.0%	4.6%	4.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	230	74
Matt Bush R 2017 · 3.60 FIP	31	SU	3.60	24.2%	7.9%	2.8%	.321	4.72	17.6%	4.6%	23	+1.12	2.87	249	73
Chris Martin R 2018 · 3.04 FIP	32	SU	3.04	20.9%	1.7%	2.7%	.311	2.92	25.7%	23.1%	117	-0.12	1.76	431	73
Gerardo Sanchez R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	30	SU	3.58	20.5%	5.4%	2.8%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.65	137	73
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	73
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	73
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	73
Tony Pena Jr. R 2015 · 2.80 FIP	34	SU	2.80	18.8%	2.7%	1.7%	.294	3.02	18.7%	14.4%	82	+0.22	2.80	128	72
Jose De La Torre R 2017 · 2.64 FIP	31	SU	2.64	20.5%	5.8%	1.0%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	141	71
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	71
Jared Burton R 2012 · 3.09 FIP	31	SU	3.09	22.4%	6.1%	2.0%	.212	3.59	19.9%	12.6%	144	+0.50	3.09	367	71
Anthony Vizcaya R 2024 · 3.54 FIP	30	SU	3.54	18.2%	5.7%	2.3%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	115	71
Aquilino López R 2005 · 3.10 FIP	30	SU	3.10	30.6%	8.3%	2.8%	.333	3.89	16.2%	10.5%	96	+0.79	3.10	207	70
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	70
Jesus Pirela R 2019 · 3.24 FIP	30	SU	3.24	22.5%	5.3%	2.5%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	161	70
Akinori Otsuka R 2004 · 2.61 FIP	32	SU	2.61	27.9%	6.4%	1.9%	.251	2.78	20.3%	13.4%	155	+0.17	2.39	232	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	50	21.3%	7.4%	1.10	3.99
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Fernando Salas ('19)	2.4	54	23.1%	7.3%	1.05	3.91
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Tony Castillo ('88-'98, 4 WAR*)	2.6	59	18.5%*	7.3%*	0.98*	3.76*
Mike Perez ('90-'97, 3 WAR*)	1.7	58	18.5%*	8.2%*	0.88*	3.86*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*